Where are the Notre Dame Fighting Irish going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Notre Dame standings table presents the probabilities of the Fighting Irish winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 |
| Michigan | 9i Michigan Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 09 vs N.Dame 5-2 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs N.Dame 7-4 Won Fri, Jan 16 @ Minnesota 5-1 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Minnesota 3-2 Fri, Jan 30 @ Ohio State Sat, Jan 31 @ Ohio State |
2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 48% | 29% | 18% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Penn State | 10 Penn State Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 16 vs N.Dame 4-1 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs N.Dame 6-3 Won Fri, Jan 23 @ Wisconsin 7-2 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Wisconsin 3-1 Fri, Jan 30 vs Michigan State Sat, Jan 31 vs Michigan State |
0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 23% | 32% | 34% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan State | 9 Michigan State Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 15 @ Wisconsin 4-3 Won Fri, Jan 16 @ Wisconsin 4-1 Won Fri, Jan 23 vs Minnesota 3-1 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Minnesota 3-2 Fri, Jan 30 @ Penn State Sat, Jan 31 @ Penn State |
1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 28% | 34% | 33% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Wisconsin | 6 Wisconsin Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 15 vs Michigan State 3-4 Lost Fri, Jan 16 vs Michigan State 1-4 Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs Penn State 2-7 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Penn State 1-3 Fri, Jan 30 @ Minnesota Sat, Jan 31 @ Minnesota |
2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 1% | 4% | 14% | 74% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Minnesota | 4 Minnesota Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 16 vs Michigan 1-5 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Michigan 2-3 Lost Fri, Jan 23 @ Michigan State 1-3 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Michigan State 2-3 Fri, Jan 30 vs Wisconsin Sat, Jan 31 vs Wisconsin |
0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 14 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 50% | 44% | 2% |
| Ohio State | 3 Ohio State Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 09 vs Michigan State 2-6 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Michigan State 2-1 Won Fri, Jan 23 @ N.Dame 4-2 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ N.Dame 1-6 Fri, Jan 30 vs Michigan Sat, Jan 31 vs Michigan |
1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 43% | 49% | 6% |
| Notre Dame | 1 Notre Dame Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 16 @ Penn State 1-4 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Penn State 3-6 Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs Ohio State 2-4 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Ohio State 6-1 Fri, Jan 30 vs B. Green |
0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 4 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
| Record | Total | Home (<1%) |
Away (>99%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | X | |||||||
| (3)Michigan State | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 34% | <1% | 34% |
| (2)Penn State | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 33% | <1% | 33% |
| (1)Michigan | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 28% | <1% | 28% |
| (4)Wisconsin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 6% | <1% | 6% |
| (5)Minnesota | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (6)Ohio State | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Michigan (20‑4) |
3‑5 | Home | Fri Oct 31 |
| 5 | Michigan (20‑4) |
1‑2 (OT) | Home | Sat Nov 1 |
| 6 | Minnesota (8‑16‑1) |
0‑3 | Away | Fri Nov 7, 8:00 pm |
| 6 | Minnesota (8‑16‑1) |
1‑4 | Away | Sat Nov 8, 8:00 pm |
| 7 | Michigan State (19‑5) |
1‑4 | Home | Fri Nov 14, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Michigan State (19‑5) |
1‑3 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Wisconsin (15‑7‑2) |
4‑7 | Home | Fri Dec 5, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Wisconsin (15‑7‑2) |
2‑9 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 6:00 pm |
| 15 | Michigan (20‑4) |
2‑5 | Away | Fri Jan 9, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Michigan (20‑4) |
4‑7 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | Penn State (18‑6) |
1‑4 | Away | Fri Jan 16, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | Penn State (18‑6) |
3‑6 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 8:00 pm |
| 17 | Ohio State (8‑13‑1) |
2‑4 | Home | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm |
| 17 | Ohio State (8‑13‑1) |
6‑1 | Home | Sat Jan 24 |
| 19 | Wisconsin (15‑7‑2) |
Away | Fri Feb 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 19 | Wisconsin (15‑7‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 8:00 pm | |
| 20 | Minnesota (8‑16‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Minnesota (8‑16‑1) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, TBD | |
| 21 | Michigan State (19‑5) |
Away | Thu Feb 19, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Michigan State (19‑5) |
Away | Fri Feb 20, 6:00 pm | |
| 22 | Penn State (18‑6) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Penn State (18‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, TBD | |
| 23 | Ohio State (8‑13‑1) |
Away | Thu Mar 5, 6:30 pm | |
| 23 | Ohio State (8‑13‑1) |
Away | Fri Mar 6, 6:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arizona St. (12‑13‑1) |
NCHCNCHC | 3‑5 | Away | Fri Oct 10 |
| 2 | Quinnipiac (19‑5‑2) |
ECACECAC | 2‑7 | Away | Sat Oct 11 |
| 3 | St. Lawrence (3‑20‑3) |
ECACECAC | 8‑2 | Home | Thu Oct 16 |
| 3 | St. Lawrence (3‑20‑3) |
ECACECAC | 3‑0 | Home | Fri Oct 17 |
| 4 | Robert Morris (7‑15‑2) |
AtlanticAtl. | 6‑3 | Home | Fri Oct 24, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Robert Morris (7‑15‑2) |
AtlanticAtl. | 2‑2 (OT) | Home | Sat Oct 25, 6:00 pm |
| 9 | Merrimack (11‑12) |
EastEast | 5‑4 | Away | Wed Nov 26, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Boston College (13‑8‑1) |
EastEast | 3‑5 | Away | Fri Nov 28, 1:00 pm |
| 14 | Western Michigan (18‑6) |
NCHCNCHC | 0‑4 | Home | Fri Jan 2, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Western Michigan (18‑6) |
NCHCNCHC | 0‑4 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 6:00 pm |
| 18 | Bowling Green (14‑6‑4) |
CCHACCHA | Home | Fri Jan 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | Bowling Green (14‑6‑4) |
CCHACCHA | Away | Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm |