The Most Important Games for the UCSB Gauchos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gauchos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCSB Gauchos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCSB Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UCSB (15‑8) vs UC Irvine (16‑7) |
62 | UCSB Wins | 17% | 19% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 4% | 11% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 16% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Cal Poly (9‑15) vs UC Davis (14‑9) |
10 | Cal Poly Wins | 12% | 17% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UC Davis Wins | 11% | 15% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UC Riverside (8‑16) vs CSU Northridge (14‑10) |
9 | UC Riverside Wins | 12% | 17% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 11% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UC San Diego (16‑8) vs Hawai'i (16‑5) |
5 | UC San Diego Wins | 13% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | 10% | 15% | 23% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑16) vs CSU Fullerton (11‑13) |
2 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 11% | 15% | 22% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| CSU Fullerton Wins | 11% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||