Where are the UCF Knights going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The UCF standings table presents the probabilities of the Knights winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| Houston | 10i Houston Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Cincinnati 76-54 Won Wed, Feb 04 vs UCF 79-55 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ BYU 77-66 Won Tue, Feb 10 @ Utah 66-52 Sat, Feb 14 vs Kansas St. Mon, Feb 16 @ Iowa St. Sat, Feb 21 vs Arizona Mon, Feb 23 @ Kansas |
1 | 11 | 38% | 33% | 19% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Arizona | 10 Arizona Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 26 @ BYU 86-83 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Arizona St. 87-74 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Oklahoma St. 84-47 Lost Mon, Feb 09 @ Kansas 78-82 Sat, Feb 14 vs Texas Tech Wed, Feb 18 vs BYU Sat, Feb 21 @ Houston Tue, Feb 24 @ Baylor |
1 | 11 | 43% | 30% | 17% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Kansas | 9 Kansas Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs BYU 90-82 Won Mon, Feb 02 @ Texas Tech 64-61 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Utah 71-59 Won Mon, Feb 09 vs Arizona 82-78 Sat, Feb 14 @ Iowa St. Wed, Feb 18 @ Oklahoma St. Sat, Feb 21 vs Cincinnati Mon, Feb 23 vs Houston |
2 | 11 | 16% | 25% | 34% | 15% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Iowa St. | 8 Iowa St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Colorado 97-67 Won Sun, Feb 01 @ Kansas St. 95-61 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Baylor 72-69 Lost Tue, Feb 10 @ TCU 55-62 Sat, Feb 14 vs Kansas Mon, Feb 16 vs Houston Sat, Feb 21 @ BYU Tue, Feb 24 @ Utah |
3 | 11 | 2% | 6% | 14% | 27% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Texas Tech | 7 Texas Tech Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Houston 90-86 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ UCF 80-88 Lost Mon, Feb 02 vs Kansas 61-64 Won Sun, Feb 08 @ West Virginia 70-63 Wed, Feb 11 vs Colorado Sat, Feb 14 @ Arizona Tue, Feb 17 @ Arizona St. Sat, Feb 21 vs Kansas St. |
3 | 10 | 1% | 5% | 12% | 29% | 25% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UCF | 6 UCF Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Arizona St. 79-76 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Texas Tech 88-80 Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ Houston 55-79 Lost Sun, Feb 08 @ Cincinnati 72-92 Sat, Feb 14 vs West Virginia Tue, Feb 17 vs TCU Sat, Feb 21 @ Utah Tue, Feb 24 @ BYU |
5 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 19% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| West Virginia | 6 West Virginia Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Kansas St. 59-54 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Baylor 53-63 Won Thu, Feb 05 @ Cincinnati 59-54 Lost Sun, Feb 08 vs Texas Tech 63-70 Sat, Feb 14 @ UCF Wed, Feb 18 vs Utah Sat, Feb 21 @ TCU Tue, Feb 24 @ Oklahoma St. |
5 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 25% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| BYU | 6 BYU Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Kansas 82-90 Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ Oklahoma St. 92-99 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Houston 66-77 Won Tue, Feb 10 @ Baylor 99-94 Sat, Feb 14 vs Colorado Wed, Feb 18 @ Arizona Sat, Feb 21 vs Iowa St. Tue, Feb 24 vs UCF |
5 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| TCU | 5 TCU Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 28 vs Houston 70-79 Lost Sun, Feb 01 @ Colorado 61-87 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Kansas St. 84-82 Won Tue, Feb 10 vs Iowa St. 62-55 Sat, Feb 14 @ Oklahoma St. Tue, Feb 17 @ UCF Sat, Feb 21 vs West Virginia Tue, Feb 24 vs Arizona St. |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Cincinnati | 4 Cincinnati Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 28 vs Baylor 67-57 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Houston 54-76 Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs West Virginia 54-59 Won Sun, Feb 08 vs UCF 92-72 Wed, Feb 11 @ Kansas St. Sun, Feb 15 vs Utah Sat, Feb 21 @ Kansas Tue, Feb 24 @ Texas Tech |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% |
| Oklahoma St. | 4 Oklahoma St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Utah 81-69 Won Wed, Feb 04 vs BYU 99-92 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Arizona 47-84 Lost Tue, Feb 10 @ Arizona St. 76-85 Sat, Feb 14 vs TCU Wed, Feb 18 vs Kansas Sat, Feb 21 @ Colorado Tue, Feb 24 vs West Virginia |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
| Colorado | 4 Colorado Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ Iowa St. 67-97 Won Sun, Feb 01 vs TCU 87-61 Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ Baylor 67-86 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Arizona St. 78-70 Wed, Feb 11 @ Texas Tech Sat, Feb 14 @ BYU Sat, Feb 21 vs Oklahoma St. Wed, Feb 25 vs Kansas St. |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 18% | 13% | 6% | 2% |
| Arizona St. | 4 Arizona St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Arizona 74-87 Won Wed, Feb 04 @ Utah 71-63 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Colorado 70-78 Won Tue, Feb 10 vs Oklahoma St. 85-76 Tue, Feb 17 vs Texas Tech Sat, Feb 21 @ Baylor Tue, Feb 24 @ TCU Sat, Feb 28 vs Utah |
8 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 17% | 4% | 1% |
| Baylor | 3 Baylor Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 @ West Virginia 63-53 Won Wed, Feb 04 vs Colorado 86-67 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Iowa St. 69-72 Lost Tue, Feb 10 vs BYU 94-99 Sat, Feb 14 vs Louisville Tue, Feb 17 @ Kansas St. Sat, Feb 21 vs Arizona St. Tue, Feb 24 vs Arizona |
9 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 26% | 16% | 7% |
| Kansas St. | 1 Kansas St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Kansas 62-86 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ West Virginia 54-59 Lost Sun, Feb 01 vs Iowa St. 61-95 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ TCU 82-84 Wed, Feb 11 vs Cincinnati Sat, Feb 14 @ Houston Tue, Feb 17 vs Baylor Sat, Feb 21 @ Texas Tech |
9 | 10 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 47% | 27% |
| Utah | 1 Utah Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Oklahoma St. 69-81 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs Arizona St. 63-71 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Kansas 59-71 Lost Tue, Feb 10 vs Houston 52-66 Sun, Feb 15 @ Cincinnati Wed, Feb 18 @ West Virginia Sat, Feb 21 vs UCF Tue, Feb 24 vs Iowa St. |
10 | 11 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 23% | 62% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 89% | ||
| (16)Utah | 1 | 10 | 5% |
| (15)Kansas St. | 1 | 9 | 4% |
| (14)Baylor | 3 | 9 | 1% |
| (12)Colorado | 4 | 7 | 1% |
| (13)Arizona St. | 4 | 8 | <1% |
| (10)Cincinnati | 4 | 7 | <1% |
| (11)Oklahoma St. | 4 | 7 | <1% |
| (9)TCU | 5 | 6 | <1% |
| (8)BYU | 6 | 5 | <1% |
| (5)Texas Tech | 7 | 3 | <1% |
| (7)West Virginia | 6 | 5 | <1% |
| (3)Kansas | 9 | 2 | <1% |
| (4)Iowa St. | 8 | 3 | <1% |
| (1)Houston | 10 | 1 | <1% |
| (2)Arizona | 10 | 1 | <1% |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kansas (19‑5) |
81‑75 | Home | Sat Jan 3, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | Oklahoma St. (16‑8) |
76‑87 | Away | Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Cincinnati (12‑12) |
73‑72 | Home | Sun Jan 11, 5:00 pm |
| 11 | Kansas St. (10‑13) |
82‑73 | Away | Wed Jan 14, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Arizona (23‑1) |
77‑84 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 4:00 pm |
| 12 | Iowa St. (21‑3) |
57‑87 | Away | Tue Jan 20, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Colorado (14‑10) |
95‑86 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 3:00 pm |
| 13 | Arizona St. (13‑12) |
79‑76 | Home | Tue Jan 27, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Texas Tech (17‑6) |
88‑80 | Home | Sat Jan 31, 12:00 pm |
| 14 | Houston (22‑2) |
55‑79 | Away | Wed Feb 4, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Cincinnati (12‑12) |
72‑92 | Away | Sun Feb 8, 2:00 pm |
| 15 | West Virginia (15‑9) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | TCU (15‑9) |
Home | Tue Feb 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Utah (9‑15) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | BYU (18‑6) |
Away | Tue Feb 24, 11:00 pm | |
| 17 | Baylor (13‑11) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 8:00 pm | |
| 18 | Oklahoma St. (16‑8) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | West Virginia (15‑9) |
Away | Fri Mar 6, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hofstra (16‑9) |
CoastalCoastal | 82‑78 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Vanderbilt (19‑4) |
SECSEC | 93‑105 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Florida A&M (8‑13) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 97‑60 | Home | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Texas A&M (17‑6) |
SECSEC | 86‑74 | Away | Fri Nov 14 |
| 3 | Oakland (14‑11) |
HorizonHorizon | 87‑83 | Home | Mon Nov 17, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Pittsburgh (9‑16) |
ACCACC | 77‑67 | Home | Thu Nov 20, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Quinnipiac (17‑9) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 102‑91 | Home | Tue Nov 25, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | VMI (6‑19) |
SouthernSouthern | 82‑57 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 1:00 pm |
| 5 | Towson (13‑12) |
CoastalCoastal | 86‑61 | Home | Sun Dec 7, 4:00 pm |
| 7 | Mercer (15‑10) |
SouthernSouthern | 81‑63 | Home | Wed Dec 17, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Fla Gulf Coast (10‑15) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 102‑80 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 5:00 pm |
| 8 | Florida Atlantic (14‑10) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 85‑80 | Home | Tue Dec 23, 2:00 pm |