The Mainz What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Mainz beats Bayern Munich |
Worst Case Scenario Bayern Munich beats Mainz |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 21 of 21 | 100% | 26 | 4 | 4 | 82 | 50% | 50% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 21 | 95% | 25 | 5 | 4 | 79 | 28% | 70% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 21 | 90% | 24 | 6 | 4 | 76 | 12% | 78% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 21 | 86% | 23 | 7 | 4 | 73 | 4% | 70% | 25% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 21 | 81% | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 1% | 47% | 44% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 21 | 76% | 21 | 9 | 4 | 67 | <1% | 24% | 50% | 23% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 21 | 71% | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64 | <1% | 7% | 36% | 41% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 21 | 67% | 19 | 11 | 4 | 61 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 37% | 35% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 21 | 62% | 18 | 12 | 4 | 58 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 35% | 32% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 21 | 57% | 17 | 13 | 4 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 32% | 32% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 21 | 52% | 16 | 14 | 4 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 28% | 34% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 10 of 21 | 48% | 15 | 15 | 4 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 35% | 24% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 21 | 43% | 14 | 16 | 4 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 34% | 30% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 21 | 38% | 13 | 17 | 4 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 35% | 33% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 21 | 33% | 12 | 18 | 4 | 40 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 21 | 29% | 11 | 19 | 4 | 37 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 38% | 33% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| 5 of 21 | 24% | 10 | 20 | 4 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 41% | 30% | 7% | <1% |
| 4 of 21 | 19% | 9 | 21 | 4 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 25% | 45% | 24% | 1% |
| 3 of 21 | 14% | 8 | 22 | 4 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 36% | 48% | 7% |
| 2 of 21 | 10% | 7 | 23 | 4 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 59% | 24% |
| 1 of 21 | 5% | 6 | 24 | 4 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 45% | 51% |
| 0 of 21 | 0% | 5 | 25 | 4 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 77% |