Northern Kentucky Norse What If?

	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
	W	L	1^* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage	2^* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage	3^* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage	4^* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage	5^** First Round Bye	6^*** First Round Home Court Advantage	7^*** First Round Home Court Advantage	8^*** First Round Home Court Advantage	9^*** First Round Home Court Advantage	10	11
Win Next Game	1	0	<1%	2%	3%	6%	8%	9%	11%	12%	14%	17%	18%
Current Standings	0	0	<1%	1%	3%	5%	7%	9%	10%	11%	13%	16%	25%
Lose Next Game	0	1	<1%	1%	2%	4%	6%	8%	10%	11%	13%	16%	28%

	Regular Season Finish
	1^* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage	2^* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage	3^* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage	4^* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage	5^** First Round Bye	6^*** First Round Home Court Advantage	7^*** First Round Home Court Advantage	8^*** First Round Home Court Advantage	9^*** First Round Home Court Advantage	10	11
Best Case Scenario	<1%	1%	3%	5%	7%	8%	9%	11%	13%	16%	26%
Current Standings	<1%	1%	3%	5%	7%	9%	10%	11%	13%	16%	25%
Worst Case Scenario	<1%	1%	3%	5%	7%	8%	9%	10%	12%	17%	28%
Best Case Scenario Robert Morris beats Youngstown St. Wright St. beats Oakland Wis. Milwaukee beats Cleveland St.						Worst Case Scenario Youngstown St. beats Robert Morris Oakland beats Wright St. Cleveland St. beats Wis. Milwaukee

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1^* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage	2^* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage	3^* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage	4^* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage	5^** First Round Bye	6^*** First Round Home Court Advantage	7^*** First Round Home Court Advantage	8^*** First Round Home Court Advantage	9^*** First Round Home Court Advantage	10	11
20 of 20	100%	20	0	100%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
19 of 20	95%	19	1	>99%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
18 of 20	90%	18	2	98%	2%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
17 of 20	85%	17	3	87%	13%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
16 of 20	80%	16	4	60%	37%	3%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
15 of 20	75%	15	5	27%	53%	19%	1%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^	^
14 of 20	70%	14	6	7%	38%	43%	11%	1%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^
13 of 20	65%	13	7	1%	13%	43%	36%	8%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^	^
12 of 20	60%	12	8	<1%	2%	18%	45%	29%	5%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^
11 of 20	55%	11	9	<1%	<1%	3%	23%	45%	25%	4%	<1%	<1%	^	^
10 of 20	50%	10	10	X	<1%	<1%	5%	28%	44%	20%	3%	<1%	<1%	^
9 of 20	45%	9	11	X	X	<1%	<1%	7%	32%	41%	17%	2%	<1%	<1%
8 of 20	40%	8	12	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	9%	36%	39%	13%	1%	<1%
7 of 20	35%	7	13	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	12%	40%	36%	11%	1%
6 of 20	30%	6	14	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	16%	43%	33%	6%
5 of 20	25%	5	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	2%	23%	50%	24%
4 of 20	20%	4	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	5%	42%	53%
3 of 20	15%	3	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	18%	82%
2 of 20	10%	2	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	4%	96%
1 of 20	5%	1	19	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	>99%
0 of 20	0%	0	20	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round bye and second round home court advantage in the post season conference tournament
** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
***denotes first round home court advantage in the post season conference tournament

Horizon Basketball - Week 3 of 17