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Sun Nov 1 12:30 am

Big 10 Football - Week 10 of 13

Oregon Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Oregon Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Oregon Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Oregon
(5‑3)

vs
Ohio St.
(6‑2)
19 Oregon Wins 3% 15% 17% 14% 13% 10% 8% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 1% 7% 8% 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Ohio St. Wins <1% <1% 2% 8% 12% 13% 13% 13% 10% 9% 7% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
NorthwesternN. Western
(6‑2)

vs
Iowa
(6‑2)
1 NorthwesternN. Western Wins 1% 8% 9% 11% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 7% 8% 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Iowa Wins 1% 7% 8% 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington
(5‑3)

vs
Penn St.
(4‑4)
1 Washington Wins 2% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 7% 8% 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn St. Wins 1% 7% 8% 10% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Michigan St.
(2‑6)

vs
Michigan
(5‑3)
1 Michigan St. Wins 2% 8% 8% 10% 12% 11% 11% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 7% 8% 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan Wins 2% 7% 9% 9% 12% 10% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota
(5‑3)

vs
UCLA
(8‑0)
0 Minnesota Wins 3% 6% 7% 9% 11% 10% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 7% 8% 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
UCLA Wins 1% 8% 9% 9% 12% 12% 11% 9% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Purdue
(3‑5)

vs
Maryland
(2‑6)
0 Purdue Wins 2% 7% 9% 9% 11% 11% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 7% 8% 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Maryland Wins 1% 7% 8% 10% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Illinois
(5‑3)

vs
Nebraska
(5‑3)
0 Illinois Wins 1% 7% 8% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 8% 6% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 7% 8% 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Nebraska Wins 2% 7% 9% 10% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Rutgers
(2‑6)

vs
Wisconsin
(5‑3)
0 Rutgers Wins 2% 8% 9% 12% 12% 10% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 7% 8% 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Wisconsin Wins 2% 8% 8% 9% 12% 10% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant