The Most Important Games for the Rice Owls are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Owls final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rice Owls fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rice Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Rice (1‑4) vs East Carolina (2‑2) |
2 | Rice Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 17% | ||
| East Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 20% | ||
| Charlotte (0‑5) vs North Texas (3‑2) |
0 | Charlotte Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 17% | ||
| North Texas Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 16% | ||
| South Florida (4‑1) vs UTSA (4‑1) |
0 | South Florida Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 17% | ||
| UTSA Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 17% | ||
| Black Knights (2‑2) vs Tulane (2‑2) |
0 | Black Knights Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 17% | ||
| Tulane Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 17% | ||
| Memphis (4‑1) vs UAB (3‑2) |
0 | Memphis Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 17% | ||
| UAB Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 17% | ||
| Tulsa (3‑2) vs Navy (1‑3) |
0 | Tulsa Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 17% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 17% | ||
| Navy Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 19% | ||