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Sat Oct 31 12:45 am

CCHA Hockey - Week 5 of 22

Northern Michigan Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Northern Michigan Wildcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wildcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Michigan Wildcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Northern Michigan Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Northern Michigan Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Northern Michigan
(2‑5)

vs
Augustana
(6‑0‑1)

1 Game Remaining
6 Northern Michigan Sweeps 1 Game 3% 11% 15% 16% 15% 15% 14% 12%
Current Probabilities 2% 9% 13% 15% 15% 15% 16% 16%
Augustana Sweeps 1 Game 1% 8% 14% 15% 15% 16% 15% 16%
Minnesota State
(2‑4‑1)

vs
Lake Superior
(2‑4‑1)

1 Game Remaining
0 Minnesota State Sweeps 1 Game 2% 9% 13% 15% 15% 15% 16% 16%
Current Probabilities 2% 9% 13% 15% 15% 15% 16% 16%
Lake Superior Sweeps 1 Game 1% 9% 13% 14% 15% 15% 15% 17%
Ferris State
(1‑5‑1)

vs
Bemidji State
(2‑4)

1 Game Remaining
0 Ferris State Sweeps 1 Game 2% 9% 14% 14% 14% 15% 15% 17%
Current Probabilities 2% 9% 13% 15% 15% 15% 16% 16%
Bemidji State Sweeps 1 Game 2% 9% 13% 15% 14% 14% 16% 17%


Northern Michigan Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Northern Michigan Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Northern Michigan
(2‑5)

vs
Augustana
(6‑0‑1)
6 Northern Michigan Wins 3% 11% 15% 16% 15% 15% 14% 12%
Current Probabilities 2% 9% 13% 15% 15% 15% 16% 16%
Augustana Wins 1% 8% 14% 15% 15% 16% 15% 16%
Minnesota State
(2‑4‑1)

vs
Lake Superior
(2‑4‑1)
0 Minnesota State Wins 2% 9% 13% 15% 15% 15% 16% 16%
Current Probabilities 2% 9% 13% 15% 15% 15% 16% 16%
Lake Superior Wins 1% 9% 13% 14% 15% 15% 15% 17%
Ferris State
(1‑5‑1)

vs
Bemidji State
(2‑4)
0 Ferris State Wins 2% 9% 14% 14% 14% 15% 15% 17%
Current Probabilities 2% 9% 13% 15% 15% 15% 16% 16%
Bemidji State Wins 2% 9% 13% 15% 14% 14% 16% 17%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament