The Most Important Games for the North Texas Mean Green are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mean Green final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Texas Mean Green fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Texas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| North Texas (4‑2) vs Navy (2‑4) |
19 | North Texas Wins | 24% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Navy Wins | 11% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tulsa (4‑3) vs Black Knights (4‑2) |
4 | Tulsa Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Black Knights Wins | 20% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tulane (3‑3) vs UTSA (6‑1) |
2 | Tulane Wins | 24% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UTSA Wins | 20% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| East Carolina (3‑3) vs Memphis (5‑2) |
2 | East Carolina Wins | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Memphis Wins | 20% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rice (1‑6) vs Florida Atlantic (4‑2) |
1 | Rice Wins | 21% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 20% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||