The Most Important Games for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Irish final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Notre Dame Fighting Irish fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Notre Dame Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (20‑4) vs Ohio State (8‑13‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Wisconsin (15‑7‑2) vs Minnesota (8‑16‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% | ||
| Michigan State (19‑5) vs Penn State (18‑6) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Michigan State Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Notre Dame Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (20‑4) vs Ohio State (8‑13‑1) |
0 | Michigan Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Ohio State Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 95% | ||
| Wisconsin (15‑7‑2) vs Minnesota (8‑16‑1) |
0 | Wisconsin Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Michigan State (19‑5) vs Penn State (18‑6) |
0 | Michigan State Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Penn State Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||