The Most Important Games for the Dayton Flyers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flyers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dayton Flyers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Dayton Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |||
| Dayton (6‑2) vs Fordham (6‑3) |
25 | Dayton Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Fordham Wins | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Duquesne (5‑2) vs Davidson (6‑1) |
3 | Duquesne Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 10% | 11% | ||
| Davidson Wins | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| St. Joseph's (4‑3) vs Saint Louis (6‑1) |
3 | St. Joseph's Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 9% | 10% | ||
| Saint Louis Wins | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| La Salle (3‑6) vs George Mason (8‑0) |
2 | La Salle Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 10% | 10% | ||
| George Mason Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Geo. Washington (6‑2) vs Richmond (6‑1) |
2 | Geo. Washington Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 10% | 11% | ||
| Richmond Wins | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Loyola Chicago (1‑7) vs Rhode Island (6‑2) |
1 | Loyola Chicago Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Rhode Island Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (7‑1) vs VCU (5‑3) |
0 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 10% | 10% | ||
| VCU Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||