The Most Important Games for the UCSB Gauchos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gauchos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCSB Gauchos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCSB Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UCSB (11‑5) vs UC Riverside (10‑7) |
59 | UCSB Wins | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 16% | ||
| UC Riverside Wins | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Cal Poly (6‑12) vs UC Davis (9‑8) |
5 | Cal Poly Wins | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 16% | ||
| UC Davis Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 16% | ||
| CSU Fullerton (5‑13) vs UC Irvine (15‑2) |
4 | CSU Fullerton Wins | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 16% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 8% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 15% | ||
| Long Beach St. (7‑10) vs UC San Diego (14‑3) |
2 | Long Beach St. Wins | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 16% | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 15% | ||
| Hawai'i (11‑5) vs CSU Northridge (11‑6) |
0 | Hawai'i Wins | 8% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 16% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 16% | ||