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Sat Feb 28 8:30 am

Hockey East - Week 22 of 23

Massachusetts Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Massachusetts Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Massachusetts Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Massachusetts Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Massachusetts Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
MassachusettsMass.
(19‑12)

vs
ConnecticutUConn
(17‑10‑4)

1 Game Remaining
37 MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game X 18% 50% 23% 9% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 10% 31% 31% 19% 5% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^
ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game X 1% 8% 43% 31% 10% 6% 2% <1% ^ ^
NortheasternN. Eastern
(15‑16‑1)

vs
Maine
(17‑12‑3)

1 Game Remaining
3 NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game X 10% 32% 37% 11% 5% 4% 1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 10% 31% 31% 19% 5% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^
Maine Sweeps 1 Game X 10% 31% 26% 25% 5% 2% 1% <1% ^ ^
Boston College
(19‑11‑1)

vs
Boston University
(15‑15‑2)

1 Game Remaining
3 Boston College Sweeps 1 Game X 5% 35% 32% 20% 5% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 10% 31% 31% 19% 5% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^
Boston University Sweeps 1 Game X 19% 24% 29% 17% 5% 3% 2% <1% ^ ^
Providence
(21‑9‑2)

vs
New Hampshire
(14‑16‑1)

1 Game Remaining
2 Providence Sweeps 1 Game X 10% 32% 31% 19% 5% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 10% 31% 31% 19% 5% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^
New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game X 10% 32% 30% 19% 4% 4% 1% <1% ^ ^
Vermont
(12‑20)

vs
Merrimack
(16‑15‑1)

1 Game Remaining
2 Vermont Sweeps 1 Game X 10% 32% 31% 21% 5% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 10% 31% 31% 19% 5% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^
Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game X 10% 32% 31% 19% 5% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^


Massachusetts Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Massachusetts Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
MassachusettsMass.
(19‑12)

vs
ConnecticutUConn
(17‑10‑4)
37 MassachusettsMass. Wins X 18% 50% 23% 9% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 10% 31% 31% 19% 5% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^
ConnecticutUConn Wins X 1% 8% 43% 31% 10% 6% 2% <1% ^ ^
NortheasternN. Eastern
(15‑16‑1)

vs
Maine
(17‑12‑3)
3 NortheasternN. Eastern Wins X 10% 32% 37% 11% 5% 4% 1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 10% 31% 31% 19% 5% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^
Maine Wins X 10% 31% 26% 25% 5% 2% 1% <1% ^ ^
Boston College
(19‑11‑1)

vs
Boston University
(15‑15‑2)
3 Boston College Wins X 5% 35% 32% 20% 5% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 10% 31% 31% 19% 5% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^
Boston University Wins X 19% 24% 29% 17% 5% 3% 2% <1% ^ ^
Providence
(21‑9‑2)

vs
New Hampshire
(14‑16‑1)
2 Providence Wins X 10% 32% 31% 19% 5% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 10% 31% 31% 19% 5% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^
New Hampshire Wins X 10% 32% 30% 19% 4% 4% 1% <1% ^ ^
Vermont
(12‑20)

vs
Merrimack
(16‑15‑1)
2 Vermont Wins X 10% 32% 31% 21% 5% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 10% 31% 31% 19% 5% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^
Merrimack Wins X 10% 32% 31% 19% 5% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament