Where are the St. Thomas Tommies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Thomas standings table presents the probabilities of the Tommies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 26 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Minnesota State | 7i Minnesota State Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 28 @ Northern Michigan 4-0 Won Sat, Nov 29 @ Northern Michigan 3-2 Won Fri, Dec 05 vs Ferris State 5-1 Lost Sat, Dec 06 vs Ferris State 1-4 Fri, Dec 12 @ Augustana Sat, Dec 13 @ Augustana |
2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 50% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Bemidji State | 4 Bemidji State Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 29 @ North Dakota 1-2 Lost Fri, Dec 05 @ Augustana 1-3 Sat, Dec 06 @ Augustana Fri, Jan 09 vs Michigan Tech Sat, Jan 10 vs Michigan Tech |
5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 14% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Bowling Green | 4 Bowling Green Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 28 vs Princeton 4-1 Won Sat, Nov 29 vs Princeton 4-3 Lost Fri, Dec 05 vs Northern Michigan 2-3 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs Northern Michigan 4-3 Fri, Jan 02 @ Ohio State |
3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 5% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 9% | 2% | <1% |
| Augustana | 5 Augustana Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 28 @ Lake S. 1-2 Won Sat, Nov 29 @ Lake S. 2-1 Won Fri, Dec 05 vs Bemidji State 3-1 Sat, Dec 06 vs Bemidji State Fri, Dec 12 vs Minnesota State Sat, Dec 13 vs Minnesota State |
1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 16% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Michigan Tech | 4 Michigan Tech Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 21 @ Minnesota State 0-3 Lost Sat, Nov 22 @ Minnesota State 2-3 Lost Fri, Nov 28 vs St. Thomas 3-3 Lost Sat, Nov 29 vs St. Thomas 1-2 Fri, Dec 12 @ Ferris State Sat, Dec 13 @ Ferris State |
1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 12% | 4% | <1% |
| St. Thomas | 3 St. Thomas Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 28 @ Michigan Tech 3-3 Won Sat, Nov 29 @ Michigan Tech 2-1 Lost Fri, Dec 05 vs Lake S. 3-5 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs Lake S. 4-1 Fri, Dec 12 @ Northern Michigan Sat, Dec 13 @ Northern Michigan |
2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 9% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Lake Superior | 3 Lake Superior Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 28 vs Augustana 2-1 Lost Sat, Nov 29 vs Augustana 1-2 Won Fri, Dec 05 @ St. Thomas 5-3 Lost Sat, Dec 06 @ St. Thomas 1-4 Sun, Dec 28 @ Wisconsin |
0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 39% | 22% | 5% |
| Ferris State | 2 Ferris State Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 21 vs Lake S. 1-2 Won Sat, Nov 22 vs Lake S. 4-3 Lost Fri, Dec 05 @ Minnesota State 1-5 Won Sat, Dec 06 @ Minnesota State 4-1 Fri, Dec 12 vs Michigan Tech Sat, Dec 13 vs Michigan Tech |
1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 20% | 53% | 13% |
| Northern Michigan | 1 Northern Michigan Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 28 vs Minnesota State 0-4 Lost Sat, Nov 29 vs Minnesota State 2-3 Won Fri, Dec 05 @ B. Green 3-2 Lost Sat, Dec 06 @ B. Green 3-4 Fri, Dec 12 vs St. Thomas Sat, Dec 13 vs St. Thomas |
0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 82% |
| Record | Total | Home (58%) |
Away (42%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| (3)Bowling Green | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 18% | 10% | 8% |
| (5)Michigan Tech | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 18% | 10% | 8% |
| (7)Lake Superior | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15% | 13% | 1% |
| (2)Bemidji State | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 15% | 6% | 9% |
| (4)Augustana | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15% | 6% | 9% |
| (8)Ferris State | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 10% | 10% | <1% |
| (1)Minnesota State | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 8% | 1% | 7% |
| (9)Northern Michigan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| Elimination | <1% | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Minnesota State (11‑3‑4) |
1‑3 | Home | Fri Oct 31, 8:07 pm |
| 5 | Minnesota State (11‑3‑4) |
4‑3 (OT) | Away | Sat Nov 1, 7:07 pm |
| 7 | Augustana (8‑5‑1) |
4‑4 (SO) | Away | Sat Nov 15, 7:07 pm |
| 8 | Bowling Green (8‑5‑3) |
2‑3 (OT) | Home | Fri Nov 21, 8:07 pm |
| 8 | Bowling Green (8‑5‑3) |
6‑2 | Home | Sat Nov 22, 7:07 pm |
| 9 | Michigan Tech (8‑6‑2) |
3‑3 (SO) | Away | Fri Nov 28, 7:07 pm |
| 9 | Michigan Tech (8‑6‑2) |
2‑1 | Away | Sat Nov 29, 6:07 pm |
| 10 | Lake Superior (6‑11‑1) |
3‑5 | Home | Fri Dec 5, 8:07 pm |
| 10 | Lake Superior (6‑11‑1) |
4‑1 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 7:07 pm |
| 11 | Northern Michigan (1‑17) |
Away | Fri Dec 12, 7:07 pm | |
| 11 | Northern Michigan (1‑17) |
Away | Sat Dec 13, 6:07 pm | |
| 14 | Ferris State (4‑12) |
Home | Fri Jan 2, 8:07 pm | |
| 14 | Ferris State (4‑12) |
Home | Sat Jan 3, 7:07 pm | |
| 15 | Minnesota State (11‑3‑4) |
Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:07 pm | |
| 16 | Bemidji State (9‑8‑2) |
Home | Fri Jan 16, 8:07 pm | |
| 16 | Bemidji State (9‑8‑2) |
Home | Sat Jan 17, 8:07 pm | |
| 17 | Lake Superior (6‑11‑1) |
Away | Fri Jan 23, 7:07 pm | |
| 17 | Lake Superior (6‑11‑1) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, 6:07 pm | |
| 18 | Michigan Tech (8‑6‑2) |
Home | Fri Jan 30, 8:07 pm | |
| 18 | Michigan Tech (8‑6‑2) |
Home | Sat Jan 31, 7:07 pm | |
| 19 | Bowling Green (8‑5‑3) |
Away | Fri Feb 6, 7:07 pm | |
| 19 | Bowling Green (8‑5‑3) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 7:07 pm | |
| 21 | Augustana (8‑5‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 20, 8:07 pm | |
| 21 | Augustana (8‑5‑1) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 8:07 pm | |
| 22 | Bemidji State (9‑8‑2) |
Away | Fri Feb 27, 8:07 pm | |
| 22 | Bemidji State (9‑8‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 7:07 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Cloud State (7‑8) |
NCHCNCHC | 4‑3 | Away | Sat Oct 4 |
| 2 | North Dakota (11‑4) |
NCHCNCHC | 2‑6 | Away | Fri Oct 10 |
| 2 | North Dakota (11‑4) |
NCHCNCHC | 2‑5 | Home | Sun Oct 12 |
| 3 | Air Force (9‑7‑2) |
AtlanticAtl. | 11‑2 | Away | Fri Oct 17 |
| 3 | Air Force (9‑7‑2) |
AtlanticAtl. | 2‑6 | Away | Sat Oct 18 |
| 4 | Providence (7‑6‑2) |
EastEast | 2‑2 (OT) | Home | Fri Oct 24, 8:07 pm |
| 4 | Providence (7‑6‑2) |
EastEast | 4‑7 | Home | Sat Oct 25, 8:07 pm |
| 7 | St. Cloud State (7‑8) |
NCHCNCHC | 3‑1 | Home | Tue Nov 11, 8:07 pm |