The Most Important Games for the Dayton Flyers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flyers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dayton Flyers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Dayton Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |||
| Dayton (11‑5) vs George Mason (12‑5) |
42 | Dayton Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| George Mason Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Richmond (7‑10) vs St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (14‑3) |
4 | Richmond Wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Loyola Chicago (10‑4) vs Rhode Island (13‑3) |
2 | Loyola Chicago Wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Rhode Island Wins | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| UMass (6‑11) vs Fordham (8‑9) |
2 | UMass Wins | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Fordham Wins | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Duquesne (7‑9) vs Geo. Washington (13‑3) |
2 | Duquesne Wins | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Geo. Washington Wins | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Davidson (12‑4) vs La Salle (9‑6) |
1 | Davidson Wins | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| La Salle Wins | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Saint Louis (10‑6) vs VCU (12‑4) |
1 | Saint Louis Wins | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| VCU Wins | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||