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Thu Nov 21 6:00 pm

Conference USA Basketball - Week 3 of 18

Liberty Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Liberty Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Liberty Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Liberty Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Liberty Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10
Liberty
(4‑1)

vs
Western Kentucky
(3‑2)
7 Liberty Wins 21% 15% 13% 12% 11% 9% 9% 6% 3% 2%
Current Probabilities 19% 14% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 2%
Western Kentucky Wins 14% 13% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 3%
Kennesaw St.
(4‑1)

vs
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St.
(4‑1)
0 Kennesaw St. Wins 19% 14% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 3%
Current Probabilities 19% 14% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 2%
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins 19% 14% 12% 12% 10% 10% 9% 7% 5% 2%
FIU
(1‑3)

vs
Middle Tenn.
(4‑1)
0 FIU Wins 19% 15% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 5% 3%
Current Probabilities 19% 14% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 2%
Middle Tenn. Wins 19% 14% 12% 12% 10% 9% 9% 7% 5% 3%
New Mexico St.
(3‑1)

vs
Sam Houston
(2‑2)
0 New Mexico St. Wins 19% 15% 12% 11% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 3%
Current Probabilities 19% 14% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 2%
Sam Houston Wins 19% 14% 12% 11% 11% 9% 9% 7% 5% 2%
UTEP
(3‑1)

vs
Louisiana Tech
(4‑0)
0 UTEP Wins 20% 15% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 5% 2%
Current Probabilities 19% 14% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 2%
Louisiana Tech Wins 20% 14% 12% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament