The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | |||
| Air Force (3‑5) vs Army (5‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
45 | Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 20% | ||
| Army Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 20% | ||
| Bentley (4‑4) vs RIT (2‑6‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Bentley Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 19% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 20% | ||
| RIT Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 21% | ||
| Canisius (3‑4‑1) vs Sacred Heart (4‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Canisius Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 20% | ||
| Sacred Heart Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 20% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | |||
| Air Force (3‑5) vs Army (5‑1) |
22 | Air Force Wins | 2% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 20% | ||
| Army Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 20% | ||
| Canisius (3‑4‑1) vs Sacred Heart (4‑4) |
3 | Canisius Wins | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 20% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 20% | ||
| Bentley (4‑4) vs RIT (2‑6‑1) |
1 | Bentley Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 20% | ||
| RIT Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 20% | ||