The Most Important Games for the UCSB Gauchos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gauchos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCSB Gauchos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCSB Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UCSB (3‑0) vs CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (3‑0) |
26 | UCSB Wins | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 19% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 21% | ||
| California Baptist (1‑3) vs UC San Diego (2‑1) |
3 | California Baptist Wins | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 19% | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||
| Sacramento St. (1‑1) vs CSU Fullerton (2‑1) |
2 | Sacramento St. Wins | 15% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 19% | ||
| CSU Fullerton Wins | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||
| UC Riverside (3‑0) vs UC Irvine (3‑0) |
1 | UC Riverside Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 19% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||
| Cal Poly (2‑2) vs CSU Northridge (1‑2) |
1 | Cal Poly Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 19% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||
| Long Beach St. (1‑2) vs Utah Valley (2‑0) |
1 | Long Beach St. Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 19% | ||
| Utah Valley Wins | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||