The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Navy (2‑4) vs North Texas (4‑2) |
0 | Navy Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 6% | ||
| North Texas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 8% | ||
| Tulsa (4‑3) vs Black Knights (4‑2) |
0 | Tulsa Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 6% | ||
| Black Knights Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Memphis (5‑2) vs East Carolina (3‑3) |
0 | Memphis Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 6% | ||
| East Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 7% | ||
| Rice (1‑6) vs Florida Atlantic (4‑2) |
0 | Rice Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 6% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 6% | ||
| Tulane (3‑3) vs UTSA (6‑1) |
0 | Tulane Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 6% | ||
| UTSA Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 6% | ||