The St. Pauli What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 3 | 7 | 1 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 29% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 7 | 1 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 37% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 41% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 29% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 37% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 41% |
|
Best Case Scenario St. Pauli beats FC Union Berlin |
Worst Case Scenario FC Union Berlin beats St. Pauli |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 24 of 24 | 100% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | 4% | 86% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 24 | 96% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 1% | 72% | 25% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 24 | 92% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | <1% | 50% | 41% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 24 | 88% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | <1% | 26% | 47% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 24 | 83% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | <1% | 10% | 35% | 39% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 24 | 79% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | <1% | 2% | 16% | 38% | 32% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 24 | 75% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 38% | 27% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 24 | 71% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 24% | 39% | 24% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 24 | 67% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 27% | 38% | 21% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 24 | 63% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 37% | 20% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 24 | 58% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 29% | 36% | 20% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 24 | 54% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 20% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 24 | 50% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 28% | 36% | 19% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 24 | 46% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 37% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 24 | 42% | 12 | 21 | 1 | 37 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 38% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 24 | 38% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 29% | 37% | 20% | 4% | <1% |
| 8 of 24 | 33% | 10 | 23 | 1 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 29% | 38% | 20% | 4% |
| 7 of 24 | 29% | 9 | 24 | 1 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 31% | 39% | 19% |
| 6 of 24 | 25% | 8 | 25 | 1 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 37% | 50% |
| 5 of 24 | 21% | 7 | 26 | 1 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 80% |
| 0 of 24 | 0% | 2 | 31 | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |