The Most Important Games for the Missouri St. Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Missouri St. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Missouri St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Missouri St. (4‑6) vs Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (7‑3) |
2 | Missouri St. Wins | X | 2% | 14% | 15% | 21% | 35% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 23% | 31% | 9% | ^ | ||
| Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. Wins | X | X | 1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 26% | 39% | 11% | ^ | ||
| New Mexico St. (3‑7) vs Delaware (5‑5) |
1 | New Mexico St. Wins | X | 1% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 13% | 28% | 18% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 23% | 31% | 9% | ^ | ||
| Delaware Wins | X | <1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 21% | 30% | 32% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Liberty (9‑1) vs W. Kentucky (4‑6) |
0 | Liberty Wins | X | 1% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 21% | 21% | 30% | 9% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 23% | 31% | 9% | ^ | ||
| W. Kentucky Wins | X | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 30% | 38% | 6% | ^ | ||
| Sam Houston (1‑9) vs Middle Tenn. St. (5‑5) |
0 | Sam Houston Wins | X | 1% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 28% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 23% | 31% | 9% | ^ | ||
| Middle Tenn. St. Wins | X | 1% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 19% | 24% | 32% | 9% | ^ | ||
| Florida Intl. (4‑6) vs Kennesaw St. (4‑6) |
0 | Florida Intl. Wins | X | 1% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 14% | 30% | 26% | 11% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 23% | 31% | 9% | ^ | ||
| Kennesaw St. Wins | X | 1% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 22% | 13% | 38% | 8% | ^ | ||