Where are the UC San Diego Tritons going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The UC San Diego standings table presents the probabilities of the Tritons winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| UC Irvine | 10i UC Irvine Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 25 vs Hawai'i 71-55 Won Thu, Jan 30 @ Long Beach St. 80-75 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs UC Davis 73-66 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs UC San Diego 67-85 Thu, Feb 13 vs UCSB Sun, Feb 16 @ Hawai'i Thu, Feb 20 vs CSU Northridge Sat, Feb 22 @ CSU Bakersfield |
2 | 12 | 50% | 41% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UC San Diego | 10 UC San Diego Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 25 vs CSU Northridge 79-54 Won Fri, Jan 31 @ Hawai'i 74-63 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs UC Riverside 91-71 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ UC Irvine 85-67 Thu, Feb 13 @ CSU Bakersfield Sat, Feb 15 vs UC Davis Thu, Feb 20 @ Cal Poly Sat, Feb 22 vs Hawai'i |
2 | 12 | 48% | 44% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UC Riverside | 9 UC Riverside Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 30 vs UC Davis 60-58 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Cal Poly 80-62 Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ UC San Diego 71-91 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs CSU Bakersfield 69-64 Thu, Feb 13 @ UC Davis Sat, Feb 15 vs UCSB Thu, Feb 20 vs Long Beach St. Sat, Feb 22 @ Cal Poly |
4 | 13 | 2% | 11% | 57% | 19% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CSU Northridge | 9 CSU Northridge Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 30 @ UCSB 78-71 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs CSU Bakersfield 88-62 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs CSU Fullerton 82-63 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Long Beach St. 81-80 Sat, Feb 15 vs Cal Poly Thu, Feb 20 @ UC Irvine Sat, Feb 22 @ UC Davis Thu, Feb 27 vs UC San Diego |
4 | 13 | 1% | 2% | 16% | 43% | 24% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| UC Davis | 8 UC Davis Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 30 @ UC Riverside 58-60 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ UC Irvine 66-73 Won Thu, Feb 06 @ Long Beach St. 73-65 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ CSU Fullerton 65-49 Thu, Feb 13 vs UC Riverside Sat, Feb 15 @ UC San Diego Thu, Feb 20 vs CSU Bakersfield Sat, Feb 22 vs CSU Northridge |
5 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 32% | 36% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
| UCSB | 8 UCSB Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 30 vs CSU Northridge 71-78 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Long Beach St. 85-54 Won Thu, Feb 06 @ CSU Bakersfield 81-75 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Hawai'i 76-72 Thu, Feb 13 @ UC Irvine Sat, Feb 15 @ UC Riverside Thu, Feb 20 vs CSU Fullerton Sat, Feb 22 @ Long Beach St. |
5 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 33% | 36% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Hawai'i | 5 Hawai'i Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 31 vs UC San Diego 63-74 Won Sun, Feb 02 vs CSU Fullerton 82-57 Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Cal Poly 63-79 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ UCSB 72-76 Fri, Feb 14 vs Long Beach St. Sun, Feb 16 vs UC Irvine Sat, Feb 22 @ UC San Diego Fri, Feb 28 vs UC Riverside |
8 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 51% | 25% | 13% |
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 4 CSU Bakersfield Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 30 vs Cal Poly 81-90 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ CSU Northridge 62-88 Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs UCSB 75-81 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ UC Riverside 64-69 Thu, Feb 13 vs UC San Diego Sat, Feb 15 vs CSU Fullerton Thu, Feb 20 @ UC Davis Sat, Feb 22 vs UC Irvine |
9 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 30% | 52% |
| Cal Poly | 3 Cal Poly Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 25 vs Long Beach St. 78-69 Won Thu, Jan 30 @ CSU Bakersfield 90-81 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ UC Riverside 62-80 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs Hawai'i 79-63 Thu, Feb 13 @ CSU Fullerton Sat, Feb 15 @ CSU Northridge Thu, Feb 20 vs UC San Diego Sat, Feb 22 vs UC Riverside |
9 | 12 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 37% | 43% |
| Long Beach St. | 3 Long Beach St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 30 vs UC Irvine 75-80 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ UCSB 54-85 Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs UC Davis 65-73 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs CSU Northridge 80-81 Fri, Feb 14 @ Hawai'i Thu, Feb 20 @ UC Riverside Sat, Feb 22 vs UCSB Thu, Feb 27 vs CSU Bakersfield |
10 | 13 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| CSU Fullerton | 1 CSU Fullerton Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 25 vs UCSB 75-83 Lost Sun, Feb 02 @ Hawai'i 57-82 Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ CSU Northridge 63-82 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs UC Davis 49-65 Thu, Feb 13 vs Cal Poly Sat, Feb 15 @ CSU Bakersfield Thu, Feb 20 @ UCSB Thu, Feb 27 vs UC Irvine |
12 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | >99% | ||
| (9)Cal Poly | 3 | 9 | <1% |
| (8)CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 4 | 9 | <1% |
| (7)Hawai'i | 5 | 8 | <1% |
| (10)Long Beach St. | 3 | 10 | <1% |
| (1)UC Irvine | 10 | 2 | <1% |
| (3)UC Riverside | 9 | 4 | <1% |
| (4)CSU Northridge | 9 | 4 | <1% |
| (5)UC Davis | 8 | 5 | <1% |
| (6)UCSB | 8 | 5 | <1% |
| (11)CSU Fullerton | 1 | 12 | <1% |
| Elimination | <1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UCSB (16‑8) |
84‑76 | Away | Thu Dec 5, 10:00 pm |
| 5 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (10‑15) |
81‑60 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 10:00 pm |
| 9 | CSU Fullerton (6‑19) |
90‑51 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | Cal Poly (9‑15) |
95‑68 | Home | Thu Jan 9, 10:00 pm |
| 10 | UC Irvine (20‑4) |
52‑60 | Home | Sat Jan 11, 10:00 pm |
| 11 | Long Beach St. (7‑18) |
80‑54 | Away | Thu Jan 16, 10:00 pm |
| 11 | UC Riverside (16‑9) |
81‑85 | Away | Sat Jan 18, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | UCSB (16‑8) |
77‑63 | Home | Thu Jan 23, 10:00 pm |
| 12 | CSU Northridge (17‑7) |
79‑54 | Home | Sat Jan 25, 10:00 pm |
| 13 | Hawai'i (13‑11) |
74‑63 | Away | Fri Jan 31, 12:01 am |
| 14 | UC Riverside (16‑9) |
91‑71 | Home | Thu Feb 6, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | UC Irvine (20‑4) |
85‑67 | Away | Sat Feb 8, 10:00 pm |
| 15 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (10‑15) |
Away | Thu Feb 13, 9:30 pm | |
| 15 | UC Davis (14‑10) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Cal Poly (9‑15) |
Away | Thu Feb 20, 10:00 pm | |
| 16 | Hawai'i (13‑11) |
Home | Sat Feb 22, 10:00 pm | |
| 17 | CSU Northridge (17‑7) |
Away | Thu Feb 27, TBD | |
| 17 | CSU Fullerton (6‑19) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 10:00 pm | |
| 18 | Long Beach St. (7‑18) |
Home | Thu Mar 6, 10:00 pm | |
| 18 | UC Davis (14‑10) |
Away | Sat Mar 8, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego St. (16‑6) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 58‑63 | Away | Wed Nov 6, 10:00 pm |
| 1 | Pepperdine (9‑16) |
West CoastWest Coast | 94‑76 | Home | Sat Nov 9, 10:00 pm |
| 2 | Sacramento St. (6‑18) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 64‑54 | Home | Tue Nov 12, 10:00 pm |
| 2 | Seattle (10‑13) |
WACWAC | 71‑84 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 10:00 pm |
| 3 | La Salle (12‑12) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 72‑67 | Home | Thu Nov 21, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | James Madison (15‑10) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 73‑67 | Home | Fri Nov 22, 3:30 pm |
| 3 | Toledo (15‑9) |
MACMAC | 80‑45 | Home | Sat Nov 23, 5:30 pm |
| 4 | La Verne | ‑‑ | 109‑33 | Home | Sat Nov 30, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Idaho (11‑14) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 80‑56 | Away | Sun Dec 15, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Utah St. (22‑3) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 75‑73 | Away | Tue Dec 17, 9:00 pm |
| 7 | San Diego (4‑22) |
West CoastWest Coast | 77‑71 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 9:00 pm |
| 8 | Occidental | ‑‑ | 109‑51 | Home | Sat Dec 28, 7:00 pm |