The Most Important Games for the Liberty Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Liberty Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Liberty Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Liberty (14‑3) vs UTEP (12‑4) |
8 | Liberty Wins | 24% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| UTEP Wins | 11% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Sam Houston (8‑9) vs Kennesaw St. (9‑7) |
1 | Sam Houston Wins | 19% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Kennesaw St. Wins | 19% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Louisiana Tech (13‑4) vs Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (9‑7) |
1 | Louisiana Tech Wins | 19% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | 21% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| FIU (7‑10) vs New Mexico St. (10‑6) |
0 | FIU Wins | 20% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| New Mexico St. Wins | 19% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Middle Tenn. (12‑5) vs Western Kentucky (11‑6) |
0 | Middle Tenn. Wins | 19% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Western Kentucky Wins | 21% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||