The Mainz What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 25% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% |
| Current Standings | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 25% |
|
Best Case Scenario Mainz beats FC Augsburg |
Worst Case Scenario FC Augsburg beats Mainz |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 31 of 31 | 100% | 31 | 2 | 1 | 94 | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 30 of 31 | 97% | 30 | 3 | 1 | 91 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 31 | 81% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 31 | 71% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 31 | 68% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | 83% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 31 | 65% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | 58% | 35% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 31 | 61% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | 24% | 42% | 26% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 31 | 58% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | 3% | 17% | 33% | 29% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 17 of 31 | 55% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 30% | 27% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 16 of 31 | 52% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 24% | 30% | 21% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 31 | 48% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 27% | 30% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 31 | 45% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 30% | 27% | 13% | 3% | <1% |
| 13 of 31 | 42% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 32% | 30% | 15% |
| 12 of 31 | 39% | 12 | 21 | 1 | 37 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 62% |
| 11 of 31 | 35% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
| 10 of 31 | 32% | 10 | 23 | 1 | 31 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| 5 of 31 | 16% | 5 | 28 | 1 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 31 | 0% | 0 | 33 | 1 | 1 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |