The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Ohio St. (5‑1) vs Indiana (6‑0) |
0 | Ohio St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Indiana Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Nebraska (5‑1) vs Oregon (3‑2) |
0 | Nebraska Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Oregon Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 4% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (4‑1) vs Michigan St. (2‑4) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Maryland (2‑4) vs Rutgers (1‑4) |
0 | Maryland Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 6% | ||
| UCLA (5‑0) vs Wisconsin (4‑1) |
0 | UCLA Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Michigan (3‑2) vs Penn St. (3‑3) |
0 | Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Penn St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 4% | ||