The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Mainz (0‑2‑1) vs FC Augsburg (1‑2) |
32 | Mainz Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 25% | ||
| Werder Bremen (1‑1‑1) vs SC Freiburg (1‑2) |
1 | Werder Bremen Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 21% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (1‑0‑2) vs Borussia Dortmund (2‑0‑1) |
1 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 21% | ||
| RB Leipzig (2‑1) vs FC Cologne (2‑0‑1) |
1 | RB Leipzig Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 20% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (2‑1) vs Bayern Munich (3‑0) |
1 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Hamburg SV (0‑2‑1) vs FC Heidenheim (0‑3) |
1 | Hamburg SV Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Borussia (0‑2‑1) vs Bayer Leverkusen (1‑1‑1) |
1 | Borussia Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (2‑1) vs FC Union Berlin (1‑2) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 21% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (1‑2) vs St. Pauli (2‑0‑1) |
0 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||