The Most Important Games for the Michigan St. Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan St. Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Illinois (5‑3) vs Nebraska (5‑3) |
0 | Illinois Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 27% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 27% | 30% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 21% | 26% | 30% | ||
| Michigan St. (2‑6) vs Michigan (5‑3) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 18% | 18% | 24% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 27% | 30% | ||
| Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 21% | 29% | 34% | ||
| Minnesota (5‑3) vs UCLA (8‑0) |
0 | Minnesota Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 27% | 30% | ||
| UCLA Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 27% | 29% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (6‑2) vs Iowa (6‑2) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 19% | 27% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 27% | 30% | ||
| Iowa Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 19% | 26% | 31% | ||
| Washington (5‑3) vs Penn St. (4‑4) |
0 | Washington Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 20% | 28% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 27% | 30% | ||
| Penn St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 17% | 25% | 34% | ||
| Purdue (3‑5) vs Maryland (2‑6) |
0 | Purdue Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 21% | 27% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 27% | 30% | ||
| Maryland Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 39% | ||
| Wisconsin (5‑3) vs Rutgers (2‑6) |
0 | Wisconsin Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 26% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 27% | 30% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 31% | 34% | ||
| Ohio St. (6‑2) vs Oregon (5‑3) |
0 | Ohio St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 27% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 27% | 30% | ||
| Oregon Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 21% | 28% | 27% | ||