The Most Important Games for the Northern Kentucky Norse are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Norse final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Kentucky Norse fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Kentucky Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
5* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
11 | |||
| Northern Kentucky (17‑11) vs Youngstown St. (14‑14) |
59 | Northern Kentucky Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 29% | 32% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Youngstown St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 14% | 31% | 38% | 14% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Cleveland St. (10‑18) vs Fort Wayne (15‑13) |
15 | Cleveland St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 28% | 32% | 20% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Fort Wayne Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 19% | 30% | 33% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wis. Milwaukee (11‑17) vs Detroit (12‑13) |
14 | Wis. Milwaukee Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 26% | 34% | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Detroit Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 29% | 33% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oakland (14‑13) vs Green Bay (15‑13) |
6 | Oakland Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 22% | 30% | 27% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Green Bay Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 24% | 33% | 28% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Wright St. (17‑10) vs IU Indy (7‑21) |
1 | Wright St. Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 10% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| IU Indy Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 21% | 32% | 28% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||