The Northern Kentucky Norse What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Northern Kentucky plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
7*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
8*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
9*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
10 | 11 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 23% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
7*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
8*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
9*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
10 | 11 | ||
| 20 of 20 | 100% | 20 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 20 | 95% | 19 | 1 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 20 | 90% | 18 | 2 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 20 | 85% | 17 | 3 | 89% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 20 | 80% | 16 | 4 | 67% | 31% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 20 | 75% | 15 | 5 | 35% | 51% | 14% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 20 | 70% | 14 | 6 | 12% | 44% | 36% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 20 | 65% | 13 | 7 | 2% | 20% | 45% | 29% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 20 | 60% | 12 | 8 | <1% | 4% | 24% | 44% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 20 | 55% | 11 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 43% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 | 10 | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 28% | 42% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 9 of 20 | 45% | 9 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 30% | 41% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 20 | 40% | 8 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 31% | 41% | 19% | 3% | <1% |
| 7 of 20 | 35% | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 33% | 41% | 16% | 2% |
| 6 of 20 | 30% | 6 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 10% | 38% | 40% | 11% |
| 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 16% | 48% | 34% |
| 4 of 20 | 20% | 4 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 32% | 65% |
| 3 of 20 | 15% | 3 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 13% | 87% |
| 2 of 20 | 10% | 2 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 98% |
| 1 of 20 | 5% | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 20 | 0% | 0 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |