The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Navy (7‑2) vs South Florida (7‑2) |
37 | Navy Wins | 20% | 21% | 23% | 29% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 16% | 23% | 16% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida Wins | <1% | 3% | 10% | 20% | 26% | 28% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic (4‑5) vs Tulane (7‑2) |
9 | Florida Atlantic Wins | 13% | 18% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 16% | 23% | 16% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane Wins | 10% | 11% | 15% | 23% | 16% | 16% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB (3‑6) vs North Texas (8‑1) |
8 | UAB Wins | 16% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 16% | 23% | 16% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas Wins | 10% | 12% | 15% | 24% | 17% | 16% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina (6‑3) vs Memphis (8‑2) |
3 | East Carolina Wins | 11% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 16% | 23% | 16% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Memphis Wins | 11% | 12% | 14% | 25% | 16% | 16% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA (4‑5) vs Charlotte (1‑8) |
0 | UTSA Wins | 11% | 13% | 15% | 23% | 16% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 16% | 23% | 16% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte Wins | 11% | 13% | 16% | 23% | 17% | 16% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||