The Most Important Games for the UCF Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCF Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCF Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| UCF (20‑8) vs Oklahoma St. (17‑12) |
10 | UCF Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 70% | 23% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 64% | 20% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 51% | 13% | 26% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas Tech (22‑7) vs TCU (19‑10) |
4 | Texas Tech Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 69% | 18% | 9% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 64% | 20% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| TCU Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 50% | 24% | 18% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cincinnati (16‑13) vs BYU (20‑9) |
3 | Cincinnati Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 64% | 19% | 15% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 64% | 20% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| BYU Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 64% | 20% | 9% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arizona St. (15‑14) vs Kansas (21‑8) |
0 | Arizona St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 61% | 19% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 64% | 20% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kansas Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 65% | 19% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| West Virginia (17‑12) vs Kansas St. (11‑18) |
0 | West Virginia Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 56% | 26% | 14% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 64% | 20% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 77% | 9% | 9% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Utah (10‑19) vs Colorado (16‑13) |
0 | Utah Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 64% | 20% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 64% | 20% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 64% | 20% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Houston (24‑5) vs Baylor (15‑14) |
0 | Houston Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 64% | 20% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 64% | 20% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Baylor Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 64% | 20% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||