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Sat Nov 7 11:45 pm

Big 10 Football - Week 11 of 13

Wisconsin Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Wisconsin Badgers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Badgers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Wisconsin Badgers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Wisconsin Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Wisconsin Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Wisconsin
(6‑3)

vs
Maryland
(3‑6)
11 Wisconsin Wins <1% 11% 18% 16% 15% 14% 11% 7% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 9% 14% 14% 13% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Maryland Wins <1% <1% 1% 6% 12% 18% 17% 15% 13% 7% 5% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Michigan
(5‑4)

vs
Oregon
(6‑3)
8 Michigan Wins 1% 14% 14% 12% 13% 13% 11% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 9% 14% 14% 13% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Oregon Wins <1% 7% 14% 13% 13% 14% 13% 9% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
USC
(7‑2)

vs
Indiana
(8‑1)
7 USC Wins <1% 13% 17% 10% 10% 11% 13% 11% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% 9% 14% 14% 13% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Indiana Wins 1% 6% 12% 16% 15% 16% 12% 8% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Purdue
(3‑6)

vs
Iowa
(7‑2)
3 Purdue Wins <1% 11% 18% 14% 13% 13% 10% 6% 7% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% 9% 14% 14% 13% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Iowa Wins <1% 8% 13% 13% 14% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Michigan St.
(3‑6)

vs
Washington
(5‑4)
1 Michigan St. Wins <1% 10% 14% 13% 13% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% 9% 14% 14% 13% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Washington Wins <1% 9% 14% 13% 14% 14% 13% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
NorthwesternN. Western
(6‑3)

vs
Ohio St.
(6‑3)
1 NorthwesternN. Western Wins <1% 10% 16% 14% 12% 12% 12% 9% 7% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% 9% 14% 14% 13% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Ohio St. Wins <1% 9% 14% 14% 14% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Rutgers
(2‑7)

vs
Nebraska
(5‑4)
1 Rutgers Wins <1% 9% 15% 14% 13% 13% 13% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% 9% 14% 14% 13% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Nebraska Wins <1% 9% 14% 14% 14% 14% 12% 8% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
UCLA
(9‑0)

vs
Illinois
(6‑3)
1 UCLA Wins <1% 10% 14% 14% 14% 14% 12% 8% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% 9% 14% 14% 13% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Illinois Wins 1% 8% 12% 13% 12% 14% 13% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Penn St.
(5‑4)

vs
Minnesota
(5‑4)
0 Penn St. Wins <1% 9% 15% 14% 14% 15% 12% 8% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% 9% 14% 14% 13% 14% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Minnesota Wins <1% 9% 14% 14% 13% 14% 12% 9% 9% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant