Where are the Notre Dame Fighting Irish going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Notre Dame standings table presents the probabilities of the Fighting Irish winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 |
| Michigan | 5i Michigan Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 21 vs Ohio State 5-2 Won Sat, Nov 22 vs Ohio State 8-1 Won Fri, Nov 28 @ Harvard 5-1 Won Sat, Nov 29 @ Harvard 4-3 Fri, Dec 05 @ Michigan State |
1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 34% | 30% | 23% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Wisconsin | 4 Wisconsin Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 14 vs Ohio State 1-5 Won Sat, Nov 15 vs Ohio State 6-5 Won Fri, Nov 21 @ Michigan State 5-4 Won Sat, Nov 22 @ Michigan State 2-1 Fri, Dec 05 @ N.Dame Sat, Dec 06 @ N.Dame |
2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 42% | 32% | 17% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Penn State | 4 Penn State Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 14 vs Michigan 1-7 Won Sat, Nov 15 vs Michigan 4-2 Lost Fri, Nov 21 @ Minnesota 2-3 Won Sat, Nov 22 @ Minnesota 2-1 Sat, Jan 03 @ RIT |
0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6% | 13% | 24% | 39% | 15% | 3% | <1% |
| Michigan State | 3 Michigan State Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 21 vs Wisconsin 4-5 Lost Sat, Nov 22 vs Wisconsin 1-2 Won Wed, Nov 26 vs Colgate 5-2 Won Fri, Nov 28 vs Colgate 4-1 Fri, Dec 05 vs Michigan |
1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 18% | 23% | 28% | 21% | 9% | 2% | <1% |
| Minnesota | 3 Minnesota Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 21 vs Penn State 3-2 Lost Sat, Nov 22 vs Penn State 1-2 Lost Sat, Nov 29 @ Denver 6-5 Thu, Dec 04 @ Ohio State Fri, Dec 05 @ Ohio State |
0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 39% | 30% | 8% |
| Ohio State | 1 Ohio State Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 21 @ Michigan 2-5 Lost Sat, Nov 22 @ Michigan 1-8 Lost Fri, Nov 28 @ Arizona St. 2-3 Lost Sat, Nov 29 @ Arizona St. 3-4 Thu, Dec 04 vs Minnesota Fri, Dec 05 vs Minnesota |
0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 27% | 41% | 22% |
| Notre Dame | 0 Notre Dame Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 26 @ Merrimack 5-4 Lost Fri, Nov 28 @ Boston College 3-5 Fri, Dec 05 vs Wisconsin Sat, Dec 06 vs Wisconsin |
0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 70% |
| Record | Total | Home (1%) |
Away (99%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | <1% | |||||||
| (2)Wisconsin | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 27% | <1% | 27% |
| (1)Michigan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 27% | <1% | 27% |
| (4)Michigan State | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 23% | <1% | 23% |
| (3)Penn State | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18% | 1% | 17% |
| (5)Minnesota | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4% | <1% | 4% |
| (6)Ohio State | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Michigan (15‑3) |
3‑5 | Home | Fri Oct 31 |
| 5 | Michigan (15‑3) |
1‑2 (OT) | Home | Sat Nov 1 |
| 6 | Minnesota (6‑9‑2) |
0‑3 | Away | Fri Nov 7, 8:00 pm |
| 6 | Minnesota (6‑9‑2) |
1‑4 | Away | Sat Nov 8, 8:00 pm |
| 7 | Michigan State (11‑3) |
1‑4 | Home | Fri Nov 14, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Michigan State (11‑3) |
1‑3 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Wisconsin (10‑2‑2) |
Home | Fri Dec 5, 7:00 pm | |
| 10 | Wisconsin (10‑2‑2) |
Home | Sat Dec 6, 6:00 pm | |
| 15 | Michigan (15‑3) |
Away | Fri Jan 9, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Michigan (15‑3) |
Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Penn State (11‑5) |
Away | Fri Jan 16, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Penn State (11‑5) |
Away | Sat Jan 17, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | Ohio State (5‑9) |
Home | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Ohio State (5‑9) |
Home | Sat Jan 24, TBD | |
| 19 | Wisconsin (10‑2‑2) |
Away | Fri Feb 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 19 | Wisconsin (10‑2‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 8:00 pm | |
| 20 | Minnesota (6‑9‑2) |
Home | Fri Feb 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Minnesota (6‑9‑2) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, TBD | |
| 21 | Michigan State (11‑3) |
Away | Thu Feb 19, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Michigan State (11‑3) |
Away | Fri Feb 20, 6:00 pm | |
| 22 | Penn State (11‑5) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Penn State (11‑5) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, TBD | |
| 23 | Ohio State (5‑9) |
Away | Thu Mar 5, 6:30 pm | |
| 23 | Ohio State (5‑9) |
Away | Fri Mar 6, 6:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arizona St. (7‑8‑1) |
NCHCNCHC | 3‑5 | Away | Fri Oct 10 |
| 2 | Quinnipiac (11‑3‑2) |
ECACECAC | 2‑7 | Away | Sat Oct 11 |
| 3 | St. Lawrence (2‑13‑1) |
ECACECAC | 8‑2 | Home | Thu Oct 16 |
| 3 | St. Lawrence (2‑13‑1) |
ECACECAC | 3‑0 | Home | Fri Oct 17 |
| 4 | Robert Morris (3‑9‑2) |
AtlanticAtl. | 6‑3 | Home | Fri Oct 24, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Robert Morris (3‑9‑2) |
AtlanticAtl. | 2‑2 (OT) | Home | Sat Oct 25, 6:00 pm |
| 9 | Merrimack (5‑8) |
EastEast | 5‑4 | Away | Wed Nov 26, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Boston College (8‑5‑1) |
EastEast | 3‑5 | Away | Fri Nov 28, 1:00 pm |
| 14 | Western Michigan (9‑5) |
NCHCNCHC | Home | Fri Jan 2, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Western Michigan (9‑5) |
NCHCNCHC | Away | Sat Jan 3, 6:00 pm | |
| 18 | Bowling Green (7‑4‑3) |
CCHACCHA | Home | Fri Jan 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | Bowling Green (7‑4‑3) |
CCHACCHA | Away | Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm |