The Most Important Games for the UC San Diego Tritons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tritons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC San Diego Tritons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UC San Diego Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Long Beach St. (8‑18) vs UC Irvine (17‑9) |
4 | Long Beach St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 21% | 25% | 20% | 11% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 22% | 26% | 20% | 11% | <1% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 27% | 20% | 11% | <1% | ||
| Cal Poly (11‑16) vs Hawai'i (18‑6) |
3 | Cal Poly Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 17% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 22% | 26% | 20% | 11% | <1% | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 22% | 27% | 21% | 9% | <1% | ||
| CSU Northridge (16‑10) vs UCSB (17‑9) |
2 | CSU Northridge Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 21% | 26% | 20% | 11% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 22% | 26% | 20% | 11% | <1% | ||
| UCSB Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 28% | 19% | 11% | <1% | ||
| CSU Fullerton (13‑14) vs UC Davis (16‑10) |
1 | CSU Fullerton Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 24% | 22% | 20% | 12% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 22% | 26% | 20% | 11% | <1% | ||
| UC Davis Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 19% | 29% | 20% | 11% | <1% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑18) vs UC Riverside (8‑19) |
0 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 21% | 26% | 20% | 11% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 22% | 26% | 20% | 11% | <1% | ||
| UC Riverside Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 27% | 20% | 11% | <1% | ||