The Metz What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 9 | 19 | 5 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 12% | 79% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 19 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 4% | 73% | 21% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 20 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 69% | 31% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 12% | 81% | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 4% | 73% | 21% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 14% | 86% |
|
Best Case Scenario Lyon beats Clermont Marseille beats Lorient Metz beats Strasbourg |
Worst Case Scenario Clermont beats Lyon Lorient beats Marseille Strasbourg beats Metz |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 10 | 19 | 5 | 35 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 44% | 10% | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 9 | 20 | 5 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 98% | 2% |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 8 | 21 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 61% | 39% |