Where are the Dayton Flyers going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Dayton standings table presents the probabilities of the Flyers winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| Saint Louis | 8i Saint Louis Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Richmond 88-63 Won Tue, Jan 20 @ Duquesne 81-77 Won Fri, Jan 23 @ St. Bonavnt 97-62 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Geo. Washington 79-76 Fri, Jan 30 vs Dayton Tue, Feb 03 @ Davidson Sat, Feb 07 vs La Salle Fri, Feb 13 @ L-Chicago |
0 | 8 | 70% | 24% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| George Mason | 7 George Mason Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 13 @ L-Chicago 82-74 Won Mon, Jan 19 vs Geo. Washington 69-64 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Rhode Island 65-74 Won Wed, Jan 28 vs Davidson 60-52 Sat, Jan 31 @ St. Bonavnt Wed, Feb 04 vs Duquesne Sat, Feb 07 vs St. Joseph's Tue, Feb 10 @ Richmond |
1 | 8 | 25% | 46% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| VCU | 6 VCU Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Rhode Island 84-75 Won Mon, Jan 19 vs St. Joseph's 79-72 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Davidson 75-69 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Richmond 77-69 Fri, Jan 30 vs L-Chicago Tue, Feb 03 @ Fordham Fri, Feb 06 vs Dayton Wed, Feb 11 @ La Salle |
2 | 8 | 5% | 23% | 43% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| St. Joseph's | 5 St. Joseph's Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 14 vs St. Bonavnt 68-64 Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ VCU 72-79 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Dayton 81-74 Won Tue, Jan 27 @ L-Chicago 85-64 Sat, Jan 31 @ La Salle Wed, Feb 04 vs Geo. Washington Sat, Feb 07 @ George Mason Tue, Feb 10 vs Fordham |
3 | 8 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Dayton | 5 Dayton Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 16 vs L-Chicago 78-51 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ La Salle 64-67 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ St. Joseph's 74-81 Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs Rhode Island 76-81 Fri, Jan 30 @ St. Louis Tue, Feb 03 vs St. Bonavnt Fri, Feb 06 @ VCU Sun, Feb 15 vs Davidson |
3 | 8 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Rhode Island | 4 Rhode Island Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs VCU 75-84 Won Wed, Jan 21 @ Richmond 69-68 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs George Mason 74-65 Won Tue, Jan 27 @ Dayton 81-76 Sun, Feb 01 @ Duquesne Sat, Feb 07 vs Richmond Tue, Feb 10 @ Geo. Washington Sat, Feb 14 vs Fordham |
4 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Davidson | 4 Davidson Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Geo. Washington 84-79 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Fordham 68-63 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs VCU 69-75 Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ George Mason 52-60 Sat, Jan 31 @ Richmond Tue, Feb 03 vs St. Louis Fri, Feb 06 vs L-Chicago Sun, Feb 15 @ Dayton |
4 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Geo. Washington | 4 Geo. Washington Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Davidson 79-84 Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ George Mason 64-69 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Richmond 85-69 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ St. Louis 76-79 Sat, Jan 31 vs Fordham Wed, Feb 04 @ St. Joseph's Sat, Feb 07 @ Duquesne Tue, Feb 10 vs Rhode Island |
4 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| La Salle | 3 La Salle Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Richmond 53-74 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs St. Bonavnt 78-74 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Dayton 67-64 Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ Fordham 58-64 Sat, Jan 31 vs St. Joseph's Tue, Feb 03 @ L-Chicago Sat, Feb 07 @ St. Louis Wed, Feb 11 vs VCU |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 4% |
| Duquesne | 3 Duquesne Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Fordham 74-63 Lost Tue, Jan 20 vs St. Louis 77-81 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ L-Chicago 71-59 Lost Wed, Jan 28 vs St. Bonavnt 79-87 Sun, Feb 01 vs Rhode Island Wed, Feb 04 @ George Mason Sat, Feb 07 vs Geo. Washington Sat, Feb 14 @ St. Bonavnt |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 14% | 1% |
| Richmond | 3 Richmond Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ St. Louis 63-88 Lost Wed, Jan 21 vs Rhode Island 68-69 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Geo. Washington 69-85 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ VCU 69-77 Sat, Jan 31 vs Davidson Sat, Feb 07 @ Rhode Island Tue, Feb 10 vs George Mason Sat, Feb 14 vs VCU |
6 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 1% |
| Fordham | 2 Fordham Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ St. Louis 56-78 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Duquesne 63-74 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Davidson 63-68 Won Wed, Jan 28 vs La Salle 64-58 Sat, Jan 31 @ Geo. Washington Tue, Feb 03 vs VCU Sat, Feb 07 vs St. Bonavnt Tue, Feb 10 @ St. Joseph's |
6 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 31% | 10% |
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt | 2 St. Bonaventure Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ La Salle 74-78 Won Tue, Jan 20 vs L-Chicago 84-70 Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs St. Louis 62-97 Won Wed, Jan 28 @ Duquesne 87-79 Sat, Jan 31 vs George Mason Tue, Feb 03 @ Dayton Sat, Feb 07 @ Fordham Sat, Feb 14 vs Duquesne |
6 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 1% |
| Loyola Chicago | 1 Loyola Chicago Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 16 @ Dayton 51-78 Lost Tue, Jan 20 @ St. Bonavnt 70-84 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Duquesne 59-71 Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs St. Joseph's 64-85 Fri, Jan 30 @ VCU Tue, Feb 03 vs La Salle Fri, Feb 06 @ Davidson Fri, Feb 13 vs St. Louis |
8 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 82% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 93% | ||
| (14)Loyola Chicago | 1 | 8 | 4% |
| (12)Fordham | 2 | 6 | 1% |
| (9)La Salle | 3 | 5 | 1% |
| (10)Duquesne | 3 | 5 | <1% |
| (13)St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt | 2 | 6 | <1% |
| (11)Richmond | 3 | 6 | <1% |
| (6)Rhode Island | 4 | 4 | <1% |
| (7)Davidson | 4 | 4 | <1% |
| (4)St. Joseph's | 5 | 3 | <1% |
| (8)Geo. Washington | 4 | 4 | <1% |
| (1)Saint Louis | 8 | 0 | <1% |
| (2)George Mason | 7 | 1 | <1% |
| (3)VCU | 6 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fordham (11‑10) |
63‑56 | Home | Wed Dec 31, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Loyola Chicago (5‑17) |
70‑68 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | Geo. Washington (13‑8) |
79‑72 | Home | Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Duquesne (11‑10) |
71‑65 | Away | Tue Jan 13, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Loyola Chicago (5‑17) |
78‑51 | Home | Fri Jan 16, 8:30 pm |
| 12 | La Salle (7‑14) |
64‑67 | Away | Wed Jan 21, 6:30 pm |
| 12 | St. Joseph's (13‑8) |
74‑81 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 6:00 pm |
| 13 | Rhode Island (13‑8) |
76‑81 (OT) | Home | Tue Jan 27, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Saint Louis (20‑1) |
Away | Fri Jan 30, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (13‑8) |
Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | VCU (15‑6) |
Away | Fri Feb 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Davidson (12‑8) |
Home | Sun Feb 15, 4:00 pm | |
| 16 | George Mason (19‑2) |
Away | Wed Feb 18, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Duquesne (11‑10) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 2:00 pm | |
| 17 | Saint Louis (20‑1) |
Home | Tue Feb 24, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Geo. Washington (13‑8) |
Away | Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | Richmond (13‑9) |
Away | Tue Mar 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | VCU (15‑6) |
Home | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canisius (8‑13) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 88‑48 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | UMBC (12‑7) |
America EastAmerica East | 77‑71 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Cincinnati (11‑10) |
Big 12Big 12 | 62‑74 | Away | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (9‑11) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 91‑82 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 7:30 pm |
| 3 | Marquette (8‑14) |
Big EastBig East | 77‑71 (OT) | Away | Wed Nov 19, 7:30 pm |
| 3 | N.C. Central (7‑12) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 74‑55 | Home | Sat Nov 22, 2:00 pm |
| 4 | Georgetown (11‑10) |
Big EastBig East | 84‑79 (OT) | Home | Thu Nov 27, 7:30 pm |
| 4 | BYU (17‑3) |
Big 12Big 12 | 79‑83 | Home | Fri Nov 28, 9:30 pm |
| 5 | E. Tennessee St. (15‑6) |
SouthernSouthern | 88‑71 | Home | Tue Dec 2, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Virginia (17‑3) |
ACCACC | 73‑86 | Away | Sat Dec 6, 12:00 pm |
| 6 | North Florida (5‑16) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 84‑61 | Home | Sat Dec 13, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Florida St. (9‑12) |
ACCACC | 97‑69 | Home | Tue Dec 16, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Liberty (17‑3) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 61‑64 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 12:30 pm |