The Most Important Games for the UTSA Roadrunners are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Roadrunners final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UTSA Roadrunners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UTSA Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UTSA (6‑1) vs Tulane (3‑3) |
29 | UTSA Wins | 49% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tulane Wins | 22% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| East Carolina (3‑3) vs Memphis (5‑2) |
3 | East Carolina Wins | 42% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Memphis Wins | 40% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Navy (2‑4) vs North Texas (4‑2) |
3 | Navy Wins | 42% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Texas Wins | 39% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tulsa (4‑3) vs Black Knights (4‑2) |
3 | Tulsa Wins | 42% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Black Knights Wins | 39% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rice (1‑6) vs Florida Atlantic (4‑2) |
2 | Rice Wins | 42% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 40% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||