The Most Important Games for the UCSB Gauchos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gauchos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCSB Gauchos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCSB Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UCSB (17‑10) vs Long Beach St. (7‑20) |
5 | UCSB Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 56% | 37% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 49% | 45% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Long Beach St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 30% | 66% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UC Davis (15‑12) vs CSU Northridge (19‑7) |
3 | UC Davis Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 31% | 61% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 49% | 45% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 63% | 32% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Cal Poly (10‑17) vs UC Riverside (18‑10) |
2 | Cal Poly Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 48% | 44% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 49% | 45% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UC Riverside Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 50% | 45% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UC Irvine (22‑5) vs CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (12‑16) |
0 | UC Irvine Wins | X | X | <1% | 5% | 50% | 45% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 49% | 45% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 49% | 44% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UC San Diego (23‑4) vs Hawai'i (14‑12) |
0 | UC San Diego Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 50% | 44% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 49% | 45% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 49% | 44% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||