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Sat Nov 14 11:45 pm

Big 10 Football - Week 12 of 13

Nebraska Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Nebraska Cornhuskers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cornhuskers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nebraska Cornhuskers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Nebraska Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Nebraska Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Michigan St.
(3‑7)

vs
Oregon
(7‑3)
0 Michigan St. Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 13% 16% 14% 18% 17% 9% 2% <1% ^
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 13% 16% 14% 19% 17% 8% 1% <1% ^
Oregon Wins X X X X <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 12% 16% 14% 19% 18% 7% 1% ^ ^
Michigan
(5‑5)

vs
UCLA
(10‑0)
0 Michigan Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 11% 15% 13% 18% 15% 14% 2% ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 13% 16% 14% 19% 17% 8% 1% <1% ^
UCLA Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 13% 15% 14% 19% 18% 6% 1% <1% ^
Nebraska
(6‑4)

vs
Ohio St.
(7‑3)
0 Nebraska Wins X X X <1% <1% 2% 7% 9% 9% 22% 27% 19% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 13% 16% 14% 19% 17% 8% 1% <1% ^
Ohio St. Wins X X X X X X X <1% 3% 8% 11% 13% 26% 25% 12% 2% <1% ^
Washington
(6‑4)

vs
Indiana
(9‑1)
0 Washington Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 3% 4% 8% 11% 18% 24% 19% 7% 1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 13% 16% 14% 19% 17% 8% 1% <1% ^
Indiana Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 14% 18% 12% 17% 17% 7% 1% <1% ^
Minnesota
(5‑5)

vs
NorthwesternN. Western
(6‑4)
0 Minnesota Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 9% 18% 15% 20% 18% 7% 1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 13% 16% 14% 19% 17% 8% 1% <1% ^
NorthwesternN. Western Wins X X X X <1% 1% 3% 3% 5% 15% 15% 14% 19% 16% 8% 1% <1% ^
Purdue
(3‑7)

vs
Wisconsin
(6‑4)
0 Purdue Wins X X X <1% <1% 2% 5% 3% 6% 13% 14% 10% 6% 25% 15% 2% <1% ^
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 13% 16% 14% 19% 17% 8% 1% <1% ^
Wisconsin Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 4% 11% 17% 17% 27% 13% 3% 1% <1% ^
Illinois
(6‑4)

vs
Iowa
(8‑2)
0 Illinois Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 4% 3% 12% 16% 14% 20% 17% 7% 1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 13% 16% 14% 19% 17% 8% 1% <1% ^
Iowa Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 7% 12% 17% 14% 19% 18% 7% 1% <1% ^
Penn St.
(6‑4)

vs
Rutgers
(2‑8)
0 Penn St. Wins X X X X <1% 1% 3% 3% 5% 12% 16% 14% 19% 18% 8% 1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 13% 16% 14% 19% 17% 8% 1% <1% ^
Rutgers Wins X X X <1% <1% 2% 6% 6% 7% 14% 15% 15% 19% 13% 4% <1% ^ ^
USC
(7‑3)

vs
Maryland
(4‑6)
0 USC Wins X X X X X <1% 3% 4% 4% 13% 17% 15% 20% 16% 7% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 13% 16% 14% 19% 17% 8% 1% <1% ^
Maryland Wins X X X <1% <1% 3% 3% 3% 8% 10% 14% 14% 13% 17% 11% 2% <1% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant