Are the Navy Midshipmen going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Navy playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Midshipmen will win the division and play in the Conference Championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Houston | 3 | 0 | 69% | 21% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| SMU | 2 | 1 | 24% | 42% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 1% |
| Tulane | 1 | 2 | 3% | 12% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 15% |
| Navy | 1 | 3 | <1% | 3% | 18% | 23% | 30% | 26% |
| Memphis | 1 | 3 | 4% | 14% | 16% | 24% | 23% | 19% |
| Tulsa | 0 | 3 | <1% | 8% | 14% | 17% | 23% | 38% |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Memphis (4‑4) |
22‑21 | Home | Sat Sep 8, 3:30 pm |
| 4 | SMU (3‑4) |
30‑31 (OT) | Away | Sat Sep 22, 12:00 pm |
| 7 | Temple (5‑3) |
17‑24 | Home | Sat Oct 13, 3:30 pm |
| 8 | Houston (6‑1) |
36‑49 | Home | Sat Oct 20, 3:30 pm |
| 10 | Cincinnati (6‑1) |
Away | Sat Nov 3, 12:00 am | |
| 11 | UCF (7‑0) |
Away | Sat Nov 10, 12:00 am | |
| 12 | Tulsa (1‑6) |
Home | Sat Nov 17, 12:00 am | |
| 13 | Tulane (2‑5) |
Away | Sat Nov 24, 12:00 am |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawaii (6‑2) |
Mountain West Mntn West | 41‑59 | Away | Sat Sep 1, 11:00 pm |
| 3 | Lehigh | ‑‑ | 51‑21 | Home | Sat Sep 15, 3:30 pm |
| 6 | Air Force (3‑4) |
Mountain West Mntn West | 7‑35 | Away | Sat Oct 6, 3:30 pm |
| 9 | Notre Dame (7‑0) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Sat Oct 27, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Army (5‑2) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Home | Sat Dec 8, 12:00 am |