The Most Important Games for the Vermont Catamounts are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Catamounts final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Vermont Catamounts fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Vermont Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Vermont (12‑14) vs Providence (17‑7‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
23 | Vermont Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 12% | ||
| Providence Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (16‑7‑3) vs Maine (14‑11‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 12% | ||
| Maine Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 12% | ||
| New Hampshire (11‑14‑1) vs Boston University (13‑13‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 12% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 18% | 9% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑17) vs MassachusettsMass. (16‑11) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 12% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 11% | ||
| Boston College (15‑9‑1) vs Merrimack (14‑12‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 12% | ||
| Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 12% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Vermont Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Vermont (12‑14) vs Providence (17‑7‑2) |
23 | Vermont Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 12% | ||
| Providence Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 13% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (16‑7‑3) vs Maine (14‑11‑2) |
3 | ConnecticutUConn Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 12% | ||
| Maine Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 12% | ||
| New Hampshire (11‑14‑1) vs Boston University (13‑13‑2) |
2 | New Hampshire Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 12% | ||
| Boston University Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 18% | 9% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑17) vs MassachusettsMass. (16‑11) |
2 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 12% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 11% | ||
| Boston College (15‑9‑1) vs Merrimack (14‑12‑1) |
1 | Boston College Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 12% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 12% | ||