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Mon Nov 2 2:15 am

ECAC Hockey - Week 6 of 22

Yale Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Yale Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Yale Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Yale Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Yale Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Yale
(1‑0)
vs
Dartmouth
(2‑0)
1 Game Remaining		 17 Yale Sweeps 1 Game 14% 14% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game 8% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 9% 7% 3% 1% <1%
Colgate
(1‑7)
vs
Princeton
(2‑0)
1 Game Remaining		 3 Colgate Sweeps 1 Game 13% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game 12% 12% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(0‑4)
vs
Rensselaer
(4‑4)
1 Game Remaining		 1 St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game 12% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game 12% 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Quinnipiac
(5‑2)
vs
Cornell
(1‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game 12% 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Cornell Sweeps 1 Game 12% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Harvard
(1‑1)
vs
Brown
(0‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Harvard Sweeps 1 Game 11% 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Brown Sweeps 1 Game 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Clarkson
(3‑4‑1)
vs
Union
(5‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game 12% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Union Sweeps 1 Game 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%


Yale Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Yale Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Yale
(1‑0)
vs
Dartmouth
(2‑0)		 17 Yale Wins 14% 14% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Dartmouth Wins 8% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 9% 7% 3% 1% <1%
Colgate
(1‑7)
vs
Princeton
(2‑0)		 3 Colgate Wins 13% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Princeton Wins 12% 12% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(0‑4)
vs
Rensselaer
(4‑4)		 1 St. Lawrence Wins 12% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Rensselaer Wins 12% 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Quinnipiac
(5‑2)
vs
Cornell
(1‑1)		 1 Quinnipiac Wins 12% 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Cornell Wins 12% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Harvard
(1‑1)
vs
Brown
(0‑1)		 1 Harvard Wins 11% 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Brown Wins 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Clarkson
(3‑4‑1)
vs
Union
(5‑2)		 0 Clarkson Wins 12% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Union Wins 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament