The Most Important Games for the Augustana Vikings are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vikings final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Augustana Vikings fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Augustana Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Augustana (16‑7‑3) vs Lake Superior (9‑16‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
27 | Augustana Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 26% | 24% | 22% | 16% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 34% | 14% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ferris State (4‑22) vs Minnesota State (13‑8‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
9 | Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 28% | 28% | 22% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 20% | 21% | 24% | 23% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas (16‑7‑3) vs Michigan Tech (17‑9‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
4 | St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 27% | 24% | 21% | 18% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games | 12% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 23% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan (2‑24) vs Bemidji State (9‑14‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 23% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 22% | 22% | 23% | 20% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Augustana Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Augustana (16‑7‑3) vs Lake Superior (9‑16‑1) |
13 | Augustana Wins | 9% | 24% | 24% | 22% | 18% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior Wins | 4% | 14% | 20% | 25% | 29% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ferris State (4‑22) vs Minnesota State (13‑8‑5) |
4 | Ferris State Wins | 9% | 26% | 24% | 21% | 17% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota State Wins | 8% | 21% | 22% | 23% | 22% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas (16‑7‑3) vs Michigan Tech (17‑9‑2) |
2 | St. Thomas Wins | 7% | 24% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech Wins | 10% | 18% | 21% | 24% | 22% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State (9‑14‑3) vs Northern Michigan (2‑24) |
0 | Bemidji State Wins | 8% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan Wins | 8% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 22% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||