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Mon Dec 29 10:30 pm

CCHA Hockey - Week 14 of 22

Augustana Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Augustana Vikings are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vikings final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Augustana Vikings fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Augustana Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Augustana Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8 NT
Ferris State
(4‑16)

vs
St. Thomas
(9‑7‑3)

2 Games Remaining
4 Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games 16% 21% 21% 17% 13% 8% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 20% 21% 19% 15% 10% 3% <1% <1%
St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games 13% 19% 20% 19% 16% 10% 3% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan
(1‑19)

vs
Lake Superior
(6‑13‑1)

2 Games Remaining
1 Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games 14% 19% 21% 19% 16% 10% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 20% 21% 19% 15% 10% 3% <1% <1%
Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games 14% 19% 20% 19% 15% 10% 3% <1% <1%


Augustana Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Augustana Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8 NT
Ferris State
(4‑16)

vs
St. Thomas
(9‑7‑3)
2 Ferris State Wins 15% 20% 21% 18% 14% 9% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 20% 21% 19% 15% 10% 3% <1% <1%
St. Thomas Wins 14% 19% 20% 19% 15% 10% 3% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan
(1‑19)

vs
Lake Superior
(6‑13‑1)
0 Northern Michigan Wins 14% 19% 21% 19% 15% 10% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 20% 21% 19% 15% 10% 3% <1% <1%
Lake Superior Wins 14% 19% 21% 19% 15% 10% 3% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament