Where are the Dayton Flyers going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Dayton standings table presents the probabilities of the Flyers winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| Saint Louis | 3i Saint Louis Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 28 vs William Woods 78-57 Won Tue, Dec 31 @ Fordham 88-63 Won Fri, Jan 03 vs St. Joseph's 73-57 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs St. Bonavnt 73-68 Tue, Jan 14 @ VCU Sat, Jan 18 @ Richmond Wed, Jan 22 vs La Salle Sat, Jan 25 @ Geo. Washington |
0 | 3 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| George Mason | 3 George Mason Recent Games Won Tue, Dec 31 vs Davidson 69-57 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Rhode Island 59-62 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs Richmond 64-58 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs UMass 77-70 Wed, Jan 15 @ Dayton Sat, Jan 18 vs Geo. Washington Tue, Jan 21 @ St. Bonavnt Wed, Jan 29 vs L-Chicago |
1 | 4 | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Davidson | 2 Davidson Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 28 vs Eastern Michigan 86-64 Lost Tue, Dec 31 @ George Mason 57-69 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Duquesne 77-71 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Fordham 74-64 Wed, Jan 15 @ La Salle Sat, Jan 18 @ Rhode Island Tue, Jan 21 vs St. Joseph's Sat, Jan 25 @ Richmond |
1 | 3 | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Geo. Washington | 2 Geo. Washington Recent Games Won Sun, Dec 22 vs UVA Wise 102-62 Lost Tue, Dec 31 @ Richmond 61-66 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Dayton 82-62 Won Wed, Jan 08 @ Rhode Island 75-67 Wed, Jan 15 vs Duquesne Sat, Jan 18 @ George Mason Wed, Jan 22 @ UMass Sat, Jan 25 vs St. Louis |
1 | 3 | 15% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| VCU | 2 VCU Recent Games Won Sun, Dec 22 vs William & Mary 90-70 Lost Tue, Dec 31 @ St. Bonavnt 75-77 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ L-Chicago 84-65 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs Fordham 73-61 Tue, Jan 14 vs St. Louis Fri, Jan 17 @ St. Joseph's Tue, Jan 21 @ Rhode Island Fri, Jan 24 vs St. Bonavnt |
1 | 3 | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Duquesne | 2 Duquesne Recent Games Won Fri, Dec 27 vs Cleary 93-45 Won Tue, Dec 31 vs Rhode Island 67-55 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Davidson 71-77 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs St. Joseph's 85-81 Wed, Jan 15 @ Geo. Washington Sat, Jan 18 vs St. Bonavnt Tue, Jan 21 vs Dayton Sun, Jan 26 @ Fordham |
1 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 9% |
| Rhode Island | 2 Rhode Island Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 31 @ Duquesne 55-67 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs George Mason 62-59 Lost Wed, Jan 08 vs Geo. Washington 67-75 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ Richmond 67-64 Wed, Jan 15 @ L-Chicago Sat, Jan 18 vs Davidson Tue, Jan 21 vs VCU Sat, Jan 25 @ La Salle |
2 | 4 | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt | 2 St. Bonaventure Recent Games Won Tue, Dec 31 vs VCU 77-75 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Fordham 86-66 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ St. Louis 68-73 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs La Salle 82-83 Wed, Jan 15 vs Richmond Sat, Jan 18 @ Duquesne Tue, Jan 21 vs George Mason Fri, Jan 24 @ VCU |
2 | 4 | 16% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| St. Joseph's | 2 St. Joseph's Recent Games Won Tue, Dec 31 vs UMass 81-72 Lost Fri, Jan 03 @ St. Louis 57-73 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ Duquesne 81-85 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs L-Chicago 93-57 Fri, Jan 17 vs VCU Tue, Jan 21 @ Davidson Fri, Jan 24 @ Dayton Wed, Jan 29 vs Duquesne |
2 | 4 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Richmond | 2 Richmond Recent Games Won Tue, Dec 31 vs Geo. Washington 66-61 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ UMass 72-64 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ George Mason 58-64 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Rhode Island 64-67 Wed, Jan 15 @ St. Bonavnt Sat, Jan 18 vs St. Louis Sat, Jan 25 vs Davidson Wed, Jan 29 @ Geo. Washington |
2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 11% |
| Loyola Chicago | 1 Loyola Chicago Recent Games Lost Sun, Dec 22 @ Oakland 71-72 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs VCU 65-84 Won Wed, Jan 08 @ La Salle 79-68 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ St. Joseph's 57-93 Wed, Jan 15 vs Rhode Island Sat, Jan 18 @ Dayton Wed, Jan 22 vs Fordham Wed, Jan 29 @ George Mason |
2 | 3 | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Dayton | 1 Dayton Recent Games Lost Fri, Dec 20 vs Cincinnati 59-66 Won Tue, Dec 31 vs La Salle 84-70 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Geo. Washington 62-82 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ UMass 72-76 Wed, Jan 15 vs George Mason Sat, Jan 18 vs L-Chicago Tue, Jan 21 @ Duquesne Fri, Jan 24 vs St. Joseph's |
2 | 3 | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| La Salle | 1 La Salle Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 21 vs Immaculata 108-48 Lost Tue, Dec 31 @ Dayton 70-84 Lost Wed, Jan 08 vs L-Chicago 68-79 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ St. Bonavnt 83-82 Wed, Jan 15 vs Davidson Sun, Jan 19 @ UMass Wed, Jan 22 @ St. Louis Sat, Jan 25 vs Rhode Island |
2 | 3 | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% |
| UMass | 1 UMass Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 31 @ St. Joseph's 72-81 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Richmond 64-72 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs Dayton 76-72 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ George Mason 70-77 Wed, Jan 15 @ Fordham Sun, Jan 19 vs La Salle Wed, Jan 22 vs Geo. Washington Wed, Jan 29 @ Rhode Island |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 43% |
| Fordham | 0 Fordham Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 31 vs St. Louis 63-88 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs St. Bonavnt 66-86 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ VCU 61-73 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Davidson 64-74 Wed, Jan 15 vs UMass Wed, Jan 22 @ L-Chicago Sun, Jan 26 vs Duquesne Wed, Jan 29 @ La Salle |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 27% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 77% | ||
| (14)UMass | 1 | 3 | 6% |
| (15)Fordham | 0 | 4 | 5% |
| (10)Richmond | 2 | 2 | 4% |
| (6)Duquesne | 2 | 1 | 3% |
| (9)St. Joseph's | 2 | 2 | 1% |
| (13)La Salle | 1 | 2 | 1% |
| (11)Loyola Chicago | 1 | 2 | 1% |
| (1)Saint Louis | 3 | 0 | 1% |
| (2)George Mason | 3 | 1 | <1% |
| (4)Geo. Washington | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (3)Davidson | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (5)VCU | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (7)Rhode Island | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (8)St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | La Salle (9‑6) |
84‑70 | Home | Tue Dec 31, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Geo. Washington (13‑3) |
62‑82 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 12:00 pm |
| 10 | UMass (6‑11) |
72‑76 | Away | Wed Jan 8, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | George Mason (12‑5) |
Home | Wed Jan 15, 7:00 pm | |
| 11 | Loyola Chicago (10‑4) |
Home | Sat Jan 18, TBD | |
| 12 | Duquesne (7‑9) |
Away | Tue Jan 21, TBD | |
| 12 | St. Joseph's (10‑6) |
Home | Fri Jan 24, TBD | |
| 13 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (14‑3) |
Away | Tue Jan 28, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Saint Louis (10‑6) |
Away | Fri Jan 31, TBD | |
| 14 | Davidson (12‑4) |
Home | Tue Feb 4, TBD | |
| 14 | VCU (12‑4) |
Home | Fri Feb 7, TBD | |
| 15 | Fordham (8‑9) |
Away | Wed Feb 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Duquesne (7‑9) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, TBD | |
| 16 | Loyola Chicago (10‑4) |
Away | Fri Feb 21, TBD | |
| 17 | Rhode Island (13‑3) |
Away | Wed Feb 26, TBD | |
| 17 | Richmond (7‑10) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 12:01 am | |
| 18 | Saint Louis (10‑6) |
Home | Tue Mar 4, TBD | |
| 18 | VCU (12‑4) |
Away | Fri Mar 7, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Francis (4‑11) |
NortheastNorth East | 87‑57 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 7:00 pm |
| 1 | NorthwesternN. Western (10‑5) |
Big 10Big 10 | 71‑66 | Home | Sat Nov 9, 7:30 pm |
| 2 | Ball State (8‑7) |
MACMAC | 77‑69 | Home | Wed Nov 13, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Capital | ‑‑ | 76‑55 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | New Mexico St. (10‑6) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 74‑53 | Home | Wed Nov 20, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | North Carolina (11‑6) |
ACCACC | 90‑92 | Away | Mon Nov 25, 11:30 pm |
| 4 | Iowa St. (13‑1) |
Big 12Big 12 | 84‑89 | Home | Tue Nov 26, 8:30 pm |
| 4 | UConn (14‑4) |
Big EastBig East | 85‑67 | Home | Thu Nov 28, 12:01 am |
| 5 | Western Michigan (3‑12) |
MACMAC | 77‑69 | Home | Tue Dec 3, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Lehigh (6‑9) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 86‑62 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 2:00 pm |
| 6 | Marquette (14‑2) |
Big EastBig East | 71‑63 | Home | Sat Dec 14, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | UNLV (9‑7) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 66‑65 | Home | Tue Dec 17, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Cincinnati (10‑5) |
Big 12Big 12 | 59‑66 | Home | Fri Dec 20, 8:30 pm |