The Most Important Games for the Massachusetts Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Massachusetts Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Massachusetts Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| MassachusettsMass. (16‑11) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑17) 1 Game Remaining |
38 | MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 8% | 22% | 30% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 3% | 12% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (16‑7‑3) vs Maine (14‑11‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
10 | ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 4% | 17% | 36% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Maine Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 10% | 22% | 17% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Boston College (15‑9‑1) vs Merrimack (14‑12‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
5 | Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 6% | 19% | 30% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 10% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Providence (17‑7‑2) vs Vermont (12‑14) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Providence Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Vermont Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 19% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| New Hampshire (11‑14‑1) vs Boston University (13‑13‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 20% | 27% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 7% | 19% | 26% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Massachusetts Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| MassachusettsMass. (16‑11) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑17) |
38 | MassachusettsMass. Wins | <1% | 8% | 22% | 30% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (16‑7‑3) vs Maine (14‑11‑2) |
6 | ConnecticutUConn Wins | <1% | 6% | 18% | 31% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Maine Wins | <1% | 9% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Boston College (15‑9‑1) vs Merrimack (14‑12‑1) |
5 | Boston College Wins | <1% | 6% | 19% | 30% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | <1% | 10% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Providence (17‑7‑2) vs Vermont (12‑14) |
4 | Providence Wins | <1% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Vermont Wins | <1% | 7% | 19% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| New Hampshire (11‑14‑1) vs Boston University (13‑13‑2) |
3 | New Hampshire Wins | <1% | 7% | 20% | 27% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Boston University Wins | <1% | 7% | 19% | 26% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||