The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Air Force (13‑19‑2) vs Robert Morris (10‑18‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | 83% | 17% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Robert Morris Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 50% | 50% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Niagara (16‑13‑3) vs Canisius (10‑20‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Niagara Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | 54% | 19% | 15% | 12% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Canisius Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | 20% | 48% | 20% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| American Int'l (10‑18‑2) vs Sacred Heart (17‑10‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | American Int'l Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | 36% | 31% | 15% | 18% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sacred Heart Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | 43% | 31% | 18% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holy Cross (19‑11‑2) vs Bentley (17‑13‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Holy Cross Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bentley Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| RIT (8‑22‑2) vs Mercyhurst (4‑24‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | RIT Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mercyhurst Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Niagara (16‑13‑3) vs Canisius (10‑20‑2) |
0 | Niagara Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 54% | 19% | 15% | 12% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Canisius Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 20% | 48% | 20% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| American Int'l (10‑18‑2) vs Sacred Heart (17‑10‑5) |
0 | American Int'l Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 36% | 31% | 15% | 18% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 43% | 31% | 18% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holy Cross (19‑11‑2) vs Bentley (17‑13‑2) |
0 | Holy Cross Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bentley Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Air Force (13‑19‑2) vs Robert Morris (10‑18‑4) |
0 | Air Force Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 59% | 36% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Robert Morris Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 29% | 29% | 23% | ^ | ^ | ||
| RIT (8‑22‑2) vs Mercyhurst (4‑24‑4) |
0 | RIT Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mercyhurst Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ||