The Most Important Games for the Dayton Flyers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flyers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dayton Flyers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Dayton Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |||
| Dayton (18‑8) vs Loyola Chicago (17‑9) |
67 | Dayton Wins | <1% | 4% | 68% | 15% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 49% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola Chicago Wins | X | <1% | 26% | 28% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Richmond (10‑17) vs St. Joseph's (15‑10) |
9 | Richmond Wins | <1% | 2% | 51% | 22% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 49% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Joseph's Wins | <1% | 2% | 48% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Saint Louis (14‑12) vs Rhode Island (17‑8) |
7 | Saint Louis Wins | <1% | 2% | 49% | 22% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 49% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rhode Island Wins | <1% | 2% | 48% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duquesne (11‑15) vs St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (18‑9) |
2 | Duquesne Wins | <1% | 3% | 49% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 49% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | <1% | 2% | 49% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UMass (11‑16) vs Geo. Washington (17‑10) |
2 | UMass Wins | <1% | 2% | 49% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 49% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Geo. Washington Wins | <1% | 2% | 48% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Davidson (15‑11) vs Fordham (11‑15) |
1 | Davidson Wins | <1% | 2% | 48% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 49% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fordham Wins | <1% | 2% | 48% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| George Mason (21‑5) vs VCU (21‑5) |
0 | George Mason Wins | X | 4% | 46% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 49% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VCU Wins | <1% | <1% | 50% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||