The Most Important Games for the Middle Tenn. Blue Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Middle Tenn. Blue Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Middle Tenn. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Middle Tenn. (13‑14) vs UTEP (10‑17) |
48 | Middle Tenn. Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 14% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| UTEP Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Liberty (23‑4) vs Kennesaw St. (16‑11) |
10 | Liberty Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Kennesaw St. Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 14% | 16% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Missouri St. (13‑14) vs Louisiana Tech (15‑12) |
6 | Missouri St. Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 22% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Delaware (9‑18) vs Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (13‑14) |
5 | Delaware Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 15% | 19% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Sam Houston (19‑8) vs FIU (13‑14) |
4 | Sam Houston Wins | X | X | 1% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| FIU Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 7% | ||
| Western Kentucky (16‑11) vs New Mexico St. (13‑13) |
3 | Western Kentucky Wins | X | X | <1% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| New Mexico St. Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 9% | 7% | ||