The St. Pauli What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
Win Next Game | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% |
Current Standings | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 15% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 15% |
Best Case Scenario St. Pauli beats VfL Wolfsburg |
Worst Case Scenario VfL Wolfsburg beats St. Pauli |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
|||
27 of 27 | 100% | 28 | 5 | 1 | 85 | 64% | 35% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
26 of 27 | 96% | 27 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 43% | 53% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 27 | 93% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | 24% | 61% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
24 of 27 | 89% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 11% | 56% | 30% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
23 of 27 | 85% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 4% | 39% | 43% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
22 of 27 | 81% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | 1% | 20% | 44% | 28% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
21 of 27 | 78% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | <1% | 7% | 31% | 40% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 27 | 74% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | <1% | 2% | 14% | 35% | 34% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 27 | 70% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 36% | 30% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 27 | 67% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 36% | 28% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 27 | 63% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 21% | 35% | 27% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
16 of 27 | 59% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 21% | 34% | 27% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
15 of 27 | 56% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 34% | 28% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 27 | 52% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 34% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 27 | 48% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 19% | 35% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 27 | 44% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 36% | 29% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 27 | 41% | 12 | 21 | 1 | 37 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 37% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
10 of 27 | 37% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 40% | 24% | 5% | <1% |
9 of 27 | 33% | 10 | 23 | 1 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 30% | 41% | 18% | 2% |
8 of 27 | 30% | 9 | 24 | 1 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 39% | 37% | 11% |
7 of 27 | 26% | 8 | 25 | 1 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 22% | 46% | 29% |
6 of 27 | 22% | 7 | 26 | 1 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 37% | 56% |
5 of 27 | 19% | 6 | 27 | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 19% | 80% |
4 of 27 | 15% | 5 | 28 | 1 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% |
0 of 27 | 0% | 1 | 32 | 1 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |