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Sun Dec 7 10:30 pm

CCHA Hockey - Week 11 of 22

Augustana Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Augustana Vikings are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vikings final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Augustana Vikings fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Augustana Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Augustana Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8 NT
Augustana
(8‑5‑2)

vs
Minnesota State
(11‑3‑4)

2 Games Remaining
23 Augustana Sweeps 2 Games 19% 22% 21% 17% 12% 7% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 10% 16% 20% 19% 16% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games 2% 10% 20% 22% 20% 16% 8% 2% <1%
Northern Michigan
(1‑17)

vs
St. Thomas
(7‑7‑3)

2 Games Remaining
4 Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games 11% 18% 21% 19% 15% 10% 5% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 10% 16% 20% 19% 16% 12% 5% 1% <1%
St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games 10% 16% 20% 18% 17% 13% 6% 1% <1%
Ferris State
(4‑12)

vs
Michigan Tech
(8‑6‑2)

2 Games Remaining
4 Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games 11% 17% 21% 19% 15% 10% 5% 2% <1%
Current Probabilities 10% 16% 20% 19% 16% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games 10% 15% 19% 19% 17% 13% 6% 1% <1%


Augustana Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Augustana Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8 NT
Augustana
(8‑5‑2)

vs
Minnesota State
(11‑3‑4)
11 Augustana Wins 14% 19% 21% 18% 15% 10% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 10% 16% 20% 19% 16% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Minnesota State Wins 5% 14% 20% 21% 18% 14% 6% 2% <1%
Northern Michigan
(1‑17)

vs
St. Thomas
(7‑7‑3)
2 Northern Michigan Wins 11% 17% 20% 19% 16% 11% 5% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 10% 16% 20% 19% 16% 12% 5% 1% <1%
St. Thomas Wins 10% 16% 20% 19% 16% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Ferris State
(4‑12)

vs
Michigan Tech
(8‑6‑2)
1 Ferris State Wins 10% 17% 20% 19% 16% 11% 5% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 10% 16% 20% 19% 16% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Michigan Tech Wins 10% 16% 19% 19% 17% 13% 5% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament