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Sun Nov 8 6:45 am

Big 12 Football - Week 11 of 13

Arizona Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Arizona Wildcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wildcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arizona Wildcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Arizona Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Arizona Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Arizona
(7‑2)

vs
Utah
(9‑0)
18 Arizona Wins 5% 14% 26% 17% 14% 12% 7% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 12% 14% 19% 17% 13% 9% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Utah Wins X <1% 4% 12% 23% 21% 16% 12% 7% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Oklahoma St.
(6‑3)

vs
Texas Tech
(8‑1)
3 Oklahoma St. Wins 3% 7% 9% 10% 15% 18% 15% 11% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 12% 14% 19% 17% 13% 9% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Texas Tech Wins 2% 5% 14% 16% 20% 15% 11% 8% 4% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
BYU
(7‑2)

vs
Baylor
(6‑3)
2 BYU Wins 2% 6% 11% 15% 19% 17% 13% 8% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 12% 14% 19% 17% 13% 9% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Baylor Wins 2% 5% 15% 11% 15% 15% 12% 13% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
West Virginia
(5‑4)

vs
Kansas
(3‑6)
1 West Virginia Wins 3% 6% 12% 14% 18% 16% 12% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 12% 14% 19% 17% 13% 9% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Kansas Wins 2% 6% 11% 14% 19% 17% 13% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Houston
(7‑2)

vs
Colorado
(3‑6)
1 Houston Wins 2% 6% 12% 12% 18% 18% 14% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 12% 14% 19% 17% 13% 9% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Colorado Wins 2% 5% 12% 20% 17% 15% 11% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Kansas St.
(4‑5)

vs
TCU
(4‑5)
0 Kansas St. Wins 2% 6% 11% 14% 18% 17% 13% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 12% 14% 19% 17% 13% 9% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
TCU Wins 2% 6% 12% 14% 19% 17% 13% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
UCF
(5‑4)

vs
Arizona St.
(5‑4)
0 UCF Wins 2% 6% 11% 14% 18% 16% 14% 10% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 12% 14% 19% 17% 13% 9% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Arizona St. Wins 2% 6% 12% 15% 21% 16% 10% 8% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Cincinnati
(5‑4)

vs
Iowa St.
(4‑5)
0 Cincinnati Wins 2% 6% 11% 13% 19% 17% 13% 9% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 12% 14% 19% 17% 13% 9% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Iowa St. Wins 2% 6% 12% 14% 18% 17% 13% 9% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant