The Most Important Games for the UC San Diego Tritons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tritons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC San Diego Tritons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UC San Diego Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UC San Diego (23‑4) vs Hawai'i (14‑12) |
12 | UC San Diego Wins | 84% | 14% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 81% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | 63% | 29% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UC Davis (15‑12) vs CSU Northridge (19‑7) |
5 | UC Davis Wins | 81% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 81% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 80% | 16% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cal Poly (10‑17) vs UC Riverside (18‑10) |
2 | Cal Poly Wins | 81% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 81% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UC Riverside Wins | 81% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (12‑16) vs UC Irvine (22‑5) |
2 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 91% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 81% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 79% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UCSB (17‑10) vs Long Beach St. (7‑20) |
0 | UCSB Wins | 81% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 81% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Long Beach St. Wins | 81% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||