The Most Important Games for the Dayton Flyers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flyers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dayton Flyers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Dayton Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |||
| Dayton (5‑0) vs La Salle (4‑1) |
30 | Dayton Wins | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| La Salle Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UMass (1‑3) vs St. Joseph's (4‑1) |
3 | UMass Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. Joseph's Wins | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Duquesne (0‑4) vs Rhode Island (4‑0) |
2 | Duquesne Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rhode Island Wins | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Richmond (2‑3) vs Geo. Washington (4‑0) |
2 | Richmond Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Geo. Washington Wins | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| VCU (4‑1) vs St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (5‑0) |
1 | VCU Wins | 15% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Saint Louis (2‑1) vs Fordham (3‑2) |
1 | Saint Louis Wins | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Fordham Wins | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Davidson (3‑0) vs George Mason (3‑3) |
0 | Davidson Wins | 13% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| George Mason Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||