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Sat Nov 7 11:45 pm

Big 10 Football - Week 11 of 13

Ohio St. Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Ohio St. Buckeyes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Buckeyes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ohio St. Buckeyes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Ohio St. Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Ohio St. Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Ohio St.
(6‑3)

vs
NorthwesternN. Western
(6‑3)
17 Ohio St. Wins 2% 15% 24% 19% 15% 12% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 17% 15% 15% 13% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
NorthwesternN. Western Wins <1% <1% 3% 12% 15% 17% 15% 15% 12% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Illinois
(6‑3)

vs
UCLA
(9‑0)
9 Illinois Wins 4% 15% 14% 14% 13% 12% 10% 7% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 17% 15% 15% 13% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
UCLA Wins <1% 9% 19% 17% 14% 12% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
USC
(7‑2)

vs
Indiana
(8‑1)
8 USC Wins 2% 16% 13% 12% 13% 13% 12% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 17% 15% 15% 13% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Indiana Wins 1% 8% 21% 17% 15% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Iowa
(7‑2)

vs
Purdue
(3‑6)
5 Iowa Wins 1% 12% 17% 15% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 17% 15% 15% 13% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Purdue Wins <1% 8% 19% 21% 15% 12% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Michigan
(5‑4)

vs
Oregon
(6‑3)
5 Michigan Wins 1% 15% 23% 14% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 17% 15% 15% 13% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Oregon Wins 1% 10% 16% 16% 15% 14% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Maryland
(3‑6)

vs
Wisconsin
(6‑3)
4 Maryland Wins 1% 14% 21% 18% 14% 12% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 17% 15% 15% 13% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Wisconsin Wins 1% 10% 17% 15% 14% 13% 10% 7% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Nebraska
(5‑4)

vs
Rutgers
(2‑7)
1 Nebraska Wins 1% 11% 18% 15% 14% 13% 10% 7% 6% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 17% 15% 15% 13% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Rutgers Wins 1% 11% 17% 16% 14% 12% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Minnesota
(5‑4)

vs
Penn St.
(5‑4)
1 Minnesota Wins 1% 11% 18% 16% 14% 13% 10% 6% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 17% 15% 15% 13% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Penn St. Wins 1% 11% 18% 16% 14% 13% 10% 9% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Michigan St.
(3‑6)

vs
Washington
(5‑4)
0 Michigan St. Wins 1% 11% 18% 15% 14% 13% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 17% 15% 15% 13% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Washington Wins 1% 11% 19% 16% 14% 13% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant