The Most Important Games for the Middle Tenn. Blue Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Middle Tenn. Blue Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Middle Tenn. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Middle Tenn. (11‑11) vs Delaware (6‑16) |
23 | Middle Tenn. Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Delaware Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | ||
| Liberty (19‑3) vs Missouri St. (13‑9) |
4 | Liberty Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | <1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Sam Houston (16‑7) vs Louisiana Tech (12‑10) |
3 | Sam Houston Wins | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | <1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (12‑10) vs Kennesaw St. (14‑8) |
2 | Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Kennesaw St. Wins | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||
| FIU (11‑11) vs Western Kentucky (12‑11) |
1 | FIU Wins | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Western Kentucky Wins | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | ||
| New Mexico St. (11‑11) vs UTEP (8‑15) |
0 | New Mexico St. Wins | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||
| UTEP Wins | <1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | ||