Where are the UCSB Gauchos going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The UCSB standings table presents the probabilities of the Gauchos winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| UC Irvine | 9i UC Irvine Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 @ UC Riverside 80-66 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ UC San Diego 61-59 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Hawai'i 87-76 Won Thu, Feb 05 vs CSU Bakersfield 78-62 Sat, Feb 07 @ UCSB Thu, Feb 12 @ Cal Poly Sat, Feb 14 vs CSU Fullerton Thu, Feb 19 @ Long Beach St. |
2 | 11 | 50% | 26% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Hawai'i | 8 Hawai'i Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 vs CSU Bakersfield 98-71 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs CSU Northridge 89-68 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ UC Irvine 76-87 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Long Beach St. 89-82 Sat, Feb 07 vs UC San Diego Thu, Feb 12 @ CSU Bakersfield Sat, Feb 14 @ CSU Northridge Thu, Feb 19 vs Cal Poly |
3 | 11 | 30% | 36% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| UCSB | 8 UCSB Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Long Beach St. 74-71 Won Thu, Jan 29 @ UC San Diego 62-48 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs CSU Fullerton 83-69 Lost Thu, Feb 05 @ UC Davis 75-85 Sat, Feb 07 vs UC Irvine Thu, Feb 12 @ UC Riverside Sat, Feb 14 @ Cal Poly Thu, Feb 19 vs CSU Northridge |
4 | 12 | 11% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| UC Davis | 7 UC Davis Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 vs UC Riverside 74-66 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ CSU Northridge 78-94 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ CSU Bakersfield 80-72 Won Thu, Feb 05 vs UCSB 85-75 Sat, Feb 07 vs Cal Poly Thu, Feb 12 @ UC San Diego Sat, Feb 14 vs Long Beach St. Thu, Feb 19 @ CSU Fullerton |
5 | 12 | 4% | 10% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| CSU Northridge | 7 CSU Northridge Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Hawai'i 68-89 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs UC Davis 94-78 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs UC San Diego 81-64 Won Thu, Feb 05 @ Cal Poly 97-96 Sat, Feb 07 vs UC Riverside Sat, Feb 14 vs Hawai'i Thu, Feb 19 @ UCSB Sat, Feb 21 @ Long Beach St. |
5 | 12 | 4% | 9% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 2% | 1% |
| CSU Fullerton | 6 CSU Fullerton Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 vs Long Beach St. 71-61 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Cal Poly 93-78 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ UCSB 69-83 Won Thu, Feb 05 vs UC Riverside 78-72 Sat, Feb 07 vs CSU Bakersfield Thu, Feb 12 @ Long Beach St. Sat, Feb 14 @ UC Irvine Thu, Feb 19 vs UC Davis |
6 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 34% | 14% | 6% |
| UC San Diego | 6 UC San Diego Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs UC Irvine 59-61 Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs UCSB 48-62 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ CSU Northridge 64-81 Won Thu, Feb 05 vs Long Beach St. 77-74 Sat, Feb 07 @ Hawai'i Thu, Feb 12 vs UC Davis Sat, Feb 14 vs UC Riverside Sat, Feb 21 @ UC Irvine |
6 | 12 | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 24% | 19% | 6% | 1% |
| Cal Poly | 5 Cal Poly Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs CSU Fullerton 78-93 Won Thu, Jan 29 @ CSU Bakersfield 104-79 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ UC Riverside 94-87 Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs CSU Northridge 96-97 Sat, Feb 07 @ UC Davis Thu, Feb 12 vs UC Irvine Sat, Feb 14 vs UCSB Thu, Feb 19 @ Hawai'i |
7 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 37% | 41% |
| Long Beach St. | 4 Long Beach St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs UCSB 71-74 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ UC Riverside 61-71 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Hawai'i 82-89 Lost Thu, Feb 05 @ UC San Diego 74-77 Thu, Feb 12 vs CSU Fullerton Sat, Feb 14 @ UC Davis Thu, Feb 19 vs UC Irvine Sat, Feb 21 vs CSU Northridge |
