The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||||
| St. Pauli (2‑7‑1) vs FC Union Berlin (3‑4‑3) |
12 | St. Pauli Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 37% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 41% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (6‑3‑1) vs Mainz (1‑7‑2) |
2 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Mainz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (6‑2‑2) vs VfL Wolfsburg (2‑6‑2) |
1 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 37% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 39% | ||
| Borussia (2‑5‑3) vs FC Heidenheim (1‑7‑2) |
1 | Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 37% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 39% | ||
| RB Leipzig (7‑2‑1) vs Werder Bremen (4‑3‑3) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 37% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (5‑3‑2) vs FC Cologne (4‑4‑2) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 37% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 38% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (7‑3) vs Borussia Dortmund (6‑1‑3) |
0 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Hamburg SV (2‑5‑3) vs FC Augsburg (2‑7‑1) |
0 | Hamburg SV Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 37% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 38% | ||
| Bayern Munich (9‑0‑1) vs SC Freiburg (3‑3‑4) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 37% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 38% | ||