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Thu Feb 13 8:15 am

Atlantic 10 Basketball - Week 15 of 18

Geo. Washington Colonials Standings

Where are the Geo. Washington Colonials going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Geo. Washington standings table presents the probabilities of the Colonials winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atlantic 10 Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10 11 12 13 14 15
George Mason 11i
George Mason Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 01 @  Davidson         64-60 
Won  Wed, Feb 05 @  Geo. Washington  53-50 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs Rhode Island     82-67 
Won  Tue, Feb 11 @  St. Louis        76-74 
     Sat, Feb 15 vs St. Joseph's    
     Sat, Feb 22 @  VCU             
     Wed, Feb 26 vs Fordham         
     Sat, Mar 01 @  Duquesne        

1 12 67% 33% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
VCU 10
VCU Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 01 vs Richmond         90-49 
Won  Tue, Feb 04 vs La Salle         96-66 
Won  Fri, Feb 07 @  Dayton           73-68 
Won  Wed, Feb 12 @  Geo. Washington  80-72 
     Wed, Feb 19 vs UMass           
     Sat, Feb 22 vs George Mason    
     Tue, Feb 25 @  Richmond        
     Fri, Feb 28 vs Davidson        

2 12 33% 63% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Dayton 7
Dayton Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 31 @  St. Louis        71-63 
Won  Tue, Feb 04 vs Davidson         69-63 
Lost Fri, Feb 07 vs VCU              68-73 
Won  Wed, Feb 12 @  Fordham          93-76 
     Sat, Feb 15 vs Duquesne        
     Fri, Feb 21 @  L-Chicago       
     Wed, Feb 26 @  Rhode Island    
     Sat, Mar 01 vs Richmond        

5 12 <1% 3% 46% 20% 12% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Saint Louis 7
Saint Louis Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 31 vs Dayton           63-71 
Won  Tue, Feb 04 @  UMass            73-71 
Lost Fri, Feb 07 @  St. Joseph's     63-76 
Lost Tue, Feb 11 vs George Mason     74-76 
     Fri, Feb 14 @  L-Chicago       
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Rhode Island    
     Tue, Feb 25 @  Davidson        
     Sat, Mar 01 vs L-Chicago       

5 12 <1% <1% 16% 18% 16% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Joseph's 6
St. Joseph's Recent Games

Won  Wed, Jan 29 vs Duquesne         76-72 
Lost Sat, Feb 01 @  L-Chicago        55-58 
Won  Fri, Feb 07 vs St. Louis        76-63 
Won  Wed, Feb 12 vs La Salle         75-63 
     Sat, Feb 15 @  George Mason    
     Wed, Feb 19 @  Geo. Washington 
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Richmond        
     Wed, Feb 26 vs St. Bonavnt     

5 11 <1% <1% 11% 19% 18% 14% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Loyola Chicago 6
Loyola Chicago Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 01 vs St. Joseph's     58-55 
Won  Tue, Feb 04 vs St. Bonavnt      77-53 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  Duquesne         56-69 
Won  Tue, Feb 11 @  Richmond         87-80 
     Fri, Feb 14 vs St. Louis       
     Tue, Feb 18 @  Davidson        
     Fri, Feb 21 vs Dayton          
     Wed, Feb 26 vs Geo. Washington 

5 11 <1% <1% 14% 17% 15% 14% 11% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 1% <1% <1%
UMass 6
UMass Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 01 @  Duquesne         62-53 
Lost Tue, Feb 04 vs St. Louis        71-73 
Won  Sun, Feb 09 @  La Salle         78-55 
Lost Wed, Feb 12 vs Davidson         68-77 
     Sat, Feb 15 vs St. Bonavnt     
     Wed, Feb 19 @  VCU             
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Geo. Washington 
     Sat, Mar 01 vs Rhode Island    

6 12 <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 10% 13% 16% 17% 16% 8% 2% <1%
Davidson 5
Davidson Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs George Mason     60-64 
Lost Tue, Feb 04 @  Dayton           63-69 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs Richmond         71-60 
Won  Wed, Feb 12 @  UMass            77-68 
     Sat, Feb 15 vs Geo. Washington 
     Tue, Feb 18 vs L-Chicago       
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Fordham         
     Tue, Feb 25 vs St. Louis       

6 11 <1% <1% 3% 7% 9% 11% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 7% 5% 2% <1%
Duquesne 5
Duquesne Recent Games

Lost Wed, Jan 29 @  St. Joseph's     72-76 
Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs UMass            53-62 
Lost Wed, Feb 05 @  Richmond         68-73 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs L-Chicago        69-56 
     Sat, Feb 15 @  Dayton          
     Wed, Feb 19 vs Fordham         
     Sat, Feb 22 @  St. Bonavnt     
     Wed, Feb 26 @  La Salle        

6 11 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 11% 14% 18% 18% 5%
Geo. Washington 5
Geo. Washington Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 01 @  La Salle         67-73 
Lost Wed, Feb 05 vs George Mason     50-53 
Won  Sun, Feb 09 @  St. Bonavnt      62-52 
Lost Wed, Feb 12 vs VCU              72-80 
     Sat, Feb 15 @  Davidson        
     Wed, Feb 19 vs St. Joseph's    
     Sat, Feb 22 vs UMass           
     Wed, Feb 26 @  L-Chicago       

7 12 X <1% 3% 7% 9% 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 7% 5% 1%
Rhode Island 5
Rhode Island Recent Games

Won  Wed, Jan 29 vs UMass            88-82 
Lost Wed, Feb 05 @  Fordham          79-80 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  George Mason     67-82 
Won  Wed, Feb 12 vs St. Bonavnt      68-64 
     Sat, Feb 15 vs La Salle        
     Sat, Feb 22 @  St. Louis       
     Wed, Feb 26 vs Dayton          
     Sat, Mar 01 @  UMass           

7 12 <1% <1% 4% 8% 10% 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 3% <1%
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt 5
St. Bonaventure Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 01 vs Fordham          74-72 
Lost Tue, Feb 04 @  L-Chicago        53-77 
Lost Sun, Feb 09 vs Geo. Washington  52-62 
Lost Wed, Feb 12 @  Rhode Island     64-68 
     Sat, Feb 15 @  UMass           
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Duquesne        
     Wed, Feb 26 @  St. Joseph's    
     Wed, Mar 05 vs UMass           

8 13 X <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 11% 13% 14% 14% 13% 12% 8% 2% <1%
La Salle 4
La Salle Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 01 vs Geo. Washington  73-67 
Lost Tue, Feb 04 @  VCU              66-96 
Lost Sun, Feb 09 vs UMass            55-78 
Lost Wed, Feb 12 @  St. Joseph's     63-75 
     Sat, Feb 15 @  Rhode Island    
     Wed, Feb 19 vs Richmond        
     Wed, Feb 26 vs Duquesne        
     Sat, Mar 01 @  Geo. Washington 

8 12 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 9% 12% 16% 19% 17% 7%
Fordham 3
Fordham Recent Games

Won  Wed, Jan 29 @  La Salle         88-72 
Lost Sat, Feb 01 @  St. Bonavnt      72-74 
Won  Wed, Feb 05 vs Rhode Island     80-79 
Lost Wed, Feb 12 vs Dayton           76-93 
     Sat, Feb 15 @  Richmond        
     Wed, Feb 19 @  Duquesne        
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Davidson        
     Wed, Feb 26 @  George Mason    

8 11 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 12% 19% 27% 23%
Richmond 3
Richmond Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 01 @  VCU              49-90 
Won  Wed, Feb 05 vs Duquesne         73-68 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  Davidson         60-71 
Lost Tue, Feb 11 vs L-Chicago        80-87 
     Sat, Feb 15 vs Fordham         
     Wed, Feb 19 @  La Salle        
     Sat, Feb 22 @  St. Joseph's    
     Tue, Feb 25 vs VCU             

9 12 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 23% 63%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(10) Colonials 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 59%
(15)Richmond 3 9 9%
(14)Fordham 3 8 9%
(9)Duquesne 5 6 7%
(13)La Salle 4 8 6%
(12)St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt 5 8 3%
(7)UMass 6 6 2%
(11)Rhode Island 5 7 2%
(8)Davidson 5 6 1%
(5)St. Joseph's 6 5 <1%
(6)Loyola Chicago 6 5 <1%
(4)Saint Louis 7 5 <1%
(3)Dayton 7 5 <1%
(2)VCU 10 2 <1%
(1)George Mason 11 1 X
Elimination X



Colonials Conference Schedule
Current Week 15
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
9 Richmond
(8‑17)
61‑66 Away Tue Dec 31, 4:00 pm
9 Dayton
(17‑8)
82‑62 Home Sat Jan 4, 12:00 pm
10 Rhode Island
(16‑8)
75‑67 Away Wed Jan 8, 7:00 pm
11 Duquesne
(10‑14)
65‑73 Home Wed Jan 15, 7:00 pm
11 George Mason
(20‑5)
77‑80 (OT) Away Sat Jan 18, 12:30 pm
12 UMass
(11‑14)
61‑74 Away Wed Jan 22, 7:00 pm
12 Saint Louis
(14‑11)
67‑61 Home Sat Jan 25, 2:00 pm
13 Richmond
(8‑17)
75‑66 Home Wed Jan 29, 7:00 pm
13 La Salle
(12‑12)
67‑73 Away Sat Feb 1, 2:30 pm
14 George Mason
(20‑5)
50‑53 Home Wed Feb 5, 7:00 pm
14 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt
(17‑9)
62‑52 Away Sun Feb 9, 12:00 pm
15 VCU
(20‑5)
72‑80 Home Wed Feb 12, 7:00 pm
15 Davidson
(15‑9)
  Away Sat Feb 15, 4:00 pm
16 St. Joseph's
(14‑9)
  Home Wed Feb 19, 7:00 pm
16 UMass
(11‑14)
  Home Sat Feb 22, 6:00 pm
17 Loyola Chicago
(15‑9)
  Away Wed Feb 26, TBD
17 La Salle
(12‑12)
  Home Sat Mar 1, 6:00 pm
18 Fordham
(11‑13)
  Away Wed Mar 5, 7:00 pm


Colonials Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Mercyhurst
(13‑14)
NortheastNorth East 76‑59 Home Mon Nov 4, 8:00 pm
1 Hampton
(12‑13)
CoastalCoastal 82‑54 Home Fri Nov 8, 7:00 pm
2 N. Carolina A&T
(4‑20)
CoastalCoastal 85‑80 Home Tue Nov 12, 7:00 pm
3 NJIT
(5‑20)
America EastAmerica East 84‑64 Home Mon Nov 18, 7:00 pm
3 Kansas St.
(13‑11)
Big 12Big 12 71‑83 Away Fri Nov 22, 8:00 pm
3 LA Lafayette
(8‑18)
SunbeltSunbelt 83‑74 Home Sat Nov 23, 5:30 pm
4 Illinois St.
(15‑11)
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 72‑64 Home Mon Nov 25, 3:00 pm
4 VMI
(12‑14)
SouthernSouthern 77‑64 Home Fri Nov 29, 2:00 pm
5 American
(16‑10)
Patriot LeaguePatriot League 71‑81 (OT) Away Wed Dec 4, 7:00 pm
5 Old Dominion
(9‑14)
SunbeltSunbelt 78‑70 Away Sat Dec 7, 4:00 pm
6 Army
(15‑10)
Patriot LeaguePatriot League 75‑60 Home Fri Dec 13, 7:00 pm
7 Lafayette
(10‑16)
Patriot LeaguePatriot League 82‑62 Home Wed Dec 18, 7:00 pm
7 UVA Wise ‑‑ 102‑62 Home Sun Dec 22, 12:00 pm