The Most Important Games for the USC Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. USC Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
USC Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| USC (7‑2) vs Indiana (8‑1) |
25 | USC Wins | 9% | 16% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 18% | 25% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan (5‑4) vs Oregon (6‑3) |
3 | Michigan Wins | 5% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oregon Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois (6‑3) vs UCLA (9‑0) |
3 | Illinois Wins | 10% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UCLA Wins | 2% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio St. (6‑3) vs NorthwesternN. Western (6‑3) |
1 | Ohio St. Wins | 5% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn St. (5‑4) vs Minnesota (5‑4) |
1 | Penn St. Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 4% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rutgers (2‑7) vs Nebraska (5‑4) |
1 | Rutgers Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nebraska Wins | 4% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Purdue (3‑6) vs Iowa (7‑2) |
1 | Purdue Wins | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa Wins | 4% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maryland (3‑6) vs Wisconsin (6‑3) |
1 | Maryland Wins | 4% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 4% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington (5‑4) vs Michigan St. (3‑6) |
0 | Washington Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | 4% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||