The Missouri St. Bears What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Missouri St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 3 | X | 2% | 14% | 15% | 21% | 35% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 3 | 3 | X | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 23% | 31% | 9% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 4 | X | X | 1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 26% | 39% | 11% | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | 2% | 14% | 15% | 21% | 35% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 23% | 31% | 9% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | 1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 26% | 39% | 11% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Missouri St. beats Jacksonville St. |
Worst Case Scenario Jacksonville St. beats Missouri St. |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 5 | 3 | X | 12% | 54% | 27% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 4 | 4 | X | X | 4% | 12% | 25% | 43% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | 1% | 9% | 29% | 48% | 14% | ^ |