The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| St. Pauli (4‑12‑5) vs Bayer Leverkusen (11‑6‑3) |
18 | St. Pauli Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 30% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 33% | ||
| RB Leipzig (12‑6‑3) vs VfL Wolfsburg (5‑12‑4) |
5 | RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 30% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 20% | 34% | ||
| Bayern Munich (17‑1‑3) vs Werder Bremen (4‑10‑7) |
4 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 30% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 34% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (6‑8‑7) vs Hamburg SV (5‑8‑7) |
1 | FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 30% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 30% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (14‑1‑6) vs Mainz (5‑10‑6) |
1 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 30% | ||
| Mainz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 31% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (7‑7‑7) vs Borussia (5‑9‑7) |
1 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 30% | ||
| Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 30% | ||
| FC Heidenheim (3‑14‑4) vs FC Augsburg (6‑11‑4) |
1 | FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 30% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 30% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (13‑5‑3) vs SC Freiburg (8‑7‑6) |
0 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 30% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 31% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (12‑6‑3) vs FC Cologne (6‑10‑5) |
0 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 30% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 30% | ||