Where are the Dayton Flyers going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Dayton standings table presents the probabilities of the Flyers winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| George Mason | 12i George Mason Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 05 @ Geo. Washington 53-50 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Rhode Island 82-67 Won Tue, Feb 11 @ St. Louis 76-74 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs St. Joseph's 58-57 Sat, Feb 22 @ VCU Wed, Feb 26 vs Fordham Sat, Mar 01 @ Duquesne Wed, Mar 05 vs La Salle |
1 | 13 | 70% | 30% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| VCU | 11 VCU Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 04 vs La Salle 96-66 Won Fri, Feb 07 @ Dayton 73-68 Won Wed, Feb 12 @ Geo. Washington 80-72 Won Wed, Feb 19 vs UMass 80-51 Sat, Feb 22 vs George Mason Tue, Feb 25 @ Richmond Fri, Feb 28 vs Davidson Tue, Mar 04 @ Duquesne |
2 | 13 | 30% | 68% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Dayton | 8 Dayton Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 04 vs Davidson 69-63 Lost Fri, Feb 07 vs VCU 68-73 Won Wed, Feb 12 @ Fordham 93-76 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Duquesne 77-76 Fri, Feb 21 @ L-Chicago Wed, Feb 26 @ Rhode Island Sat, Mar 01 vs Richmond Tue, Mar 04 vs St. Louis |
5 | 13 | <1% | 2% | 48% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Loyola Chicago | 8 Loyola Chicago Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Duquesne 56-69 Won Tue, Feb 11 @ Richmond 87-80 Won Fri, Feb 14 vs St. Louis 78-69 Won Tue, Feb 18 @ Davidson 77-69 Fri, Feb 21 vs Dayton Wed, Feb 26 vs Geo. Washington Sat, Mar 01 @ St. Louis Wed, Mar 05 vs Davidson |
5 | 13 | <1% | <1% | 33% | 29% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Saint Louis | 7 Saint Louis Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 04 @ UMass 73-71 Lost Fri, Feb 07 @ St. Joseph's 63-76 Lost Tue, Feb 11 vs George Mason 74-76 Lost Fri, Feb 14 @ L-Chicago 69-78 Sat, Feb 22 vs Rhode Island Tue, Feb 25 @ Davidson Sat, Mar 01 vs L-Chicago Tue, Mar 04 @ Dayton |
6 | 13 | X | <1% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| St. Joseph's | 7 St. Joseph's Recent Games Won Fri, Feb 07 vs St. Louis 76-63 Won Wed, Feb 12 vs La Salle 75-63 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ George Mason 57-58 Won Wed, Feb 19 @ Geo. Washington 79-68 Sat, Feb 22 vs Richmond Wed, Feb 26 vs St. Bonavnt Sat, Mar 01 @ Fordham Wed, Mar 05 vs Rhode Island |
6 | 13 | X | <1% | 6% | 22% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Duquesne | 6 Duquesne Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ Richmond 68-73 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs L-Chicago 69-56 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Dayton 76-77 Won Wed, Feb 19 vs Fordham 73-64 Sat, Feb 22 @ St. Bonavnt Wed, Feb 26 @ La Salle Sat, Mar 01 vs George Mason Tue, Mar 04 vs VCU |
7 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 1% |
| Rhode Island | 6 Rhode Island Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ Fordham 79-80 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ George Mason 67-82 Won Wed, Feb 12 vs St. Bonavnt 68-64 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs La Salle 86-71 Sat, Feb 22 @ St. Louis Wed, Feb 26 vs Dayton Sat, Mar 01 @ UMass Wed, Mar 05 @ St. Joseph's |
7 | 13 | X | <1% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| UMass | 6 UMass Recent Games Won Sun, Feb 09 @ La Salle 78-55 Lost Wed, Feb 12 vs Davidson 68-77 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs St. Bonavnt 59-73 Lost Wed, Feb 19 @ VCU 51-80 Sat, Feb 22 @ Geo. Washington Sat, Mar 01 vs Rhode Island Wed, Mar 05 @ St. Bonavnt Sat, Mar 08 vs L-Chicago |
8 | 14 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 13% | 2% | <1% |
| Geo. Washington | 6 Geo. Washington Recent Games Won Sun, Feb 09 @ St. Bonavnt 62-52 Lost Wed, Feb 12 vs VCU 72-80 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ Davidson 74-67 Lost Wed, Feb 19 vs St. Joseph's 68-79 Sat, Feb 22 vs UMass Wed, Feb 26 @ L-Chicago Sat, Mar 01 vs La Salle Wed, Mar 05 @ Fordham |
8 | 14 | X | X | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt | 6 St. Bonaventure Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 04 @ L-Chicago 53-77 Lost Sun, Feb 09 vs Geo. Washington 52-62 Lost Wed, Feb 12 @ Rhode Island 64-68 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ UMass 73-59 Sat, Feb 22 vs Duquesne Wed, Feb 26 @ St. Joseph's Wed, Mar 05 vs UMass Sat, Mar 08 @ Davidson |
8 | 14 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Davidson | 5 Davidson Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Richmond 71-60 Won Wed, Feb 12 @ UMass 77-68 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Geo. Washington 67-74 Lost Tue, Feb 18 vs L-Chicago 69-77 Sat, Feb 22 @ Fordham Tue, Feb 25 vs St. Louis Fri, Feb 28 @ VCU Wed, Mar 05 @ L-Chicago |
8 | 13 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Richmond | 5 Richmond Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Davidson 60-71 Lost Tue, Feb 11 vs L-Chicago 80-87 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Fordham 70-66 Won Wed, Feb 19 @ La Salle 63-58 Sat, Feb 22 @ St. Joseph's Tue, Feb 25 vs VCU Sat, Mar 01 @ Dayton Sat, Mar 08 vs George Mason |
9 | 14 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 40% | 26% | 5% |
| La Salle | 4 La Salle Recent Games Lost Sun, Feb 09 vs UMass 55-78 Lost Wed, Feb 12 @ St. Joseph's 63-75 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Rhode Island 71-86 Lost Wed, Feb 19 vs Richmond 58-63 Wed, Feb 26 vs Duquesne Sat, Mar 01 @ Geo. Washington Wed, Mar 05 @ George Mason Sat, Mar 08 vs St. Joseph's |
10 | 14 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 34% | 30% |
| Fordham | 3 Fordham Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 05 vs Rhode Island 80-79 Lost Wed, Feb 12 vs Dayton 76-93 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Richmond 66-70 Lost Wed, Feb 19 @ Duquesne 64-73 Sat, Feb 22 vs Davidson Wed, Feb 26 @ George Mason Sat, Mar 01 vs St. Joseph's Wed, Mar 05 vs Geo. Washington |
10 | 13 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 26% | 62% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | >99% | ||
| (15)Fordham | 3 | 10 | <1% |
| (14)La Salle | 4 | 10 | <1% |
| (7)Duquesne | 6 | 7 | <1% |
| (12)Davidson | 5 | 8 | <1% |
| (13)Richmond | 5 | 9 | <1% |
| (9)UMass | 6 | 8 | <1% |
| (10)Geo. Washington | 6 | 8 | <1% |
| (11)St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt | 6 | 8 | <1% |
| (6)St. Joseph's | 7 | 6 | <1% |
| (8)Rhode Island | 6 | 7 | <1% |
| (4)Loyola Chicago | 8 | 5 | <1% |
| (5)Saint Louis | 7 | 6 | <1% |
| (1)George Mason | 12 | 1 | X |
| (2)VCU | 11 | 2 | X |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | La Salle (12‑14) |
84‑70 | Home | Tue Dec 31, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Geo. Washington (17‑10) |
62‑82 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 12:00 pm |
| 10 | UMass (11‑16) |
72‑76 | Away | Wed Jan 8, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | George Mason (21‑5) |
59‑67 | Home | Wed Jan 15, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Loyola Chicago (17‑9) |
83‑81 (OT) | Home | Sat Jan 18, 4:00 pm |
| 12 | Duquesne (11‑15) |
82‑62 | Away | Tue Jan 21, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | St. Joseph's (15‑10) |
77‑72 | Home | Fri Jan 24, 7:30 pm |
| 13 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (18‑9) |
53‑75 | Away | Tue Jan 28, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Saint Louis (14‑12) |
71‑63 | Away | Fri Jan 31, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Davidson (15‑11) |
69‑63 | Home | Tue Feb 4, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | VCU (21‑5) |
68‑73 | Home | Fri Feb 7, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Fordham (11‑15) |
93‑76 | Away | Wed Feb 12, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Duquesne (11‑15) |
77‑76 | Home | Sat Feb 15, 2:30 pm |
| 16 | Loyola Chicago (17‑9) |
Away | Fri Feb 21, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Rhode Island (17‑8) |
Away | Wed Feb 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Richmond (10‑17) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 12:01 am | |
| 18 | Saint Louis (14‑12) |
Home | Tue Mar 4, TBD | |
| 18 | VCU (21‑5) |
Away | Fri Mar 7, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Francis (8‑17) |
NortheastNorth East | 87‑57 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 7:00 pm |
| 1 | NorthwesternN. Western (13‑13) |
Big 10Big 10 | 71‑66 | Home | Sat Nov 9, 7:30 pm |
| 2 | Ball State (13‑13) |
MACMAC | 77‑69 | Home | Wed Nov 13, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Capital | ‑‑ | 76‑55 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | New Mexico St. (13‑12) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 74‑53 | Home | Wed Nov 20, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | North Carolina (15‑11) |
ACCACC | 90‑92 | Away | Mon Nov 25, 11:30 pm |
| 4 | Iowa St. (20‑5) |
Big 12Big 12 | 84‑89 | Home | Tue Nov 26, 8:30 pm |
| 4 | UConn (18‑8) |
Big EastBig East | 85‑67 | Home | Thu Nov 28, 12:01 am |
| 5 | Western Michigan (9‑17) |
MACMAC | 77‑69 | Home | Tue Dec 3, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Lehigh (10‑16) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 86‑62 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 2:00 pm |
| 6 | Marquette (20‑6) |
Big EastBig East | 71‑63 | Home | Sat Dec 14, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | UNLV (14‑12) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 66‑65 | Home | Tue Dec 17, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Cincinnati (15‑10) |
Big 12Big 12 | 59‑66 | Home | Fri Dec 20, 8:30 pm |