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Sun Jan 12 11:45 am

Atlantic 10 Basketball - Week 11 of 18

Geo. Washington Colonials Standings

Where are the Geo. Washington Colonials going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Geo. Washington standings table presents the probabilities of the Colonials winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atlantic 10 Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10 11 12 13 14 15
Saint Louis 3i
Saint Louis Recent Games

Won  Sat, Dec 28 vs William Woods    78-57 
Won  Tue, Dec 31 @  Fordham          88-63 
Won  Fri, Jan 03 vs St. Joseph's     73-57 
Won  Wed, Jan 08 vs St. Bonavnt      73-68 
     Tue, Jan 14 @  VCU             
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Richmond        
     Wed, Jan 22 vs La Salle        
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Geo. Washington 

0 3 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1%
George Mason 3
George Mason Recent Games

Won  Tue, Dec 31 vs Davidson         69-57 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Rhode Island     59-62 
Won  Wed, Jan 08 vs Richmond         64-58 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs UMass            77-70 
     Wed, Jan 15 @  Dayton          
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Geo. Washington 
     Tue, Jan 21 @  St. Bonavnt     
     Wed, Jan 29 vs L-Chicago       

1 4 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 1% <1%
Davidson 2
Davidson Recent Games

Won  Sat, Dec 28 vs Eastern Michigan  86-64 
Lost Tue, Dec 31 @  George Mason     57-69 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs Duquesne         77-71 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs Fordham          74-64 
     Wed, Jan 15 @  La Salle        
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Rhode Island    
     Tue, Jan 21 vs St. Joseph's    
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Richmond        

1 3 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Geo. Washington 2
Geo. Washington Recent Games

Won  Sun, Dec 22 vs UVA Wise        102-62 
Lost Tue, Dec 31 @  Richmond         61-66 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs Dayton           82-62 
Won  Wed, Jan 08 @  Rhode Island     75-67 
     Wed, Jan 15 vs Duquesne        
     Sat, Jan 18 @  George Mason    
     Wed, Jan 22 @  UMass           
     Sat, Jan 25 vs St. Louis       

1 3 15% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1%
VCU 2
VCU Recent Games

Won  Sun, Dec 22 vs William & Mary   90-70 
Lost Tue, Dec 31 @  St. Bonavnt      75-77 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 @  L-Chicago        84-65 
Won  Wed, Jan 08 vs Fordham          73-61 
     Tue, Jan 14 vs St. Louis       
     Fri, Jan 17 @  St. Joseph's    
     Tue, Jan 21 @  Rhode Island    
     Fri, Jan 24 vs St. Bonavnt     

1 3 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Duquesne 2
Duquesne Recent Games

Won  Fri, Dec 27 vs Cleary           93-45 
Won  Tue, Dec 31 vs Rhode Island     67-55 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Davidson         71-77 
Won  Wed, Jan 08 vs St. Joseph's     85-81 
     Wed, Jan 15 @  Geo. Washington 
     Sat, Jan 18 vs St. Bonavnt     
     Tue, Jan 21 vs Dayton          
     Sun, Jan 26 @  Fordham         

1 3 <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 13% 14% 13% 9%
Rhode Island 2
Rhode Island Recent Games

Lost Tue, Dec 31 @  Duquesne         55-67 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs George Mason     62-59 
Lost Wed, Jan 08 vs Geo. Washington  67-75 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 @  Richmond         67-64 
     Wed, Jan 15 @  L-Chicago       
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Davidson        
     Tue, Jan 21 vs VCU             
     Sat, Jan 25 @  La Salle        

2 4 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt 2
St. Bonaventure Recent Games

Won  Tue, Dec 31 vs VCU              77-75 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 @  Fordham          86-66 
Lost Wed, Jan 08 @  St. Louis        68-73 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs La Salle         82-83 
     Wed, Jan 15 vs Richmond        
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Duquesne        
     Tue, Jan 21 vs George Mason    
     Fri, Jan 24 @  VCU             

2 4 16% 15% 13% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
St. Joseph's 2
St. Joseph's Recent Games

Won  Tue, Dec 31 vs UMass            81-72 
Lost Fri, Jan 03 @  St. Louis        57-73 
Lost Wed, Jan 08 @  Duquesne         81-85 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs L-Chicago        93-57 
     Fri, Jan 17 vs VCU             
     Tue, Jan 21 @  Davidson        
     Fri, Jan 24 @  Dayton          
     Wed, Jan 29 vs Duquesne        

2 4 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 8% 5% 2%
Richmond 2
Richmond Recent Games

Won  Tue, Dec 31 vs Geo. Washington  66-61 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 @  UMass            72-64 
Lost Wed, Jan 08 @  George Mason     58-64 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Rhode Island     64-67 
     Wed, Jan 15 @  St. Bonavnt     
     Sat, Jan 18 vs St. Louis       
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Davidson        
     Wed, Jan 29 @  Geo. Washington 

2 4 <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 10% 14% 19% 20% 11%
Loyola Chicago 1
Loyola Chicago Recent Games

Lost Sun, Dec 22 @  Oakland          71-72 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs VCU              65-84 
Won  Wed, Jan 08 @  La Salle         79-68 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  St. Joseph's     57-93 
     Wed, Jan 15 vs Rhode Island    
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Dayton          
     Wed, Jan 22 vs Fordham         
     Wed, Jan 29 @  George Mason    

2 3 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 7% 5% 3%
Dayton 1
Dayton Recent Games

Lost Fri, Dec 20 vs Cincinnati       59-66 
Won  Tue, Dec 31 vs La Salle         84-70 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Geo. Washington  62-82 
Lost Wed, Jan 08 @  UMass            72-76 
     Wed, Jan 15 vs George Mason    
     Sat, Jan 18 vs L-Chicago       
     Tue, Jan 21 @  Duquesne        
     Fri, Jan 24 vs St. Joseph's    

2 3 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1%
La Salle 1
La Salle Recent Games

Won  Sat, Dec 21 vs Immaculata      108-48 
Lost Tue, Dec 31 @  Dayton           70-84 
Lost Wed, Jan 08 vs L-Chicago        68-79 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 @  St. Bonavnt      83-82 
     Wed, Jan 15 vs Davidson        
     Sun, Jan 19 @  UMass           
     Wed, Jan 22 @  St. Louis       
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Rhode Island    

2 3 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 4% 2%
UMass 1
UMass Recent Games

Lost Tue, Dec 31 @  St. Joseph's     72-81 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Richmond         64-72 
Won  Wed, Jan 08 vs Dayton           76-72 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  George Mason     70-77 
     Wed, Jan 15 @  Fordham         
     Sun, Jan 19 vs La Salle        
     Wed, Jan 22 vs Geo. Washington 
     Wed, Jan 29 @  Rhode Island    

3 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 13% 23% 43%
Fordham 0
Fordham Recent Games

Lost Tue, Dec 31 vs St. Louis        63-88 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs St. Bonavnt      66-86 
Lost Wed, Jan 08 @  VCU              61-73 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  Davidson         64-74 
     Wed, Jan 15 vs UMass           
     Wed, Jan 22 @  L-Chicago       
     Sun, Jan 26 vs Duquesne        
     Wed, Jan 29 @  La Salle        

4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 11% 16% 21% 27%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(4) Colonials 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 85%
(14)UMass 1 3 4%
(15)Fordham 0 4 3%
(10)Richmond 2 2 2%
(6)Duquesne 2 1 2%
(9)St. Joseph's 2 2 1%
(11)Loyola Chicago 1 2 1%
(13)La Salle 1 2 1%
(12)Dayton 1 2 <1%
(1)Saint Louis 3 0 <1%
(3)Davidson 2 1 <1%
(2)George Mason 3 1 <1%
(5)VCU 2 1 <1%
(7)Rhode Island 2 2 <1%
(8)St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt 2 2 <1%
Elimination X



Colonials Conference Schedule
Current Week 11
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
9 Richmond
(7‑10)
61‑66 Away Tue Dec 31, 4:00 pm
9 Dayton
(11‑5)
82‑62 Home Sat Jan 4, 12:00 pm
10 Rhode Island
(13‑3)
75‑67 Away Wed Jan 8, 7:00 pm
11 Duquesne
(7‑9)
  Home Wed Jan 15, 7:00 pm
11 George Mason
(12‑5)
  Away Sat Jan 18, 12:30 pm
12 UMass
(6‑11)
  Away Wed Jan 22, TBD
12 Saint Louis
(10‑6)
  Home Sat Jan 25, 2:00 pm
13 Richmond
(7‑10)
  Home Wed Jan 29, 7:00 pm
13 La Salle
(9‑6)
  Away Sat Feb 1, 2:30 pm
14 George Mason
(12‑5)
  Home Wed Feb 5, 7:00 pm
14 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt
(14‑3)
  Away Sun Feb 9, 12:00 pm
15 VCU
(12‑4)
  Home Wed Feb 12, 7:00 pm
15 Davidson
(12‑4)
  Away Sat Feb 15, 4:00 pm
16 St. Joseph's
(10‑6)
  Home Wed Feb 19, 7:00 pm
16 UMass
(6‑11)
  Home Sat Feb 22, 6:00 pm
17 Loyola Chicago
(10‑4)
  Away Wed Feb 26, TBD
17 La Salle
(9‑6)
  Home Sat Mar 1, 6:00 pm
18 Fordham
(8‑9)
  Away Wed Mar 5, 7:00 pm


Colonials Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Mercyhurst
(7‑11)
NortheastNorth East 76‑59 Home Mon Nov 4, 8:00 pm
1 Hampton
(9‑8)
CoastalCoastal 82‑54 Home Fri Nov 8, 7:00 pm
2 N. Carolina A&T
(4‑14)
CoastalCoastal 85‑80 Home Tue Nov 12, 7:00 pm
3 NJIT
(3‑14)
America EastAmerica East 84‑64 Home Mon Nov 18, 7:00 pm
3 Kansas St.
(7‑8)
Big 12Big 12 71‑83 Away Fri Nov 22, 8:00 pm
3 LA Lafayette
(5‑12)
SunbeltSunbelt 83‑74 Home Sat Nov 23, 5:30 pm
4 Illinois St.
(10‑7)
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 72‑64 Home Mon Nov 25, 3:00 pm
4 VMI
(6‑10)
SouthernSouthern 77‑64 Home Fri Nov 29, 2:00 pm
5 American
(8‑9)
Patriot LeaguePatriot League 71‑81 (OT) Away Wed Dec 4, 7:00 pm
5 Old Dominion
(6‑9)
SunbeltSunbelt 78‑70 Away Sat Dec 7, 4:00 pm
6 Army
(8‑8)
Patriot LeaguePatriot League 75‑60 Home Fri Dec 13, 7:00 pm
7 Lafayette
(7‑10)
Patriot LeaguePatriot League 82‑62 Home Wed Dec 18, 7:00 pm
7 UVA Wise ‑‑ 102‑62 Home Sun Dec 22, 12:00 pm