Where are the Notre Dame Fighting Irish going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Notre Dame standings table presents the probabilities of the Fighting Irish winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 |
| Michigan State | 7i Michigan State Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 vs Wisconsin 4-3 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Wisconsin 4-3 Won Fri, Jan 10 @ Penn State 6-4 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Penn State 2-2 Fri, Jan 17 @ Michigan |
3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 28 | 60% | 28% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Minnesota | 8 Minnesota Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 03 vs Mercy. 6-2 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Mercy. 5-2 Lost Fri, Jan 10 @ Ohio State 1-5 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ Ohio State 6-1 Fri, Jan 17 vs N.Dame Sat, Jan 18 vs N.Dame |
1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 30% | 46% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Ohio State | 6 Ohio State Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 03 @ Michigan 4-3 Lost Sun, Jan 05 @ Michigan 2-3 Won Fri, Jan 10 vs Minnesota 5-1 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Minnesota 1-6 Tue, Jan 21 @ Mercy. |
2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 8% | 21% | 47% | 19% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Wisconsin | 4 Wisconsin Recent Games Won Sun, Dec 29 @ UConn 4-3 Lost Thu, Jan 02 @ Michigan State 3-4 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Michigan State 3-4 Fri, Jan 17 vs Long Island Sat, Jan 18 vs Long Island |
1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 20 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 28% | 55% | 10% | 1% |
| Michigan | 4 Michigan Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 03 vs Ohio State 3-4 Won Sun, Jan 05 vs Ohio State 3-2 Won Fri, Jan 10 @ N.Dame 5-3 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ N.Dame 4-7 Fri, Jan 17 vs Michigan State |
3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 1% | 5% | 18% | 44% | 27% | 4% | <1% |
| Notre Dame | 1 Notre Dame Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 03 vs Penn State 3-3 Lost Sun, Jan 05 vs Penn State 0-3 Lost Fri, Jan 10 vs Michigan 3-5 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Michigan 7-4 Fri, Jan 17 @ Minnesota Sat, Jan 18 @ Minnesota |
2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 33% | 63% |
| Penn State | 1 Penn State Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 03 @ N.Dame 3-3 Won Sun, Jan 05 @ N.Dame 3-0 Lost Fri, Jan 10 vs Michigan State 4-6 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Michigan State 2-2 Fri, Jan 17 vs Canisius Sat, Jan 18 vs Canisius |
1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 53% | 35% |
| Record | Total | Home (<1%) |
Away (>99%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | <1% | |||||||
| (2)Minnesota | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 36% | <1% | 36% |
| (3)Ohio State | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 29% | <1% | 29% |
| (1)Michigan State | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 21% | <1% | 21% |
| (5)Michigan | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 12% | <1% | 12% |
| (4)Wisconsin | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 3% | <1% | 3% |
| (7)Penn State | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wisconsin (9‑12‑1) |
3‑2 (OT) | Home | Fri Nov 1, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Wisconsin (9‑12‑1) |
1‑2 | Home | Sat Nov 2, 6:00 pm |
| 6 | Michigan (13‑8‑1) |
1‑2 (OT) | Away | Fri Nov 8, 6:00 pm |
| 6 | Michigan (13‑8‑1) |
2‑4 | Away | Sat Nov 9, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Michigan State (18‑2‑2) |
3‑8 | Away | Fri Nov 15, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Michigan State (18‑2‑2) |
3‑4 | Away | Sat Nov 16, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | Minnesota (18‑4‑2) |
3‑6 | Home | Fri Nov 22, 7:00 pm |
| 8 | Minnesota (18‑4‑2) |
3‑5 | Home | Sat Nov 23, 6:00 pm |
| 11 | Ohio State (15‑6‑1) |
1‑2 (OT) | Away | Fri Dec 13, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Ohio State (15‑6‑1) |
1‑3 | Away | Sat Dec 14, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Penn State (9‑10‑2) |
3‑3 (SO) | Home | Fri Jan 3, 8:30 pm |
| 14 | Penn State (9‑10‑2) |
0‑3 | Home | Sun Jan 5, 5:00 pm |
| 15 | Michigan (13‑8‑1) |
3‑5 | Home | Fri Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Michigan (13‑8‑1) |
7‑4 | Home | Sat Jan 11, 6:00 pm |
| 16 | Minnesota (18‑4‑2) |
Away | Fri Jan 17, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Minnesota (18‑4‑2) |
Away | Sat Jan 18, 6:00 pm | |
| 19 | Ohio State (15‑6‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 7, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Ohio State (15‑6‑1) |
Home | Sat Feb 8, 6:00 pm | |
| 20 | Penn State (9‑10‑2) |
Away | Fri Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Penn State (9‑10‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 15, 5:00 pm | |
| 21 | Wisconsin (9‑12‑1) |
Away | Fri Feb 21, 8:30 pm | |
| 21 | Wisconsin (9‑12‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 8:30 pm | |
| 22 | Michigan State (18‑2‑2) |
Home | Fri Feb 28, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Michigan State (18‑2‑2) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 6:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St. Lawrence (6‑12‑1) |
ECACECAC | 4‑1 | Away | Fri Oct 11, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Clarkson (12‑5‑2) |
ECACECAC | 5‑2 | Away | Sat Oct 12, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Alaska (7‑9‑4) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 18, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Alaska (7‑9‑4) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 0‑1 | Home | Sat Oct 19, 6:00 pm |
| 4 | Long Island (12‑9‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 25, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Long Island (12‑9‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑5 | Home | Sat Oct 26, 6:00 pm |
| 9 | Harvard (4‑7‑2) |
ECACECAC | 5‑2 | Away | Fri Nov 29, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Boston University (11‑7‑1) |
EastEast | 3‑4 | Away | Sat Nov 30, 7:00 pm |
| 17 | Lindenwood (5‑16‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Home | Fri Jan 24, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Lindenwood (5‑16‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Home | Sat Jan 25, 6:00 pm |