The Most Important Games for the Geo. Washington Colonials are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colonials final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Geo. Washington Colonials fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Geo. Washington Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Richmond (14‑13) vs St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (14‑12) |
3 | Richmond Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | 37% | 19% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 25% | 36% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 24% | 34% | 20% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Davidson (16‑10) vs Fordham (15‑12) |
1 | Davidson Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 29% | 38% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 25% | 36% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fordham Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 33% | 27% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dayton (17‑9) vs Duquesne (16‑10) |
0 | Dayton Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 26% | 36% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 25% | 36% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duquesne Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 37% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Joseph's (16‑10) vs Loyola Chicago (6‑21) |
0 | St. Joseph's Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 25% | 35% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 25% | 36% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola Chicago Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| La Salle (7‑19) vs Rhode Island (15‑11) |
0 | La Salle Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 32% | 32% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 25% | 36% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rhode Island Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 22% | 37% | 22% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Saint Louis (24‑2) vs VCU (21‑6) |
0 | Saint Louis Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 25% | 36% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 25% | 36% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VCU Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 25% | 36% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||