The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| St. Pauli (1‑5‑1) vs VfL Wolfsburg (2‑4‑1) |
8 | St. Pauli Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 15% | ||
| Bayern Munich (5‑0‑2) vs VfL Bochum (0‑6‑1) |
1 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% | ||
| VfL Bochum Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (4‑2‑1) vs FC Augsburg (2‑4‑1) |
1 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (2‑2‑3) vs Holstein Kiel (0‑5‑2) |
1 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Holstein Kiel Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | ||
| FC Heidenheim (3‑4) vs TSG Hoffenheim (2‑4‑1) |
0 | FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | ||
| RB Leipzig (5‑0‑2) vs SC Freiburg (5‑2) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 14% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (4‑1‑2) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (4‑2‑1) |
0 | FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Borussia (3‑4) vs Mainz (2‑3‑2) |
0 | Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Mainz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Werder Bremen (3‑2‑2) vs Bayer Leverkusen (4‑1‑2) |
0 | Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | ||