The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Michigan (2‑1) vs USC (2‑0) |
1 | Michigan Wins | 13% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | ||
| USC Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Minnesota (2‑1) vs Iowa (2‑1) |
1 | Minnesota Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Iowa Wins | 12% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Illinois (3‑0) vs Nebraska (3‑0) |
0 | Illinois Wins | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (2‑1) vs Washington (2‑1) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Washington Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||