The Most Important Games for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Irish final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Notre Dame Fighting Irish fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Notre Dame Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (22‑5‑3) vs Penn State (16‑11‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Michigan State Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Minnesota (21‑7‑4) vs Ohio State (20‑8‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Notre Dame (9‑20‑1) vs Wisconsin (11‑18‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Notre Dame Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (22‑5‑3) vs Penn State (16‑11‑3) |
0 | Michigan State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Penn State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Minnesota (21‑7‑4) vs Ohio State (20‑8‑2) |
0 | Minnesota Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Ohio State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Notre Dame (9‑20‑1) vs Wisconsin (11‑18‑3) |
0 | Notre Dame Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||