The Most Important Games for the Missouri St. Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Missouri St. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Missouri St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Missouri St. (1‑3) vs W. Kentucky (1‑4) |
8 | Missouri St. Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| W. Kentucky Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 18% | ||
| Sam Houston (1‑3) vs Liberty (4‑1) |
2 | Sam Houston Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Liberty Wins | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Kennesaw St. (1‑3) vs Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (3‑2) |
1 | Kennesaw St. Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | ||
| New Mexico St. (2‑3) vs Florida Intl. (2‑2) |
1 | New Mexico St. Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Florida Intl. Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% | ||