The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Oregon (3‑1) vs UCLA (4‑0) |
18 | Oregon Wins | 17% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Maryland (2‑3) vs Ohio St. (4‑1) |
1 | Maryland Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska (5‑0) vs Indiana (5‑0) |
1 | Nebraska Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Washington (3‑2) vs Iowa (4‑1) |
1 | Washington Wins | 12% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa Wins | 12% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| USC (5‑1) vs Penn St. (3‑2) |
1 | USC Wins | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Penn St. Wins | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Purdue (2‑3) vs Minnesota (4‑1) |
0 | Purdue Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Michigan St. (2‑3) vs Illinois (2‑3) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois Wins | 12% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||