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Mon Feb 17 7:15 pm

ECAC Hockey - Week 21 of 22

Yale Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Yale Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Yale Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Yale Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Yale Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Yale
(6‑17‑2)
vs
Quinnipiac
(19‑9‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 2 Yale Sweeps 1 Game X X X X X X 1% 7% 23% 27% 26% 17%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game X X X X X X X 1% 10% 17% 25% 46%
Union
(17‑10‑3)
vs
Harvard
(9‑14‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Union Sweeps 1 Game X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 17% 25% 43%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
Harvard Sweeps 1 Game X X X X X X <1% 1% 13% 18% 25% 43%
Princeton
(10‑13‑2)
vs
Brown
(12‑11‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Princeton Sweeps 1 Game X X X X X X <1% 2% 10% 17% 26% 44%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
Brown Sweeps 1 Game X X X X X X <1% 1% 14% 20% 24% 41%
Dartmouth
(12‑11‑2)
vs
Rensselaer
(11‑17‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game X X X X X X <1% 2% 14% 19% 23% 42%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game X X X X X X <1% 1% 9% 14% 27% 49%
Colgate
(15‑12‑3)
vs
St. Lawrence
(9‑19‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Colgate Sweeps 1 Game X X X X X X <1% 2% 14% 20% 25% 40%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game X X X X X X <1% 2% 8% 15% 22% 53%
Cornell
(11‑8‑6)
vs
Clarkson
(18‑9‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Cornell Sweeps 1 Game X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%


Yale Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Yale Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Yale
(6‑17‑2)
vs
Quinnipiac
(19‑9‑2)		 2 Yale Wins X X X X X X 1% 7% 23% 27% 26% 17%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
Quinnipiac Wins X X X X X X X 1% 10% 17% 25% 46%
Union
(17‑10‑3)
vs
Harvard
(9‑14‑2)		 1 Union Wins X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 17% 25% 43%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
Harvard Wins X X X X X X <1% 1% 13% 18% 25% 43%
Princeton
(10‑13‑2)
vs
Brown
(12‑11‑2)		 0 Princeton Wins X X X X X X <1% 2% 10% 17% 26% 44%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
Brown Wins X X X X X X <1% 1% 14% 20% 24% 41%
Dartmouth
(12‑11‑2)
vs
Rensselaer
(11‑17‑2)		 0 Dartmouth Wins X X X X X X <1% 2% 14% 19% 23% 42%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
Rensselaer Wins X X X X X X <1% 1% 9% 14% 27% 49%
Colgate
(15‑12‑3)
vs
St. Lawrence
(9‑19‑2)		 0 Colgate Wins X X X X X X <1% 2% 14% 20% 25% 40%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
St. Lawrence Wins X X X X X X <1% 2% 8% 15% 22% 53%
Cornell
(11‑8‑6)
vs
Clarkson
(18‑9‑3)		 0 Cornell Wins X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
Clarkson Wins X X X X X X <1% 2% 12% 18% 25% 43%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament