The Mass.-Lowell River Hawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Mass.-Lowell plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
Win Next Game | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 2% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 2% | 5% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
Lose Next Game | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 1% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
Mass.-Lowell Sweeps | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 2% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 2% | 5% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
Providence Sweeps | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 1% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
Best Case Scenario | 1% | 5% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
Current Standings | 2% | 5% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
Best Case Scenario Maine beats Connecticut |
Worst Case Scenario Connecticut beats Maine |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | ||
13 of 13 | 100% | 18 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 56 | 75% | 25% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 13 | 92% | 17 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 53 | 51% | 43% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 13 | 85% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 50 | 24% | 51% | 23% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
10 of 13 | 77% | 15 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 7% | 34% | 47% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 13 | 69% | 14 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 1% | 10% | 43% | 40% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 13 | 62% | 13 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 41 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 48% | 33% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
7 of 13 | 54% | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 38 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 19% | 50% | 27% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
6 of 13 | 46% | 11 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 35 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 23% | 45% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 13 | 38% | 10 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 32 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 20% | 43% | 29% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 13 | 31% | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 29 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 42% | 33% | 7% | <1% |
3 of 13 | 23% | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 26 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 42% | 38% | 8% |
2 of 13 | 15% | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 49% | 40% |
1 of 13 | 8% | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 19% | 80% |
0 of 13 | 0% | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 98% |