Where are the Dayton Flyers going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Dayton standings table presents the probabilities of the Flyers winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| George Mason | 4i George Mason Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 31 @ La Salle 80-75 Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Rhode Island 61-50 Won Wed, Jan 07 @ Fordham 67-58 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs VCU 86-80 Tue, Jan 13 @ L-Chicago Mon, Jan 19 vs Geo. Washington Sat, Jan 24 @ Rhode Island Wed, Jan 28 vs Davidson |
0 | 4 | 39% | 28% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Dayton | 3 Dayton Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 20 vs Liberty 61-64 Won Wed, Dec 31 vs Fordham 63-56 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ L-Chicago 70-68 Won Tue, Jan 06 vs Geo. Washington 79-72 Tue, Jan 13 @ Duquesne Fri, Jan 16 vs L-Chicago Wed, Jan 21 @ La Salle Sat, Jan 24 @ St. Joseph's |
0 | 3 | 13% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Saint Louis | 3 Saint Louis Recent Games Won Sun, Dec 28 vs Principia College 114-33 Won Wed, Dec 31 vs St. Joseph's 102-79 Won Wed, Jan 07 @ VCU 71-62 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ La Salle 84-72 Wed, Jan 14 vs Fordham Sat, Jan 17 vs Richmond Tue, Jan 20 @ Duquesne Fri, Jan 23 @ St. Bonavnt |
0 | 3 | 39% | 29% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Geo. Washington | 3 Geo. Washington Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 31 @ Richmond 99-85 Won Sat, Jan 03 vs La Salle 77-55 Lost Tue, Jan 06 @ Dayton 72-79 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs L-Chicago 101-66 Wed, Jan 14 vs Davidson Mon, Jan 19 @ George Mason Sat, Jan 24 vs Richmond Tue, Jan 27 @ St. Louis |
1 | 4 | 4% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Davidson | 2 Davidson Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 30 vs Duquesne 83-89 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ St. Joseph's 62-56 Won Wed, Jan 07 @ L-Chicago 79-64 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Rhode Island 45-70 Wed, Jan 14 @ Geo. Washington Wed, Jan 21 vs Fordham Sat, Jan 24 vs VCU Wed, Jan 28 @ George Mason |
2 | 4 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| St. Joseph's | 2 St. Joseph's Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 31 @ St. Louis 79-102 Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Davidson 56-62 Won Wed, Jan 07 vs Duquesne 97-90 Won Sun, Jan 11 @ Richmond 67-65 Wed, Jan 14 vs St. Bonavnt Mon, Jan 19 @ VCU Sat, Jan 24 vs Dayton Tue, Jan 27 @ L-Chicago |
2 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Richmond | 2 Richmond Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 31 vs Geo. Washington 85-99 Won Sun, Jan 04 @ Fordham 83-75 Won Wed, Jan 07 @ St. Bonavnt 89-80 Lost Sun, Jan 11 vs St. Joseph's 65-67 Wed, Jan 14 vs La Salle Sat, Jan 17 @ St. Louis Wed, Jan 21 vs Rhode Island Sat, Jan 24 @ Geo. Washington |
2 | 4 | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| VCU | 2 VCU Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 31 vs St. Bonavnt 89-82 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Duquesne 93-80 Lost Wed, Jan 07 vs St. Louis 62-71 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ George Mason 80-86 Wed, Jan 14 @ Rhode Island Mon, Jan 19 vs St. Joseph's Sat, Jan 24 @ Davidson Tue, Jan 27 vs Richmond |
2 | 4 | 2% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Duquesne | 1 Duquesne Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 27 vs Cleary University 99-49 Won Tue, Dec 30 @ Davidson 89-83 Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs VCU 80-93 Lost Wed, Jan 07 @ St. Joseph's 90-97 Tue, Jan 13 vs Dayton Sat, Jan 17 @ Fordham Tue, Jan 20 vs St. Louis Sat, Jan 24 @ L-Chicago |
2 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 11% |
| La Salle | 1 La Salle Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 31 vs George Mason 75-80 Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Geo. Washington 55-77 Won Wed, Jan 07 @ Rhode Island 79-72 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs St. Louis 72-84 Wed, Jan 14 @ Richmond Sat, Jan 17 vs St. Bonavnt Wed, Jan 21 vs Dayton Wed, Jan 28 @ Fordham |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 21% |
| Loyola Chicago | 1 Loyola Chicago Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 31 @ Rhode Island 61-57 Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Dayton 68-70 Lost Wed, Jan 07 vs Davidson 64-79 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Geo. Washington 66-101 Tue, Jan 13 vs George Mason Fri, Jan 16 @ Dayton Tue, Jan 20 @ St. Bonavnt Sat, Jan 24 vs Duquesne |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 24% | 45% |
| Rhode Island | 1 Rhode Island Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 31 vs L-Chicago 57-61 Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ George Mason 50-61 Lost Wed, Jan 07 vs La Salle 72-79 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Davidson 70-45 Wed, Jan 14 vs VCU Wed, Jan 21 @ Richmond Sat, Jan 24 vs George Mason Tue, Jan 27 @ Dayton |
3 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% |
| Fordham | 1 Fordham Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 31 @ Dayton 56-63 Lost Sun, Jan 04 vs Richmond 75-83 Lost Wed, Jan 07 vs George Mason 58-67 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ St. Bonavnt 81-77 Wed, Jan 14 @ St. Louis Sat, Jan 17 vs Duquesne Wed, Jan 21 @ Davidson Wed, Jan 28 vs La Salle |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 10% |
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt | 0 St. Bonaventure Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 20 vs Le Moyne 92-81 Lost Wed, Dec 31 @ VCU 82-89 Lost Wed, Jan 07 vs Richmond 80-89 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Fordham 77-81 Wed, Jan 14 @ St. Joseph's Sat, Jan 17 @ La Salle Tue, Jan 20 vs L-Chicago Fri, Jan 23 vs St. Louis |
3 | 3 | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 98% | ||
| (11)Loyola Chicago | 1 | 3 | 1% |
| (10)La Salle | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| (13)Fordham | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| (12)Rhode Island | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| (9)Duquesne | 1 | 2 | <1% |
| (6)St. Joseph's | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (14)St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt | 0 | 3 | <1% |
| (5)Davidson | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (7)Richmond | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (4)Geo. Washington | 3 | 1 | <1% |
| (8)VCU | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (1)George Mason | 4 | 0 | <1% |
| (3)Saint Louis | 3 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fordham (10‑7) |
63‑56 | Home | Wed Dec 31, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Loyola Chicago (5‑12) |
70‑68 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | Geo. Washington (12‑5) |
79‑72 | Home | Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Duquesne (9‑7) |
Away | Tue Jan 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 11 | Loyola Chicago (5‑12) |
Home | Fri Jan 16, 8:30 pm | |
| 12 | La Salle (5‑12) |
Away | Wed Jan 21, 6:30 pm | |
| 12 | St. Joseph's (10‑7) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, 6:00 pm | |
| 13 | Rhode Island (10‑7) |
Home | Tue Jan 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Saint Louis (15‑1) |
Away | Fri Jan 30, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (11‑5) |
Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | VCU (11‑6) |
Away | Fri Feb 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Davidson (10‑6) |
Home | Sun Feb 15, 4:00 pm | |
| 16 | George Mason (16‑1) |
Away | Wed Feb 18, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Duquesne (9‑7) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 2:00 pm | |
| 17 | Saint Louis (15‑1) |
Home | Tue Feb 24, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Geo. Washington (12‑5) |
Away | Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | Richmond (12‑5) |
Away | Tue Mar 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | VCU (11‑6) |
Home | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canisius (8‑8) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 88‑48 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | UMBC (9‑6) |
America EastAmerica East | 77‑71 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Cincinnati (8‑7) |
Big 12Big 12 | 62‑74 | Away | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (5‑10) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 91‑82 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 7:30 pm |
| 3 | Marquette (6‑11) |
Big EastBig East | 77‑71 (OT) | Away | Wed Nov 19, 7:30 pm |
| 3 | N.C. Central (6‑11) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 74‑55 | Home | Sat Nov 22, 2:00 pm |
| 4 | Georgetown (9‑7) |
Big EastBig East | 84‑79 (OT) | Home | Thu Nov 27, 7:30 pm |
| 4 | BYU (15‑1) |
Big 12Big 12 | 79‑83 | Home | Fri Nov 28, 9:30 pm |
| 5 | E. Tennessee St. (12‑5) |
SouthernSouthern | 88‑71 | Home | Tue Dec 2, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Virginia (14‑2) |
ACCACC | 73‑86 | Away | Sat Dec 6, 12:00 pm |
| 6 | North Florida (2‑15) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 84‑61 | Home | Sat Dec 13, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Florida St. (7‑9) |
ACCACC | 97‑69 | Home | Tue Dec 16, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Liberty (13‑3) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 61‑64 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 12:30 pm |