The Most Important Games for the UCF Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCF Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCF Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| UCF (14‑3) vs Iowa St. (16‑2) |
56 | UCF Wins | 4% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Baylor (11‑6) vs Texas Tech (14‑4) |
5 | Baylor Wins | 2% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | 2% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado (12‑5) vs Kansas (13‑5) |
2 | Colorado Wins | 2% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas Wins | 2% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TCU (11‑7) vs Oklahoma St. (13‑4) |
1 | TCU Wins | 2% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. Wins | 2% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah (9‑9) vs Kansas St. (9‑9) |
1 | Utah Wins | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | 2% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cincinnati (10‑8) vs Arizona (17‑0) |
1 | Cincinnati Wins | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona Wins | 2% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona St. (9‑8) vs West Virginia (12‑6) |
0 | Arizona St. Wins | 2% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Virginia Wins | 2% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||