8 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 25% | 66% |
| UC Riverside | 3 UC Riverside Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ UC Davis 66-74 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Long Beach St. 71-61 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Cal Poly 87-94 Lost Thu, Feb 05 @ CSU Fullerton 72-78 Sat, Feb 07 @ CSU Northridge Thu, Feb 12 vs UCSB Sat, Feb 14 @ UC San Diego Thu, Feb 19 vs CSU Bakersfield |
9 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 2 CSU Bakersfield Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Hawai'i 71-98 Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs Cal Poly 79-104 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs UC Davis 72-80 Lost Thu, Feb 05 @ UC Irvine 62-78 Sat, Feb 07 @ CSU Fullerton Thu, Feb 12 vs Hawai'i Thu, Feb 19 @ UC Riverside Sat, Feb 21 vs CSU Fullerton |
10 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 94% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 66% | ||
| (6)CSU Fullerton | 6 | 6 | 10% |
| (8)Cal Poly | 5 | 7 | 9% |
| (9)Long Beach St. | 4 | 8 | 5% |
| (7)UC San Diego | 6 | 6 | 4% |
| (4)UC Davis | 7 | 5 | 2% |
| (10)UC Riverside | 3 | 9 | 2% |
| (5)CSU Northridge | 7 | 5 | 1% |
| (11)CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 2 | 10 | 1% |
| (2)Hawai'i | 8 | 3 | <1% |
| (1)UC Irvine | 9 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | <1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Long Beach St. (8‑16) |
84‑77 (OT) | Home | Thu Dec 4, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑16) |
109‑84 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 9:00 pm |
| 9 | CSU Fullerton (11‑13) |
84‑95 | Away | Thu Jan 1, 10:00 pm |
| 9 | CSU Northridge (14‑10) |
65‑74 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 4:00 pm |
| 10 | UC Davis (14‑9) |
86‑93 | Home | Thu Jan 8, 9:00 pm |
| 11 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑16) |
75‑69 | Away | Thu Jan 15, 9:30 pm |
| 11 | Hawai'i (16‑5) |
77‑62 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | Cal Poly (9‑15) |
107‑67 | Home | Thu Jan 22, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | Long Beach St. (8‑16) |
74‑71 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | UC San Diego (16‑8) |
62‑48 | Away | Thu Jan 29, 10:00 pm |
| 13 | CSU Fullerton (11‑13) |
83‑69 | Home | Sat Jan 31, 9:00 pm |
| 14 | UC Davis (14‑9) |
75‑85 | Away | Thu Feb 5, 9:00 pm |
| 14 | UC Irvine (16‑7) |
Home | Sat Feb 7, 9:00 pm | |
| 15 | UC Riverside (8‑16) |
Away | Thu Feb 12, 10:00 pm | |
| 15 | Cal Poly (9‑15) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | CSU Northridge (14‑10) |
Home | Thu Feb 19, 9:00 pm | |
| 16 | Hawai'i (16‑5) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 11:59 pm | |
| 17 | UC Riverside (8‑16) |
Home | Thu Feb 26, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | UC Irvine (16‑7) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 10:00 pm | |
| 18 | UC San Diego (16‑8) |
Home | Sat Mar 7, 9:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco State | ‑‑ | 98‑67 | Home | Tue Nov 4 |
| 1 | San José State (6‑16) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 85‑74 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Sacramento St. (9‑13) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 92‑87 | Away | Tue Nov 11 |
| 3 | Loyola Marymount (12‑13) |
West CoastWest Coast | 74‑78 (OT) | Home | Mon Nov 17, 9:00 pm |
| 3 | Nevada (15‑7) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 64‑77 | Away | Sat Nov 22, 5:00 pm |
| 4 | Nobel | ‑‑ | 84‑49 | Home | Mon Nov 24, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Lehigh (10‑14) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 72‑70 | Away | Fri Nov 28, 4:30 pm |
| 4 | Seattle (15‑9) |
West CoastWest Coast | 74‑71 | Home | Sat Nov 29 |
| 6 | Utah Valley (17‑6) |
WACWAC | 53‑68 | Away | Sat Dec 13, 2:00 pm |
| 7 | Green Bay (13‑12) |
HorizonHorizon | 64‑67 | Away | Wed Dec 17, 7:00 pm |
| 8 | Portland (11‑14) |
West CoastWest Coast | 79‑61 | Home | Mon Dec 22, 5:00 pm |