The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Mainz (13‑8‑6) vs Holstein Kiel (4‑18‑5) |
53 | Mainz Wins | <1% | <1% | 25% | 42% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holstein Kiel Wins | X | <1% | 9% | 28% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Pauli (7‑16‑4) vs Borussia (13‑10‑4) |
14 | St. Pauli Wins | <1% | <1% | 23% | 43% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | 21% | 36% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (6‑12‑9) vs RB Leipzig (11‑7‑9) |
8 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | 22% | 42% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | 22% | 39% | 19% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (11‑11‑5) vs SC Freiburg (12‑9‑6) |
6 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | <1% | 21% | 38% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Union Berlin (8‑12‑7) vs VfL Wolfsburg (10‑9‑8) |
6 | FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | 22% | 38% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Werder Bremen (10‑11‑6) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (14‑7‑6) |
5 | Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | <1% | 29% | 33% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | 15% | 44% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfL Bochum (4‑17‑6) vs VfB Stuttgart (10‑10‑7) |
2 | VfL Bochum Wins | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | <1% | 22% | 39% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayern Munich (20‑2‑5) vs FC Augsburg (10‑8‑9) |
1 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | <1% | 22% | 39% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | 22% | 39% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Heidenheim (6‑17‑4) vs Bayer Leverkusen (17‑2‑8) |
1 | FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | 21% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | <1% | 22% | 39% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||