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Sat Oct 24 10:30 pm

CCHA Hockey - Week 5 of 22

Augustana Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Augustana Vikings are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vikings final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Augustana Vikings fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Augustana Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Augustana Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Augustana
(5‑0‑1)

vs
Northern Michigan
(2‑4)

2 Games Remaining
6 Augustana Sweeps 2 Games 70% 20% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 66% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games 50% 27% 14% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Lake Superior
(2‑4)

vs
Minnesota State
(2‑4)

2 Games Remaining
1 Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games 67% 21% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 66% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games 66% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Ferris State
(1‑4‑1)

vs
Bemidji State
(1‑4)

2 Games Remaining
0 Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games 67% 20% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 66% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games 66% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%


Augustana Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Augustana Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Augustana
(5‑0‑1)

vs
Northern Michigan
(2‑4)
3 Augustana Wins 68% 20% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 66% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan Wins 59% 24% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Bemidji State
(1‑4)

vs
Ferris State
(1‑4‑1)
0 Bemidji State Wins 67% 21% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 66% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Ferris State Wins 67% 20% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Lake Superior
(2‑4)

vs
Minnesota State
(2‑4)
0 Lake Superior Wins 67% 20% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 66% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota State Wins 66% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament