The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Werder Bremen (13‑11‑9) vs FC Heidenheim (8‑20‑5) |
0 | Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (7‑15‑11) vs Bayern Munich (24‑2‑7) |
0 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 65% | 35% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| St. Pauli (8‑17‑8) vs VfL Bochum (5‑21‑7) |
0 | St. Pauli Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| VfL Bochum Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 76% | 24% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Borussia (13‑14‑6) vs VfL Wolfsburg (10‑13‑10) |
0 | Borussia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (16‑11‑6) vs Holstein Kiel (6‑20‑7) |
0 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Holstein Kiel Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| FC Augsburg (11‑12‑10) vs FC Union Berlin (9‑14‑10) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Mainz (14‑10‑9) vs Bayer Leverkusen (19‑3‑11) |
0 | Mainz Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| RB Leipzig (13‑8‑12) vs VfB Stuttgart (13‑12‑8) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| SC Freiburg (16‑10‑7) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (16‑8‑9) |
0 | SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ||