The Arizona Wildcats What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Arizona plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 10% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% |
| Current Standings | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 10% |
|
Best Case Scenario West Virginia beats Kansas |
Worst Case Scenario Kansas beats West Virginia |
|||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
| 9 of 9 | 100% | 9 | 0 | 91% | 9% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 9 | 89% | 8 | 1 | 51% | 37% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 9 | 78% | 7 | 2 | 7% | 28% | 37% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 9 | 67% | 6 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 9% | 24% | 33% | 23% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 9 | 56% | 5 | 4 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 30% | 28% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 9 | 44% | 4 | 5 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 27% | 30% | 20% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 23% | 31% | 25% | 9% | 2% | <1% |
| 2 of 9 | 22% | 2 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 22% | 35% | 28% | 7% |
| 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 35% | 53% |
| 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 9% | 91% |