The Most Important Games for the Michigan St. Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan St. Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Indiana (7‑0) vs UCLA (3‑4) |
0 | Indiana Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Iowa (5‑2) vs Minnesota (5‑2) |
0 | Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | ||
| Michigan St. (3‑4) vs Michigan (5‑2) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Michigan Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 12% | ||
| Nebraska (5‑2) vs NorthwesternN. Western (5‑2) |
0 | Nebraska Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | ||
| Oregon (6‑1) vs Wisconsin (2‑5) |
0 | Oregon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 13% | ||
| Washington (5‑2) vs Illinois (5‑2) |
0 | Washington Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 10% | ||
| Purdue (2‑5) vs Rutgers (3‑4) |
0 | Purdue Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | ||