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Sat Nov 14 1:45 am

CCHA Hockey - Week 7 of 22

Augustana Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Augustana Vikings are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vikings final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Augustana Vikings fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Augustana Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Augustana Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Augustana
(8‑0‑3)

vs
Ferris State
(1‑6‑2)

1 Game Remaining
2 Augustana Sweeps 1 Game 74% 17% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 74% 18% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ferris State Sweeps 1 Game 66% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan
(4‑7)

vs
Bowling Green
(6‑5)

1 Game Remaining
0 Northern Michigan Sweeps 1 Game 76% 16% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 74% 18% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bowling Green Sweeps 1 Game 73% 18% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Bemidji State
(2‑7‑1)

vs
Minnesota State
(4‑5‑2)

1 Game Remaining
0 Bemidji State Sweeps 1 Game 75% 17% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 74% 18% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota State Sweeps 1 Game 74% 18% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Lake Superior
(3‑4‑2)

vs
Michigan Tech
(6‑3‑2)

1 Game Remaining
0 Lake Superior Sweeps 1 Game 75% 17% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 74% 18% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan Tech Sweeps 1 Game 74% 18% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Augustana Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Augustana Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Augustana
(8‑0‑3)

vs
Ferris State
(1‑6‑2)
2 Augustana Wins 74% 17% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 74% 18% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ferris State Wins 66% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan
(4‑7)

vs
Bowling Green
(6‑5)
0 Northern Michigan Wins 76% 16% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 74% 18% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bowling Green Wins 73% 18% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Bemidji State
(2‑7‑1)

vs
Minnesota State
(4‑5‑2)
0 Bemidji State Wins 75% 17% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 74% 18% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota State Wins 74% 18% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Lake Superior
(3‑4‑2)

vs
Michigan Tech
(6‑3‑2)
0 Lake Superior Wins 75% 17% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 74% 18% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan Tech Wins 74% 18% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament