The Mass.-Lowell River Hawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Mass.-Lowell plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8% | 14% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6% | 11% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 3% | 8% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Mass.-Lowell Sweeps | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6% | 11% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Maine Sweeps | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 1% | 4% | 14% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 8% | 14% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 6% | 11% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 3% | 8% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Mass.-Lowell beats Maine |
Worst Case Scenario Maine beats Mass.-Lowell |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | ||
| 15 of 15 | 100% | 20 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 62 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 15 | 93% | 19 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 59 | 98% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 15 | 87% | 18 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 56 | 83% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 15 | 80% | 17 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 53 | 51% | 41% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 15 | 73% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 50 | 20% | 50% | 27% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 15 | 67% | 15 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 4% | 29% | 50% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 15 | 60% | 14 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 44 | <1% | 7% | 40% | 43% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 15 | 53% | 13 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 41 | <1% | <1% | 12% | 46% | 35% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 15 | 47% | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 38 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 18% | 45% | 30% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 6 of 15 | 40% | 11 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 35 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 19% | 44% | 29% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 15 | 33% | 10 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 32 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 21% | 44% | 28% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 15 | 27% | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 29 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 21% | 45% | 28% | 4% | <1% |
| 3 of 15 | 20% | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 26 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 22% | 49% | 25% | 2% |
| 2 of 15 | 13% | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 28% | 55% | 14% |
| 1 of 15 | 7% | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 53% | 41% |
| 0 of 15 | 0% | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 30% | 70% |