Is your team going to win its league championship, qualify for the UEFA Championship League, or be relegated? The EPL table presents the probabilities that a team will win each table spot.  All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.  Click a team name to proceed to the team page.
Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GDi Goal Differential |
GPi Games Played 38 game season |
Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |
Liverpool | 14i Liverpool Recent Games Won Sun, Dec 22 @ Tottenham Hotspur 6-3 Won Thu, Dec 26 vs Leicester 3-1 Won Sun, Dec 29 @ West Ham 5-0 Tie Sun, Jan 05 vs Man U 2-2 Tue, Jan 14 @ Nottingham Sat, Jan 18 @ Brentford Sat, Jan 25 vs Ipswich Sat, Feb 01 @ Bournemouth |
1 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 46 | 83% | 12% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Arsenal | 11 Arsenal Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 21 @ Crystal Palace 5-1 Won Fri, Dec 27 vs Ipswich 1-0 Won Wed, Jan 01 @ Brentford 3-1 Tie Sat, Jan 04 @ Brighton 1-1 Tue, Jan 14 vs Tottenham Hotspur Sat, Jan 18 vs Aston Villa Sat, Jan 25 @ Wolves Sat, Feb 01 vs Man City |
2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 40 | 13% | 51% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Nottingham | 12 Nottingham Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 21 @ Brentford 2-0 Won Thu, Dec 26 vs Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Won Sun, Dec 29 @ Everton 2-0 Won Mon, Jan 06 @ Wolves 3-0 Tue, Jan 14 vs Liverpool Sat, Jan 18 vs Southampton Sat, Jan 25 @ Bournemouth Sat, Feb 01 vs Brighton |
4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 40 | 2% | 13% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Chelsea | 10 Chelsea Recent Games Tie Sun, Dec 22 @ Everton 0-0 Lost Thu, Dec 26 vs Fulham 1-2 Lost Mon, Dec 30 @ Ipswich 0-2 Tie Sat, Jan 04 @ Crystal Palace 1-1 Wed, Jan 15 vs Bournemouth Sat, Jan 18 vs Wolves Sat, Jan 25 @ Man City Sat, Feb 01 vs West Ham |
4 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 36 | 1% | 11% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Newcastle | 10 Newcastle Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 21 @ Ipswich 4-0 Won Thu, Dec 26 vs Aston Villa 3-0 Won Mon, Dec 30 @ Man U 2-0 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Wed, Jan 15 vs Wolves Sat, Jan 18 vs Bournemouth Sat, Jan 25 @ Southampton Sat, Feb 01 vs Fulham |
5 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 35 | 1% | 9% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Manchester City | 10 Manchester City Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 21 @ Aston Villa 1-2 Tie Thu, Dec 26 vs Everton 1-1 Won Sun, Dec 29 @ Leicester 2-0 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs West Ham 4-1 Tue, Jan 14 @ Brentford Sat, Jan 18 @ Ipswich Sat, Jan 25 vs Chelsea Sat, Feb 01 @ Arsenal |
6 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 34 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
BournemouthBournemoth | 9 Bournemouth Recent Games Won Sun, Dec 22 @ Man U 3-0 Tie Thu, Dec 26 vs Crystal Palace 0-0 Tie Sun, Dec 29 @ Fulham 2-2 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Everton 1-0 Wed, Jan 15 @ Chelsea Sat, Jan 18 @ Newcastle Sat, Jan 25 vs Nottingham Sat, Feb 01 vs Liverpool |
5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 33 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Aston Villa | 9 Aston Villa Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 21 vs Man City 2-1 Lost Thu, Dec 26 @ Newcastle 0-3 Tie Mon, Dec 30 vs Brighton 2-2 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Leicester 2-1 Tue, Jan 14 @ Everton Sat, Jan 18 @ Arsenal Sat, Jan 25 vs West Ham Sat, Feb 01 @ Wolves |
6 | 5 | -2 | 20 | 32 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Fulham | 7 Fulham Recent Games Tie Sun, Dec 22 vs Southampton 0-0 Won Thu, Dec 26 @ Chelsea 2-1 Tie Sun, Dec 29 vs Bournemouth 2-2 Tie Sun, Jan 05 vs Ipswich 2-2 Tue, Jan 14 @ West Ham Sat, Jan 18 @ Leicester Sat, Jan 25 vs Man U Sat, Feb 01 @ Newcastle |
4 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 30 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Brighton | 6 Brighton Recent Games Tie Sat, Dec 21 @ West Ham 1-1 Tie Fri, Dec 27 vs Brentford 0-0 Tie Mon, Dec 30 @ Aston Villa 2-2 Tie Sat, Jan 04 vs Arsenal 1-1 Tue, Jan 14 @ Ipswich Sat, Jan 18 @ Man U Sat, Jan 25 vs Everton Sat, Feb 01 @ Nottingham |
4 | 10 | 1 | 20 | 28 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Brentford | 8 Brentford Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 21 vs Nottingham 0-2 Tie Fri, Dec 27 @ Brighton 0-0 Lost Wed, Jan 01 vs Arsenal 1-3 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Southampton 5-0 Tue, Jan 14 vs Man City Sat, Jan 18 vs Liverpool Sat, Jan 25 @ Crystal Palace Sat, Feb 01 vs Tottenham Hotspur |
9 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 27 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
Tottenham Hotspur | 7 Tottenham Hotspur Recent Games Lost Sun, Dec 22 vs Liverpool 3-6 Lost Thu, Dec 26 @ Nottingham 0-1 Tie Sun, Dec 29 vs Wolves 2-2 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Newcastle 1-2 Tue, Jan 14 @ Arsenal Sat, Jan 18 @ Everton Sat, Jan 25 vs Leicester Sat, Feb 01 @ Brentford |
10 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 24 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Manchester United | 6 Manchester United Recent Games Lost Sun, Dec 22 vs Bournemouth 0-3 Lost Thu, Dec 26 @ Wolves 0-2 Lost Mon, Dec 30 vs Newcastle 0-2 Tie Sun, Jan 05 @ Liverpool 2-2 Wed, Jan 15 vs Southampton Sat, Jan 18 vs Brighton Sat, Jan 25 @ Fulham Sat, Feb 01 vs Crystal Palace |
9 | 5 | -5 | 20 | 23 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
West Ham | 6 West Ham Recent Games Tie Sat, Dec 21 vs Brighton 1-1 Won Thu, Dec 26 @ Southampton 1-0 Lost Sun, Dec 29 vs Liverpool 0-5 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Man City 1-4 Tue, Jan 14 vs Fulham Sat, Jan 18 vs Crystal Palace Sat, Jan 25 @ Aston Villa Sat, Feb 01 @ Chelsea |
9 | 5 | -15 | 20 | 23 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 9% |
Crystal Palace | 4 Crystal Palace Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 21 vs Arsenal 1-5 Tie Thu, Dec 26 @ Bournemouth 0-0 Won Sun, Dec 29 vs Southampton 2-1 Tie Sat, Jan 04 vs Chelsea 1-1 Tue, Jan 14 @ Leicester Sat, Jan 18 @ West Ham Sat, Jan 25 vs Brentford Sat, Feb 01 @ Man U |
7 | 9 | -7 | 20 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% |
Everton | 3 Everton Recent Games Tie Sun, Dec 22 vs Chelsea 0-0 Tie Thu, Dec 26 @ Man City 1-1 Lost Sun, Dec 29 vs Nottingham 0-2 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Bournemouth 0-1 Tue, Jan 14 vs Aston Villa Sat, Jan 18 vs Tottenham Hotspur Sat, Jan 25 @ Brighton Sat, Feb 01 vs Leicester |
8 | 8 | -10 | 19 | 17 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 26% |
WolverhamptonWolves | 4 Wolverhampton Recent Games Won Sun, Dec 22 @ Leicester 3-0 Won Thu, Dec 26 vs Man U 2-0 Tie Sun, Dec 29 @ Tottenham Hotspur 2-2 Lost Mon, Jan 06 vs Nottingham 0-3 Wed, Jan 15 @ Newcastle Sat, Jan 18 @ Chelsea Sat, Jan 25 vs Arsenal Sat, Feb 01 vs Aston Villa |
12 | 4 | -14 | 20 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 33% |
Ipswich Town | 3 Ipswich Town Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 21 vs Newcastle 0-4 Lost Fri, Dec 27 @ Arsenal 0-1 Won Mon, Dec 30 vs Chelsea 2-0 Tie Sun, Jan 05 @ Fulham 2-2 Tue, Jan 14 vs Brighton Sat, Jan 18 vs Man City Sat, Jan 25 @ Liverpool Sat, Feb 01 vs Southampton |
10 | 7 | -15 | 20 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 21% | 48% |
Leicester City | 3 Leicester City Recent Games Lost Sun, Dec 22 vs Wolves 0-3 Lost Thu, Dec 26 @ Liverpool 1-3 Lost Sun, Dec 29 vs Man City 0-2 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Aston Villa 1-2 Tue, Jan 14 vs Crystal Palace Sat, Jan 18 vs Fulham Sat, Jan 25 @ Tottenham Hotspur Sat, Feb 01 @ Everton |
12 | 5 | -21 | 20 | 14 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 76% |
SouthamptonSouthamptn | 1 Southampton Recent Games Tie Sun, Dec 22 @ Fulham 0-0 Lost Thu, Dec 26 vs West Ham 0-1 Lost Sun, Dec 29 @ Crystal Palace 1-2 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Brentford 0-5 Wed, Jan 15 @ Man U Sat, Jan 18 @ Nottingham Sat, Jan 25 vs Newcastle Sat, Feb 01 @ Ipswich |
16 | 3 | -32 | 20 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |