The Mass.-Lowell River Hawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Mass.-Lowell plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Win Next Game | 8 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 28 | X | X | <1% | 3% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 25% | 20% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 7 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 25 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 21% | 26% | 17% | 5% |
| Lose Next Game | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 25 | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 18% | 33% | 25% | 8% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Mass.-Lowell Sweeps | 9 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 31 | X | X | <1% | 5% | 17% | 26% | 20% | 24% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 7 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 25 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 21% | 26% | 17% | 5% |
| Northeastern Sweeps | 7 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 25 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 37% | 35% | 13% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | X | <1% | 3% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 25% | 20% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Standings | X | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 21% | 26% | 17% | 5% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 18% | 33% | 25% | 8% |
|
Best Case Scenario Mass.-Lowell beats Northeastern |
Worst Case Scenario Northeastern beats Mass.-Lowell |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 11 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 37 | X | X | <1% | 28% | 60% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 10 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 34 | X | X | X | 1% | 16% | 49% | 30% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 9 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 31 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 16% | 51% | 29% | 3% | <1% |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 51% | 37% | 6% |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 19% | 50% | 31% |