The Most Important Games for the UCF Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCF Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCF Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| UCF (17‑4) vs Houston (19‑2) |
68 | UCF Wins | 2% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Houston Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 20% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas St. (10‑11) vs Iowa St. (19‑2) |
11 | Kansas St. Wins | 1% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | 1% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (15‑6) vs BYU (17‑4) |
5 | Oklahoma St. Wins | 1% | 10% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BYU Wins | 1% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas (16‑5) vs Texas Tech (16‑5) |
2 | Kansas Wins | 1% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | 1% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado (12‑9) vs TCU (13‑8) |
1 | Colorado Wins | 1% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TCU Wins | 1% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah (9‑12) vs Arizona St. (11‑11) |
0 | Utah Wins | 1% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | 1% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||