Are the Oregon Ducks going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Oregon standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 9 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| Ohio St. | 2i Ohio St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 12 @ Texas 23-24 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Kent State 59-3 Won Sat, Sep 26 vs Illinois 42-19 Won Sat, Oct 03 @ Iowa 31-14 Sat, Oct 10 vs Maryland Sat, Oct 17 @ Indiana Sat, Oct 31 @ USC Sat, Nov 07 vs Oregon |
0 | 2 | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| UCLA | 2 UCLA Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 05 @ California 45-24 Won Sat, Sep 12 vs San Diego State 28-10 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Purdue 52-38 Won Sat, Sep 26 @ Maryland 54-3 Sat, Oct 10 @ Oregon Sat, Oct 17 vs Wisconsin Sat, Oct 24 vs Michigan St. Sat, Oct 31 vs Nevada |
0 | 2 | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Indiana | 2 Indiana Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Howard 55-0 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs W. Kentucky 38-0 Won Fri, Sep 25 vs N. Western 29-23 Won Sat, Oct 03 @ Rutgers 47-15 Sat, Oct 10 @ Nebraska Sat, Oct 17 vs Ohio St. Sat, Oct 24 @ Michigan Sat, Oct 31 vs Minnesota |
0 | 2 | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Minnesota | 2 Minnesota Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 12 vs Mississippi St. 13-38 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Akron 41-7 Won Sat, Sep 26 @ Wash. 27-24 Won Sat, Oct 03 vs Michigan 20-14 Sat, Oct 10 @ Purdue Sat, Oct 24 vs Iowa Sat, Oct 31 @ Indiana Sat, Nov 07 vs UCLA |
0 | 2 | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Nebraska | 2 Nebraska Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Bowling Green 56-7 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs North Dakota 34-7 Won Sat, Sep 26 @ Michigan St. 31-13 Won Sat, Oct 03 vs Maryland 48-23 Sat, Oct 10 vs Indiana Sat, Oct 17 @ Oregon Sat, Oct 31 vs Wash. Fri, Nov 06 @ Illinois |
0 | 2 | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Wisconsin | 2 Wisconsin Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Western Illinois 36-9 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs E. Michigan 54-10 Won Sat, Sep 26 @ Penn St. 24-20 Won Sat, Oct 03 vs Michigan St. 31-3 Sat, Oct 17 @ UCLA Sat, Oct 24 vs USC Sat, Oct 31 @ Iowa Sat, Nov 07 vs Rutgers |
0 | 2 | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| USC | 2 USC Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 12 vs UL Lafayette 49-30 Won Sat, Sep 19 @ Rutgers 42-35 Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Oregon 27-41 Won Sat, Oct 03 vs Wash. 25-21 Sat, Oct 10 @ Penn St. Sat, Oct 24 @ Wisconsin Sat, Oct 31 vs Ohio St. Sat, Nov 14 @ Indiana |
1 | 3 | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Oregon | 1 Oregon Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 05 vs Boise State 34-27 Lost Sat, Sep 12 @ Oklahoma St. 31-39 Won Fri, Sep 18 vs Portland State 84-0 Won Sat, Sep 26 @ USC 41-27 Sat, Oct 10 vs UCLA Sat, Oct 17 vs Nebraska Sat, Oct 24 @ Illinois Sat, Oct 31 vs N. Western |
0 | 1 | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Iowa | 1 Iowa Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Iowa St. 16-13 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Northern Iowa 55-0 Won Sat, Sep 26 @ Michigan 20-19 Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs Ohio St. 14-31 Fri, Oct 09 @ Wash. Sat, Oct 24 @ Minnesota Sat, Oct 31 vs Wisconsin Sat, Nov 07 @ N. Western |
1 | 2 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Purdue | 1 Purdue Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 12 vs Wake Forest 36-38 Lost Sat, Sep 19 @ UCLA 38-52 Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Notre Dame 10-49 Won Sat, Oct 03 @ Illinois 24-17 Sat, Oct 10 vs Minnesota Fri, Oct 16 vs Wash. Sat, Oct 31 @ Penn St. Sat, Nov 07 vs Maryland |
1 | 2 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 3% |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 1 Northwestern Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 05 vs South Dakota State 34-18 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Colorado 41-7 Lost Fri, Sep 25 @ Indiana 23-29 Won Fri, Oct 02 vs Penn St. 34-13 Sat, Oct 10 vs Ball State Sat, Oct 17 @ Michigan St. Sat, Oct 24 vs Rutgers Sat, Oct 31 @ Oregon |
1 | 2 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Illinois | 0 Illinois Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 12 vs Duke 27-31 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Southern Illinois 48-10 Lost Sat, Sep 26 @ Ohio St. 19-42 Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs Purdue 17-24 Sat, Oct 10 @ Michigan St. Sat, Oct 24 vs Oregon Sat, Oct 31 @ Maryland Fri, Nov 06 vs Nebraska |
2 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 19% |
| Penn St. | 0 Penn St. Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 12 @ Temple 27-9 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Buffalo 55-13 Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Wisconsin 20-24 Lost Fri, Oct 02 @ N. Western 13-34 Sat, Oct 10 vs USC Sat, Oct 17 @ Michigan Sat, Oct 31 vs Purdue Sat, Nov 07 @ Wash. |
2 | 2 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| Michigan | 0 Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Oklahoma 17-10 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs UTEP 52-17 Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Iowa 19-20 Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ Minnesota 14-20 Sat, Oct 17 vs Penn St. Sat, Oct 24 vs Indiana Sat, Oct 31 @ Rutgers Sat, Nov 07 vs Michigan St. |
2 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% |
| Washington | 0 Washington Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 12 vs Utah St. 16-14 Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Eastern Washington 48-16 Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Minnesota 24-27 Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ USC 21-25 Fri, Oct 09 vs Iowa Fri, Oct 16 @ Purdue Sat, Oct 31 @ Nebraska Sat, Nov 07 vs Penn St. |
2 | 2 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Rutgers | 0 Rutgers Recent Games Lost Fri, Sep 11 @ Boston College 21-28 Lost Sat, Sep 19 vs USC 35-42 Won Fri, Sep 25 vs Howard 58-7 Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs Indiana 15-47 Sat, Oct 17 @ Maryland Sat, Oct 24 @ N. Western Sat, Oct 31 vs Michigan Sat, Nov 07 @ Wisconsin |
2 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 31% |
| Maryland | 0 Maryland Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 12 @ UConn 38-14 Lost Sat, Sep 19 vs Virginia Tech 26-35 Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs UCLA 3-54 Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ Nebraska 23-48 Sat, Oct 10 @ Ohio St. Sat, Oct 17 vs Rutgers Sat, Oct 31 vs Illinois Sat, Nov 07 @ Purdue |
2 | 2 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| Michigan St. | 0 Michigan St. Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 12 vs E. Michigan 35-7 Lost Sat, Sep 19 @ Notre Dame 10-27 Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Nebraska 13-31 Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ Wisconsin 3-31 Sat, Oct 10 vs Illinois Sat, Oct 17 vs N. Western Sat, Oct 24 @ UCLA Sat, Nov 07 @ Michigan |
2 | 2 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (3)Indiana | 2 | 0 | 4% |
| (2)UCLA | 2 | 0 | 3% |
| (6)Wisconsin | 2 | 0 | 3% |
| (5)Nebraska | 2 | 0 | 3% |
| (7)USC | 2 | 1 | 2% |
| (1)Ohio St. | 2 | 0 | 2% |
| (4)Minnesota | 2 | 0 | 2% |
| (9)Iowa | 1 | 1 | 1% |
| (11)NorthwesternN. Western | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (10)Purdue | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (14)Michigan | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| (13)Penn St. | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| (17)Maryland | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| (18)Michigan St. | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| (15)Washington | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| (12)Illinois | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| (16)Rutgers | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | USC (5‑1) |
41‑27 | Away | Sat Sep 26, 7:30 pm |
| 6 | UCLA (4‑0) |
Home | Sat Oct 10, 3:30 pm | |
| 7 | Nebraska (5‑0) |
Home | Sat Oct 17, TBD | |
| 8 | Illinois (2‑3) |
Away | Sat Oct 24, TBD | |
| 9 | NorthwesternN. Western (3‑1) |
Home | Sat Oct 31, TBD | |
| 10 | Ohio St. (4‑1) |
Away | Sat Nov 7, TBD | |
| 11 | Michigan (3‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 14, TBD | |
| 12 | Michigan St. (2‑3) |
Away | Fri Nov 20, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Washington (3‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 28, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boise State (4‑1) |
PAC 12PAC 12 | 34‑27 | Home | Sat Sep 5, 3:30 pm |
| 2 | Oklahoma St. (3‑1) |
Big 12Big 12 | 31‑39 | Away | Sat Sep 12, 12:00 pm |
| 3 | Portland State | ‑‑ | 84‑0 | Home | Fri Sep 18, 10:30 pm |