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Sun Sep 27 2:00 am

American Athletic Football - Week 5 of 13

UTSA Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UTSA Roadrunners are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Roadrunners final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UTSA Roadrunners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UTSA Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UTSA Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
UTSA
(3‑1)

vs
Rice
(1‑3)
14 UTSA Wins 15% 13% 11% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Rice Wins 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 3%
Temple
(1‑3)

vs
South Florida
(4‑0)
1 Temple Wins 16% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
South Florida Wins 15% 12% 10% 8% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Charlotte
(0‑4)

vs
Memphis
(3‑1)
1 Charlotte Wins 16% 12% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Memphis Wins 15% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Tulsa
(3‑1)

vs
North Texas
(2‑2)
0 Tulsa Wins 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
North Texas Wins 14% 11% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant