The Most Important Games for the Dayton Flyers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flyers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dayton Flyers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Dayton Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Dayton (17‑9) vs Duquesne (16‑10) |
79 | Dayton Wins | <1% | 3% | 26% | 31% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Duquesne Wins | X | <1% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola Chicago (6‑21) vs St. Joseph's (16‑10) |
13 | Loyola Chicago Wins | <1% | 2% | 28% | 22% | 16% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Joseph's Wins | <1% | 2% | 19% | 25% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| La Salle (7‑19) vs Rhode Island (15‑11) |
7 | La Salle Wins | <1% | 2% | 21% | 26% | 19% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rhode Island Wins | <1% | 2% | 19% | 24% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fordham (15‑12) vs Davidson (16‑10) |
7 | Fordham Wins | <1% | 2% | 20% | 27% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Davidson Wins | <1% | 2% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (14‑12) vs Richmond (14‑13) |
1 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | <1% | 2% | 20% | 25% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Richmond Wins | <1% | 2% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| VCU (21‑6) vs Saint Louis (24‑2) |
1 | VCU Wins | <1% | 1% | 21% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Saint Louis Wins | <1% | 3% | 19% | 24% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||