The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | ||||
| Air Force (8‑6‑2) vs Robert Morris (3‑9‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
76 | Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |||
| Robert Morris Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | <1% | |||
| Army (4‑8‑3) vs Sacred Heart (7‑6‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Army Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |||
| Sacred Heart Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |||
| Mercyhurst (0‑14‑1) vs Holy Cross (9‑6‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |||
| Holy Cross Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |||
| Niagara (6‑8) vs Bentley (8‑5‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Niagara Sweeps 2 Games | 9% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |||
| Bentley Sweeps 2 Games | 7% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |||
| RIT (9‑6) vs Canisius (7‑7‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | RIT Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |||
| Canisius Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Air Force (8‑6‑2) vs Robert Morris (3‑9‑2) |
37 | Air Force Wins | 8% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Robert Morris Wins | 4% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Army (4‑8‑3) vs Sacred Heart (7‑6‑1) |
4 | Army Wins | 8% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 7% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mercyhurst (0‑14‑1) vs Holy Cross (9‑6‑1) |
4 | Mercyhurst Wins | 9% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 8% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| RIT (9‑6) vs Canisius (7‑7‑2) |
1 | RIT Wins | 8% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Canisius Wins | 8% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bentley (8‑5‑1) vs Niagara (6‑8) |
0 | Bentley Wins | 7% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Niagara Wins | 9% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||