The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||||
| St. Pauli (3‑9‑3) vs RB Leipzig (9‑4‑2) |
14 | St. Pauli Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 33% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 36% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (6‑6‑3) vs Mainz (1‑9‑5) |
3 | FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 33% | ||
| Mainz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 36% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (8‑4‑3) vs Werder Bremen (4‑6‑5) |
2 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 33% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 34% | ||
| FC Cologne (4‑7‑4) vs FC Heidenheim (3‑10‑2) |
2 | FC Cologne Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 33% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 35% | ||
| Bayern Munich (13‑0‑2) vs VfL Wolfsburg (4‑8‑3) |
1 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 33% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 34% | ||
| SC Freiburg (5‑5‑5) vs Hamburg SV (4‑7‑4) |
1 | SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 33% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 34% | ||
| Borussia (4‑7‑4) vs FC Augsburg (4‑9‑2) |
1 | Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 33% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 34% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (9‑1‑5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (7‑4‑4) |
1 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 33% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 34% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (9‑4‑2) vs VfB Stuttgart (8‑5‑2) |
1 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 33% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 34% | ||