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Sat Oct 24 10:30 pm

CCHA Hockey - Week 5 of 22

Augustana Vikings Standings

Where are the Augustana Vikings going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Augustana standings table presents the probabilities of the Vikings winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

CCHA Hockey Standings
Record Regular Season Finish
Team WRi
Schedule Content
Wins in Regulation
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Loses in OT and SO
LRi
Loses in Regulation
GPi
Games Played
26 game season
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Bowling Green 2i
Bowling Green Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 16 vs Niagara           2-3
Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Niagara           1-2

Won  Fri, Oct 23 @  Lake S.           6-2
Won  Sat, Oct 24 @  Lake S.           4-2

     Fri, Nov 06 vs Bemidji State     
     Sat, Nov 07 vs Bemidji State     

0 0 0 2 6 12% 22% 18% 15% 13% 11% 7% 2%
Michigan Tech 1
Michigan Tech Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 16 vs Alaska            3-0
Won  Sat, Oct 17 vs Alaska            4-2

Won  Fri, Oct 23 @  Ferris State      3-1
Lost Sat, Oct 24 @  Ferris State      1-2

     Fri, Nov 06 vs Augustana         
     Sat, Nov 07 vs Augustana         

0 0 1 2 3 13% 24% 19% 15% 13% 9% 5% 2%
Ferris State 1
Ferris State Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 09 vs Western Michigan  1-5

Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs Michigan Tech     1-3
Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs Michigan Tech     2-1

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Bemidji State     
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Bemidji State     

0 0 1 2 3 1% 6% 11% 14% 16% 18% 18% 16%
Augustana 0
Augustana Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 17 @  Nebraska-Omaha    3-2

Won  Fri, Oct 23 @  Ohio State        3-2
Won  Sat, Oct 24 @  Ohio State        4-3

     Fri, Oct 30 vs Northern Michigan 
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Northern Michigan 

0 0 0 0 0 66% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan 0
Northern Michigan Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 09 @  Michigan State    2-6
Lost Sun, Oct 11 @  Michigan State    1-5

Won  Fri, Oct 16 vs Stonehill         5-1
Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Stonehill         1-2

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Augustana         
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Augustana         

0 0 0 0 0 4% 12% 14% 14% 14% 15% 15% 12%
Minnesota State 0
Minnesota State Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 23 @  St. Thomas        3-1

Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs St. Thomas        2-0

     Fri, Oct 30 vs Lake S.           
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Lake S.           

0 0 0 0 0 3% 9% 13% 14% 14% 15% 16% 16%
Bemidji State 0
Bemidji State Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 23 @  Minnesota-Duluth  1-4

Lost Sat, Oct 24 vs Minnesota-Duluth  0-3

     Fri, Oct 30 vs Ferris State      
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Ferris State      

0 0 0 0 0 1% 5% 10% 13% 14% 16% 19% 22%
Lake Superior 0
Lake Superior Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 16 @  Anchorage         2-5
Won  Sat, Oct 17 @  Anchorage         4-2

Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs B. Green          2-6
Lost Sat, Oct 24 vs B. Green          2-4

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Minnesota State   
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Minnesota State   

0 0 2 2 0 <1% 2% 7% 11% 14% 16% 20% 29%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament


(4) Vikings 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(99%)
Away
(1%)
Opponent WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
(8)Lake Superior 0 0 0 2 0 25% 25% <1%
(7)Bemidji State 0 0 0 0 0 21% 21% <1%
(3)Ferris State 1 0 0 1 3 17% 17% <1%
(6)Minnesota State 0 0 0 0 0 16% 16% <1%
(5)Northern Michigan 0 0 0 0 0 13% 13% <1%
(1)Bowling Green 2 0 0 0 6 4% 4% <1%
(2)Michigan Tech 1 0 0 1 3 3% 3% <1%



Vikings Conference Schedule
Current Week 5
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
5 Northern Michigan
(2‑4)
  Home Fri Oct 30, 8:07 pm
5 Northern Michigan
(2‑4)
  Home Sat Oct 31, 7:07 pm
6 Michigan Tech
(6‑2)
  Away Fri Nov 6, 7:07 pm
6 Michigan Tech
(6‑2)
  Away Sat Nov 7, 6:07 pm
7 Ferris State
(1‑4‑1)
  Home Fri Nov 13, 8:07 pm
7 Ferris State
(1‑4‑1)
  Home Sat Nov 14, 7:07 pm
8 Bowling Green
(4‑4)
  Away Fri Nov 20, 7:07 pm
8 Bowling Green
(4‑4)
  Away Sat Nov 21, 6:07 pm
10 Bemidji State
(1‑4)
  Home Fri Dec 4, 8:07 pm
10 Bemidji State
(1‑4)
  Home Sat Dec 5, 7:07 pm
11 Northern Michigan
(2‑4)
  Away Fri Dec 11, 7:07 pm
11 Northern Michigan
(2‑4)
  Away Sat Dec 12, 6:07 pm
15 Michigan Tech
(6‑2)
  Home Fri Jan 8, 8:07 pm
15 Michigan Tech
(6‑2)
  Home Sat Jan 9, 7:07 pm
16 Minnesota State
(2‑4)
  Away Fri Jan 15, 8:07 pm
16 Minnesota State
(2‑4)
  Away Sat Jan 16, 7:07 pm
17 Lake Superior
(2‑4)
  Home Fri Jan 22, 8:07 pm
17 Lake Superior
(2‑4)
  Home Sat Jan 23, 7:07 pm
19 Ferris State
(1‑4‑1)
  Away Fri Feb 5, 7:07 pm
19 Ferris State
(1‑4‑1)
  Away Sat Feb 6, 6:07 pm
20 Bowling Green
(4‑4)
  Home Fri Feb 12, 8:07 pm
20 Bowling Green
(4‑4)
  Home Sat Feb 13, 7:07 pm
21 Bemidji State
(1‑4)
  Away Fri Feb 19, 8:07 pm
21 Bemidji State
(1‑4)
  Away Sat Feb 20, 7:07 pm
22 Minnesota State
(2‑4)
  Home Fri Feb 26, 8:07 pm
22 Minnesota State
(2‑4)
  Home Sat Feb 27, 7:07 pm


Vikings Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
2 Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth
(5‑1‑2)
NCHCNCHC 4‑3 (OT) Home Fri Oct 9, 8:07 pm
2 Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth
(5‑1‑2)
NCHCNCHC 1‑1 (OT) Home Sat Oct 10, 7:07 pm
3 Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha
(2‑2)
NCHCNCHC 2‑1 Home Thu Oct 15, 8:07 pm
3 Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha
(2‑2)
NCHCNCHC 3‑2 (OT) Away Sat Oct 17, 7:00 pm
4 Ohio State
(2‑4)
Big 10Big 10 3‑2 (OT) Away Fri Oct 23, 6:30 pm
4 Ohio State
(2‑4)
Big 10Big 10 4‑3 Away Sat Oct 24, 5:00 pm
12 Alaska
(1‑5)
NCAA IndependentsInd.   Home Fri Dec 18, 8:07 pm
12 Alaska
(1‑5)
NCAA IndependentsInd.   Home Sat Dec 19, 7:07 pm