The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| St. Pauli (3‑8‑2) vs Werder Bremen (5‑4‑4) |
6 | St. Pauli Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 4% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (6‑4‑3) vs TSG Hoffenheim (3‑6‑4) |
2 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 4% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (5‑3‑5) vs FC Heidenheim (3‑9‑1) |
1 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 4% | ||
| Borussia (5‑5‑3) vs Holstein Kiel (1‑10‑2) |
1 | Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% | ||
| Holstein Kiel Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 4% | ||
| Bayern Munich (10‑0‑3) vs Mainz (5‑4‑4) |
1 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 13% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% | ||
| Mainz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 14% | 3% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (7‑1‑5) vs FC Augsburg (4‑5‑4) |
1 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 14% | 3% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (4‑5‑4) vs VfL Bochum (0‑11‑2) |
0 | FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% | ||
| VfL Bochum Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 4% | ||
| RB Leipzig (7‑3‑3) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (8‑2‑3) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 3% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (6‑4‑3) vs SC Freiburg (6‑4‑3) |
0 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 3% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 13% | 3% | ||