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Mon Feb 17 11:30 am

Big West Basketball - Week 16 of 18

UC San Diego Tritons Standings

Where are the UC San Diego Tritons going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The UC San Diego standings table presents the probabilities of the Tritons winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Big West Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
20 game season
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
UC Irvine 12i
UC Irvine Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 01 vs UC Davis         73-66 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs UC San Diego     67-85 
Won  Thu, Feb 13 vs UCSB             62-60 
Won  Sun, Feb 16 @  Hawai'i          66-49 
     Thu, Feb 20 vs CSU Northridge  
     Sat, Feb 22 @  CSU Bakersfield 
     Thu, Feb 27 @  CSU Fullerton   
     Sat, Mar 01 vs Long Beach St.  

2 14 54% 44% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
UC San Diego 12
UC San Diego Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs UC Riverside     91-71 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  UC Irvine        85-67 
Won  Thu, Feb 13 @  CSU Bakersfield  73-54 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs UC Davis         85-60 
     Thu, Feb 20 @  Cal Poly        
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Hawai'i         
     Thu, Feb 27 @  CSU Northridge  
     Sat, Mar 01 vs CSU Fullerton   

2 14 45% 53% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
CSU Northridge 10
CSU Northridge Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 01 vs CSU Bakersfield  88-62 
Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs CSU Fullerton    82-63 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  Long Beach St.   81-80 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs Cal Poly         89-85 
     Thu, Feb 20 @  UC Irvine       
     Sat, Feb 22 @  UC Davis        
     Thu, Feb 27 vs UC San Diego    
     Sat, Mar 01 vs UCSB            

4 14 <1% 1% 23% 46% 21% 8% 1% <1% ^
UC Riverside 10
UC Riverside Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  UC San Diego     71-91 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs CSU Bakersfield  69-64 
Lost Thu, Feb 13 @  UC Davis         74-75 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs UCSB             81-69 
     Thu, Feb 20 vs Long Beach St.  
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Cal Poly        
     Fri, Feb 28 @  Hawai'i         
     Thu, Mar 06 vs CSU Northridge  

5 15 <1% 2% 69% 25% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
UC Davis 9
UC Davis Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 @  Long Beach St.   73-65 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  CSU Fullerton    65-49 
Won  Thu, Feb 13 vs UC Riverside     75-74 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  UC San Diego     60-85 
     Thu, Feb 20 vs CSU Bakersfield 
     Sat, Feb 22 vs CSU Northridge  
     Sun, Mar 02 @  Hawai'i         
     Thu, Mar 06 vs UC Irvine       

6 15 <1% <1% 3% 21% 48% 23% 4% <1% <1%
UCSB 8
UCSB Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 @  CSU Bakersfield  81-75 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs Hawai'i          76-72 
Lost Thu, Feb 13 @  UC Irvine        60-62 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  UC Riverside     69-81 
     Thu, Feb 20 vs CSU Fullerton   
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Long Beach St.  
     Thu, Feb 27 vs Cal Poly        
     Sat, Mar 01 @  CSU Northridge  

7 15 <1% <1% <1% 9% 26% 62% 3% <1% <1%
Hawai'i 6
Hawai'i Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  Cal Poly         63-79 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  UCSB             72-76 
Won  Fri, Feb 14 vs Long Beach St.   62-60 
Lost Sun, Feb 16 vs UC Irvine        49-66 
     Sat, Feb 22 @  UC San Diego    
     Fri, Feb 28 vs UC Riverside    
     Sun, Mar 02 vs UC Davis        
     Thu, Mar 06 @  CSU Bakersfield 

9 15 X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 58% 28% 9%
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild 5
CSU Bakersfield Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs UCSB             75-81 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  UC Riverside     64-69 
Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs UC San Diego     54-73 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs CSU Fullerton    91-54 
     Thu, Feb 20 @  UC Davis        
     Sat, Feb 22 vs UC Irvine       
     Thu, Feb 27 @  Long Beach St.  
     Sat, Mar 01 @  Cal Poly        

10 15 X X X <1% <1% 1% 16% 31% 52%
 
Cal Poly 4
Cal Poly Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 01 @  UC Riverside     62-80 
Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs Hawai'i          79-63 
Won  Thu, Feb 13 @  CSU Fullerton    98-83 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  CSU Northridge   85-89 
     Thu, Feb 20 vs UC San Diego    
     Sat, Feb 22 vs UC Riverside    
     Thu, Feb 27 @  UCSB            
     Sat, Mar 01 vs CSU Bakersfield 

10 14 X X X X <1% 1% 19% 38% 42%
Long Beach St. 3
Long Beach St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 01 @  UCSB             54-85 
Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs UC Davis         65-73 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs CSU Northridge   80-81 
Lost Fri, Feb 14 @  Hawai'i          60-62 
     Thu, Feb 20 @  UC Riverside    
     Sat, Feb 22 vs UCSB            
     Thu, Feb 27 vs CSU Bakersfield 
     Sat, Mar 01 @  UC Irvine       

11 14 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 97%
CSU Fullerton 1
CSU Fullerton Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  CSU Northridge   63-82 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs UC Davis         49-65 
Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs Cal Poly         83-98 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  CSU Bakersfield  54-91 
     Thu, Feb 20 @  UCSB            
     Thu, Feb 27 vs UC Irvine       
     Sat, Mar 01 @  UC San Diego    
     Thu, Mar 06 @  Cal Poly        

14 15 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(2) Tritons 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye >99%
(6)UCSB 8 7 <1%
(7)Hawai'i 6 9 <1%
(8)CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild 5 10 <1%
(9)Cal Poly 4 10 <1%
(10)Long Beach St. 3 11 <1%
(3)CSU Northridge 10 4 <1%
(4)UC Riverside 10 5 <1%
(5)UC Davis 9 6 <1%
(11)CSU Fullerton 1 14 <1%
(1)UC Irvine 12 2 X
Elimination X



Tritons Conference Schedule
Current Week 16
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
5 UCSB
(16‑10)
84‑76 Away Thu Dec 5, 10:00 pm
5 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(11‑16)
81‑60 Home Sat Dec 7, 10:00 pm
9 CSU Fullerton
(6‑21)
90‑51 Away Sat Jan 4, 9:00 pm
10 Cal Poly
(10‑16)
95‑68 Home Thu Jan 9, 10:00 pm
10 UC Irvine
(22‑4)
52‑60 Home Sat Jan 11, 10:00 pm
11 Long Beach St.
(7‑19)
80‑54 Away Thu Jan 16, 10:00 pm
11 UC Riverside
(17‑10)
81‑85 Away Sat Jan 18, 8:00 pm
12 UCSB
(16‑10)
77‑63 Home Thu Jan 23, 10:00 pm
12 CSU Northridge
(18‑7)
79‑54 Home Sat Jan 25, 10:00 pm
13 Hawai'i
(14‑12)
74‑63 Away Fri Jan 31, 12:01 am
14 UC Riverside
(17‑10)
91‑71 Home Thu Feb 6, 10:00 pm
14 UC Irvine
(22‑4)
85‑67 Away Sat Feb 8, 10:00 pm
15 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(11‑16)
73‑54 Away Thu Feb 13, 9:30 pm
15 UC Davis
(15‑11)
85‑60 Home Sat Feb 15, 7:00 pm
16 Cal Poly
(10‑16)
  Away Thu Feb 20, 10:00 pm
16 Hawai'i
(14‑12)
  Home Sat Feb 22, 10:00 pm
17 CSU Northridge
(18‑7)
  Away Thu Feb 27, TBD
17 CSU Fullerton
(6‑21)
  Home Sat Mar 1, 10:00 pm
18 Long Beach St.
(7‑19)
  Home Thu Mar 6, 10:00 pm
18 UC Davis
(15‑11)
  Away Sat Mar 8, TBD


Tritons Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 San Diego St.
(17‑6)
Mountain WestMntn West 58‑63 Away Wed Nov 6, 10:00 pm
1 Pepperdine
(10‑17)
West CoastWest Coast 94‑76 Home Sat Nov 9, 10:00 pm
2 Sacramento St.
(6‑20)
Big SkyBig Sky 64‑54 Home Tue Nov 12, 10:00 pm
2 Seattle
(10‑15)
WACWAC 71‑84 Home Sat Nov 16, 10:00 pm
3 La Salle
(12‑13)
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 72‑67 Home Thu Nov 21, 1:00 pm
3 James Madison
(17‑10)
SunbeltSunbelt 73‑67 Home Fri Nov 22, 3:30 pm
3 Toledo
(15‑10)
MACMAC 80‑45 Home Sat Nov 23, 5:30 pm
4 La Verne ‑‑ 109‑33 Home Sat Nov 30, 7:00 pm
6 Idaho
(11‑15)
Big SkyBig Sky 80‑56 Away Sun Dec 15, 7:00 pm
7 Utah St.
(22‑4)
Mountain WestMntn West 75‑73 Away Tue Dec 17, 9:00 pm
7 San Diego
(4‑24)
West CoastWest Coast 77‑71 Away Sat Dec 21, 9:00 pm
8 Occidental ‑‑ 109‑51 Home Sat Dec 28, 7:00 pm