The Most Important Games for the Northern Kentucky Norse are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Norse final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Kentucky Norse fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Kentucky Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
7*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
8*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
9*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
10 | 11 | |||
| Northern Kentucky (5‑2) vs Cleveland St. (3‑6) |
8 | Northern Kentucky Wins | 23% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Cleveland St. Wins | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Oakland (3‑5) vs Fort Wayne (4‑5) |
1 | Oakland Wins | 22% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Fort Wayne Wins | 23% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Wright St. (4‑4) vs Youngstown St. (4‑4) |
1 | Wright St. Wins | 22% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Youngstown St. Wins | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| IU Indy (2‑6) vs Detroit (1‑6) |
0 | IU Indy Wins | 22% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Detroit Wins | 22% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Robert Morris (5‑3) vs Green Bay (3‑5) |
0 | Robert Morris Wins | 22% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Green Bay Wins | 23% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||