The Most Important Games for the Dayton Flyers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flyers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dayton Flyers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Dayton Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |||
| Dayton (12‑4) vs Duquesne (9‑7) |
27 | Dayton Wins | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 12% | ||
| Duquesne Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Loyola Chicago (5‑11) vs Geo. Washington (11‑5) |
4 | Loyola Chicago Wins | 13% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Geo. Washington Wins | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Fordham (9‑7) vs St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (11‑4) |
3 | Fordham Wins | 12% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 15% | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| George Mason (15‑1) vs VCU (11‑5) |
2 | George Mason Wins | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 14% | ||
| VCU Wins | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Rhode Island (9‑7) vs Davidson (10‑5) |
2 | Rhode Island Wins | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Davidson Wins | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| St. Joseph's (9‑7) vs Richmond (12‑4) |
2 | St. Joseph's Wins | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Richmond Wins | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| La Salle (5‑11) vs Saint Louis (14‑1) |
0 | La Salle Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Saint Louis Wins | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||