The Mass.-Lowell River Hawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Mass.-Lowell plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 23% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 33% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 22% | 39% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Mass.-Lowell Sweeps | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 22 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 13% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 33% |
| Massachusetts Sweeps | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 24% | 45% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 34% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 33% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 34% |
|
Best Case Scenario Providence beats Maine |
Worst Case Scenario Maine beats Providence |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | ||
| 9 of 9 | 100% | 13 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 43 | <1% | 13% | 59% | 27% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 9 | 89% | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 40 | <1% | 1% | 31% | 53% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 9 | 78% | 11 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 37 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 31% | 44% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 6 of 9 | 67% | 10 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 34 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 17% | 40% | 32% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 9 | 56% | 9 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 31 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 28% | 42% | 22% | 3% | <1% |
| 4 of 9 | 44% | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 28 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 43% | 34% | 6% |
| 3 of 9 | 33% | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 13% | 46% | 40% |
| 2 of 9 | 22% | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 20% | 79% |
| 1 of 9 | 11% | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 95% |
| 0 of 9 | 0% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 99% |