Where are the Dayton Flyers going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Dayton standings table presents the probabilities of the Flyers winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| Loyola Chicago | 0i Loyola Chicago Recent Games Won Thu, Nov 07 vs Detroit 87-65 Won Sun, Nov 10 vs Eureka 105-53 Won Fri, Nov 15 @ Princeton 73-68 Won Tue, Nov 19 vs Southern Utah 76-72 Sat, Nov 23 vs Tulsa Tue, Dec 03 vs Eastern Michigan Sat, Dec 07 vs S. Florida Sun, Dec 15 vs San Francisco |
0 | 0 | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Geo. Washington | 0 Geo. Washington Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 04 vs Mercyhurst 76-59 Won Fri, Nov 08 vs Hampton 82-54 Won Tue, Nov 12 vs NC A&T 85-80 Won Mon, Nov 18 vs NJIT 84-64 Fri, Nov 22 @ Kansas St. Fri, Nov 29 vs VMI Wed, Dec 04 @ American Sat, Dec 07 @ Old Dominion |
0 | 0 | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Dayton | 0 Dayton Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 09 vs N. Western 71-66 Won Wed, Nov 13 vs Ball State 77-69 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs Capital 76-55 Won Wed, Nov 20 vs New Mexico St. 74-53 Mon, Nov 25 @ North Carolina Tue, Dec 03 vs Western Michigan Sat, Dec 07 vs Lehigh Sat, Dec 14 vs Marquette |
0 | 0 | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt | 0 St. Bonaventure Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 09 @ Canisius 87-78 Won Wed, Nov 13 @ Fla GC 74-65 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs Le Moyne 71-52 Won Wed, Nov 20 vs Mansfield 76-54 Sun, Nov 24 vs Bryant Thu, Nov 28 vs Utah St. Wed, Dec 04 @ Bucknell Sat, Dec 07 vs Buffalo |
0 | 0 | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Rhode Island | 0 Rhode Island Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 04 vs Fairfield 96-58 Won Fri, Nov 08 vs Holy Cross 91-77 Won Tue, Nov 12 vs Franklin Pierce 105-73 Won Wed, Nov 20 vs Lafayette 86-72 Sun, Nov 24 vs Charleston Wed, Nov 27 @ Detroit Thu, Nov 28 @ UT Arlington Mon, Dec 02 vs Yale |
0 | 0 | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| La Salle | 0 La Salle Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 09 vs Lafayette 81-60 Won Tue, Nov 12 vs Cornell 93-77 Won Sat, Nov 16 @ Drexel 71-68 Lost Thu, Nov 21 @ UC San Diego 67-72 Sat, Nov 30 vs Temple Tue, Dec 03 @ N. Eastern Sat, Dec 14 @ North Carolina Wed, Dec 18 vs Fair. Dickinson |
0 | 0 | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| St. Joseph's | 0 St. Joseph's Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 08 vs Central CT 67-73 Won Tue, Nov 12 vs Villanova 83-76 Won Fri, Nov 15 @ Penn. 86-69 Won Thu, Nov 21 vs Texas Tech 78-77 Tue, Nov 26 vs Coppin St. Tue, Dec 03 vs Princeton Tue, Dec 10 vs Charleston Wed, Dec 18 vs American |
0 | 0 | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| VCU | 0 VCU Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 08 vs Boston College 80-55 Won Wed, Nov 13 vs Merrimack 63-42 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs Loyola-MD 83-57 Lost Thu, Nov 21 vs Seton Hall 66-69 Fri, Nov 29 vs Elizabeth City St. Wed, Dec 04 vs Georgia Southern Mon, Dec 09 vs Penn. Sat, Dec 14 @ Colorado St. |
0 | 0 | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Davidson | 0 Davidson Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 04 vs William Peace 88-47 Won Fri, Nov 08 @ Bowling Green 91-85 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs E. Tennessee St. 76-70 Fri, Nov 22 vs VMI Wed, Nov 27 vs Arizona Fri, Dec 06 vs Charleston Southern Tue, Dec 10 vs Charlotte |
0 | 0 | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Fordham | 0 Fordham Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 09 @ Seton Hall 57-56 Won Tue, Nov 12 vs Bingham. 78-63 Lost Fri, Nov 15 @ Manhattan 76-78 Won Tue, Nov 19 vs Georgian Court 101-61 Fri, Nov 22 vs Drexel Mon, Nov 25 vs Penn State Sun, Dec 01 vs New Hampshire Wed, Dec 04 vs Fair. Dickinson |
0 | 0 | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% |
| George Mason | 0 George Mason Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 11 vs Stony Brook 94-56 Lost Wed, Nov 13 vs Central Michigan 69-70 Lost Sat, Nov 16 @ E. Carolina 77-78 Won Wed, Nov 20 vs Coppin St. 93-55 Sat, Nov 23 vs Ferrum Fri, Nov 29 @ James Madison Tue, Dec 03 vs NC Ashvlle Sat, Dec 07 vs Tulane |
0 | 0 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 8% |
| Saint Louis | 0 Saint Louis Recent Games Lost Mon, Nov 04 @ Santa Clara 78-85 Won Sun, Nov 10 vs Avila 95-44 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs Loyola Marymount 77-71 Fri, Nov 22 vs Wichita St. Mon, Nov 25 vs Quinnip. Wed, Nov 27 vs UMass-Lowell Mon, Dec 02 vs Jackson St. |
0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 10% |
| Richmond | 0 Richmond Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 09 vs Marist 72-79 Lost Wed, Nov 13 @ Charlotte 48-65 Lost Sat, Nov 16 @ Bucknell 76-80 Won Wed, Nov 20 vs Maine 70-66 Mon, Nov 25 vs Florida Tech Tue, Nov 26 @ Louisiana Tech Wed, Nov 27 vs Ball State Sun, Dec 08 @ Auburn |
0 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% |
| UMass | 0 UMass Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 04 vs New Hampshire 103-74 Lost Fri, Nov 08 @ West Virginia 69-75 Lost Wed, Nov 13 vs Louisiana Tech 66-76 Lost Sat, Nov 16 vs Hofstra 71-75 Sat, Nov 23 vs Temple Sun, Nov 24 vs Florida St. Wed, Nov 27 @ Harvard Sun, Dec 01 vs NJIT |
0 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% |
| Duquesne | 0 Duquesne Recent Games Lost Mon, Nov 04 vs Lipscomb 72-77 Lost Fri, Nov 08 vs Princeton 68-75 Lost Fri, Nov 15 @ DePaul 58-84 Lost Tue, Nov 19 vs Wis. Milwaukee 74-80 Sun, Nov 24 vs South Dakota St. Tue, Dec 03 vs St. Peter's Fri, Dec 06 vs Delaware Wed, Dec 11 vs Maine |
0 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 22% | 38% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 84% | ||
| (15)Duquesne | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (14)UMass | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (13)Richmond | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (12)Saint Louis | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (11)George Mason | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (10)Fordham | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (9)Davidson | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (8)VCU | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (7)St. Joseph's | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (4)St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (6)La Salle | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (5)Rhode Island | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (2)Geo. Washington | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (1)Loyola Chicago | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | La Salle (4‑1) |
Home | Tue Dec 31, 2:00 pm | |
| 9 | Geo. Washington (4‑0) |
Away | Sat Jan 4, 12:00 pm | |
| 10 | UMass (1‑3) |
Away | Wed Jan 8, 7:00 pm | |
| 11 | George Mason (3‑3) |
Home | Wed Jan 15, TBD | |
| 11 | Loyola Chicago (5‑0) |
Home | Sat Jan 18, TBD | |
| 12 | Duquesne (0‑4) |
Away | Tue Jan 21, TBD | |
| 12 | St. Joseph's (4‑1) |
Home | Fri Jan 24, TBD | |
| 13 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (5‑0) |
Away | Tue Jan 28, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Saint Louis (2‑1) |
Away | Fri Jan 31, TBD | |
| 14 | Davidson (3‑0) |
Home | Tue Feb 4, TBD | |
| 14 | VCU (4‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 7, TBD | |
| 15 | Fordham (3‑2) |
Away | Wed Feb 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Duquesne (0‑4) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, TBD | |
| 16 | Loyola Chicago (5‑0) |
Away | Fri Feb 21, TBD | |
| 17 | Rhode Island (4‑0) |
Away | Wed Feb 26, TBD | |
| 17 | Richmond (2‑3) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 12:01 am | |
| 18 | Saint Louis (2‑1) |
Home | Tue Mar 4, TBD | |
| 18 | VCU (4‑1) |
Away | Fri Mar 7, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Francis (1‑4) |
NortheastNorth East | 87‑57 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 7:00 pm |
| 1 | NorthwesternN. Western (4‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | 71‑66 | Home | Sat Nov 9, 7:30 pm |
| 2 | Ball State (1‑4) |
MACMAC | 77‑69 | Home | Wed Nov 13, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Capital | ‑‑ | 76‑55 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | New Mexico St. (3‑1) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 74‑53 | Home | Wed Nov 20, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | North Carolina (2‑1) |
ACCACC | Away | Mon Nov 25, 11:30 pm | |
| 5 | Western Michigan (2‑4) |
MACMAC | Home | Tue Dec 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 5 | Lehigh (1‑4) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | Home | Sat Dec 7, 2:00 pm | |
| 6 | Marquette (5‑0) |
Big EastBig East | Home | Sat Dec 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 7 | UNLV (3‑1) |
Mountain WestMntn West | Home | Tue Dec 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 7 | Cincinnati (4‑0) |
Big 12Big 12 | Home | Fri Dec 20, 8:30 pm |