The Most Important Games for the Dayton Flyers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flyers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dayton Flyers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Dayton Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Dayton (1‑0) vs La Salle (0‑1) |
21 | Dayton Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| La Salle Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Geo. Washington (1‑0) vs Loyola Chicago (1‑0) |
2 | Geo. Washington Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Loyola Chicago Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Fordham (0‑1) vs Saint Louis (1‑0) |
1 | Fordham Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Saint Louis Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Davidson (1‑0) vs Duquesne (1‑0) |
1 | Davidson Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Duquesne Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (0‑1) vs VCU (1‑0) |
1 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| VCU Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Richmond (1‑0) vs George Mason (1‑0) |
0 | Richmond Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| George Mason Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Rhode Island (1‑0) vs St. Joseph's (0‑0) |
0 | Rhode Island Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| St. Joseph's Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | ||