The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| St. Pauli (7‑16‑4) vs Borussia (13‑10‑4) |
7 | St. Pauli Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 58% | 19% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Borussia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 45% | 34% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (17‑2‑8) vs FC Heidenheim (6‑17‑4) |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 52% | 27% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 8% | 2% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 47% | 26% | 12% | 3% | ||
| RB Leipzig (11‑7‑9) vs TSG Hoffenheim (6‑12‑9) |
2 | RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 55% | 24% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 8% | 2% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 35% | 41% | 10% | 2% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (10‑10‑7) vs VfL Bochum (4‑17‑6) |
2 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 52% | 27% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 8% | 2% | ||
| VfL Bochum Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 50% | 26% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Mainz (13‑8‑6) vs Holstein Kiel (4‑18‑5) |
1 | Mainz Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 28% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Holstein Kiel Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 26% | 8% | 2% | ||
| SC Freiburg (12‑9‑6) vs Borussia Dortmund (11‑11‑5) |
0 | SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 8% | 1% | ||
| FC Augsburg (10‑8‑9) vs Bayern Munich (20‑2‑5) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 52% | 27% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 8% | 1% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (10‑9‑8) vs FC Union Berlin (8‑12‑7) |
0 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 48% | 26% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 8% | 2% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 56% | 28% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Werder Bremen (10‑11‑6) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (14‑7‑6) |
0 | Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 8% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 27% | 8% | 2% | ||