The Ohio St. Buckeyes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Ohio St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 0 | 44% | 33% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 4 | 0 | 40% | 33% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 1 | 9% | 33% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 72% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 40% | 33% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 37% | 34% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario UCLA beats Indiana Michigan St. beats Michigan Wisconsin beats Oregon |
Worst Case Scenario Indiana beats UCLA Michigan beats Michigan St. Oregon beats Wisconsin |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 9 | 0 | 75% | 25% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 8 | 1 | 26% | 57% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 7 | 2 | 2% | 19% | 37% | 27% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 6 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 30% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 5 | 4 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 26% | 29% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 4 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 27% | 31% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | X | <1% |