The Most Important Games for Metz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Metz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Metz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| Metz (3‑9‑2) vs Auxerre (2‑9‑3) |
16 | Metz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 58% | ||
| Auxerre Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 64% | ||
| Lens (10‑3‑1) vs Nantes (2‑7‑5) |
3 | Lens Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 58% | ||
| Nantes Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 61% | ||
| Lyon (7‑4‑3) vs Lorient (3‑5‑5) |
1 | Lyon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 58% | ||
| Lorient Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 60% | ||
| Paris FC (4‑7‑3) vs Le Havre (3‑6‑5) |
1 | Paris FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 58% | ||
| Le Havre Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 16% | 59% | ||
| AS Monaco (7‑5‑2) vs Brest (4‑6‑4) |
1 | AS Monaco Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 58% | ||
| Brest Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 59% | ||
| Angers (4‑6‑4) vs Nice (5‑6‑2) |
0 | Angers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 58% | ||
| Nice Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 58% | ||
| Stade Rennais (6‑2‑6) vs Paris SG (9‑2‑2) |
0 | Stade Rennais Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 58% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 58% | ||
| Strasbourg (7‑6) vs Toulouse (4‑5‑5) |
0 | Strasbourg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 58% | ||
| Toulouse Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 58% | ||
| Marseille (7‑3‑2) vs Lille (8‑4‑2) |
0 | Marseille Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 58% | ||
| Lille Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 58% | ||