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Fri Feb 21 11:45 am

Conference USA Basketball - Week 16 of 18

Liberty Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Liberty Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Liberty Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Liberty Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Liberty Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10
Liberty
(21‑5)

vs
FIU
(8‑18)
1 Liberty Wins 48% 29% 17% 5% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 46% 29% 17% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
FIU Wins 31% 30% 21% 10% 5% 2% 1% <1% ^ ^
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St.
(18‑9)

vs
UTEP
(17‑9)
0 Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins 41% 33% 18% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 46% 29% 17% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
UTEP Wins 53% 22% 15% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Louisiana Tech
(18‑9)

vs
Western Kentucky
(14‑12)
0 Louisiana Tech Wins 46% 29% 16% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 46% 29% 17% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Western Kentucky Wins 47% 28% 18% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Kennesaw St.
(16‑11)

vs
New Mexico St.
(14‑12)
0 Kennesaw St. Wins 45% 28% 17% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 46% 29% 17% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
New Mexico St. Wins 47% 30% 16% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Middle Tenn.
(17‑9)

vs
Sam Houston
(11‑16)
0 Middle Tenn. Wins 46% 28% 18% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 46% 29% 17% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Sam Houston Wins 47% 33% 13% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament