The Most Important Games for the UCSB Gauchos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gauchos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCSB Gauchos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCSB Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UCSB (9‑4) vs CSU Fullerton (5‑8) |
30 | UCSB Wins | 14% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| CSU Fullerton Wins | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (6‑8) vs UC Irvine (9‑5) |
3 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 12% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| UC Riverside (6‑8) vs Hawai'i (10‑2) |
2 | UC Riverside Wins | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Cal Poly (5‑9) vs UC San Diego (10‑2) |
1 | Cal Poly Wins | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | 12% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| CSU Northridge (8‑5) vs UC Davis (6‑5) |
0 | CSU Northridge Wins | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| UC Davis Wins | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||